Celtic vs Hearts Prediction
๐ The headline fixture of the final round of the Scottish Premiership sees Celtic and Hearts go head-to-head at Celtic Park. It's a title decider. Hearts enter the last matchday at the top of the table, holding a one-point advantage over the Hoops, meaning Derek McInnesโs side only need a draw to secure the championship. Celtic, on the other hand, must win if they are to claim a fifth consecutive league title. The Scottish press are already calling this title race one of the most dramatic in recent decades.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 25 January 2026 at Heartsโ home ground and ended in a 2-2 draw. Hereโs a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that match (Hearts listed first as the home side):
- Possession: 55% vs 45%;
- Corners: 2 vs 2;
- Fouls committed: 13 vs 22;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 6;
- Shots on target: 8 vs 3.
๐ Head-to-head stats for official meetings between Celtic and Hearts:
- They have faced off 61 times;
- The hosts have claimed 47 wins, the visitors 11, with 3 draws;
- Goals scored: 153 for the home side, 53 for the away;
- Average goals in the first half: 1.36; in the second half: 2.02;
- Average total goals per match: 3.38.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Celtic Team Overview
Celtic played their most recent official match on in the Premiership, securing a 3-2 away victory over Motherwell.
Hereโs a look at the key stats from the game (Celtic vs Motherwell):
- Possession: 52% vs 48%;
- Corners: 3 vs 4;
- Fouls committed: 15 vs 9;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 5.
๐ข Celtic head into the decisive round on the back of a dramatic victory over Motherwell (3-2). Kelechi Iheanachoโs stoppage-time penalty secured a crucial win and kept the Hoopsโ title hopes alive. Earlier, Martin OโNeillโs side also claimed a statement win in the Old Firm derby against Rangers (3-1), with Daizen Maeda netting a brace.
โช Despite a turbulent season marked by managerial changes and inconsistency, Celtic remain the leagueโs most prolific side. Heading into the final matchday, they have already scored 70 goals, and their home form has been particularly aggressive right from kickoff. Maeda, Iheanacho, and Yang Hyun-jun continue to be key figures in attack.
๐ The emotional backdrop for the club is impossible to ignore. A victory in the final round could deliver Celtic their 56th league title-a landmark achievement for Scottish football. If Hearts prevail, however, they would become the first non-Glasgow champions since 1985, underlining the significance of this showdown.
Match Results: Celtic
Heart of Midlothian Team Overview
Hearts played their most recent official match on , cruising to a convincing 3-0 home victory over Falkirk in the Premiership.
The match statistics (Hearts vs Falkirk) were as follows:
- Possession: 66% vs 34%;
- Corners: 5 vs 5;
- Fouls: 6 vs 17;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 1.
๐ด Hearts are enjoying their best season in decades and stand on the brink of a historic league title. In the previous round, Derek McInnes' side cruised to a 3-0 victory over Falkirk, with goals from Frankie Kent, Cameron Devlin, and Blair Spittal.
โช The biggest strength of this Hearts squad has been their organisation and consistency. They've spent most of the campaign in the top two, rarely suffering prolonged dips in form. Their performances in high-stakes matches have been particularly impressive, with the Jambos regularly taking points off both Celtic and Rangers.
๐ McInnes has built one of the most balanced teams in the league. Hearts are solid defensively, disciplined without the ball, and dangerous in transition. However, the psychological pressure could prove decisive now-after all, it's been 66 years since the club last lifted the Scottish title.
Match Results: Heart of Midlothian
Latest news
Celtic
โ Celtic continue to grapple with significant defensive absences. According to British media reports, first-choice goalkeeper Kasper Schmeichel remains sidelined as he recovers from shoulder surgery, while centre-back Cameron Carter-Vickers is also set to miss out. In addition, Jota, Tomas Cvancara, Julian Araujo, and Colby Donovan are all unavailable for selection.
Heart of Midlothian
โ The visitors are dealing with injury setbacks as well. Craig Halkett and Mark Leonard are both ruled out for the rest of the season. Halkettโs absence is particularly significant, as he has been a key figure in their defensive line. There are also doubts over veteran Craig Gordonโs availability, but the core of the squad remains fit and ready for this crucial fixture.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head stats:
- Matches played - 61;
- First-half wins at home - 18; away - 2; draws - 9;
- Average first-half goals: 1.36;
- This seasonโs hosts average 1.1 first-half goals at home, while the visitors score 0.26 away.
First-half statistics: Celtic (home) vs Hearts (away)
- Matches played in the competition: 18 vs 18;
- Wins: 10 (55.56%) vs 6 (33.33%);
- Losses: 1 (5.56%) vs 6 (33.33%);
- Draws: 7 (38.89%) vs 6 (33.33%);
- Average goals scored: 1.22 vs 1.44;
- Average goals conceded: 0.28 vs 0.72.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- Wins: 4 vs 3;
- Losses: 0 vs 3;
- Draws: 6 vs 4;
- Average first-half goals: 1.4 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.5).
- Celtic have scored in the first half at home in 12 of their last 13 matches.
- Celtic have netted in the first half at home in each of their last 10 Premiership fixtures.
- Celtic have scored in the first half in seven consecutive games.
- Celtic have found the net before the break in six straight Premiership matches.
- Hearts have conceded in the first half away from home in five consecutive Premiership games.
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head stats:
- Games played - 61;
- Home side wins - 47, Away wins - 11, Draws - 3.
- Hearts have covered a +1.5 handicap in 49 of their last 50 matches.
- Hearts have covered a +1.5 handicap in 42 of their last 43 Premiership games.
- Hearts have covered a +1.5 handicap away from home in 23 of their last 24 matches.
- Hearts have covered a +1.5 handicap on the road in 20 of their last 21 Premiership fixtures.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average goals):
- Home side - 2.51, Away - 0.87;
- Overall head-to-head average - 3.38;
- Both teams have scored: all-time - 27 times; at the home ground - 10 times.
Average goals stats: Celtic vs Hearts
- In the league: 2.97 vs 2.62;
- Goals scored: 1.89 vs 1.78;
- First half: 0.86 vs 0.73;
- Second half: 1.03 vs 1.05;
- Celtic at home in the league - 2.22;
- Hearts away in the league - 1.61;
- Last 10 matches: 2.3 (home - 3.2) vs 1.6 (away - 1.25).
- Under 3.5 goals has landed in five consecutive head-to-head meetings at this venue (Premiership).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head stats:
- Games played - 61;
- Both teams have scored all-time - 27 times;
- At the home ground - 10 times.
- Celtic have scored and conceded in seven of their last eight home matches.
- Celtic have scored and conceded in five straight games.
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent scorelines (current season):
- Most common results in the league: 1-0 (23/222, 10.4%), 2-0 (23/222, 10.4%);
- Celticโs most frequent home result: 3-1 (4/18, 22.2%);
- Heartsโ most frequent away results: 1-0, 1-2 (3/18, 16.7%).
Based on statistical analysis and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top three outcomes:
2-1 - 10.33% (odds: 7.4)
1-1 - 9.87% (odds: 7.6)
1-0 - 9.27% (odds: 8.4)
โญ Editorโs Prediction
This clash has all the hallmarks of a true title decider. Celtic come into the match as favourites, thanks to home advantage, their experience in high-stakes encounters, and the imperative to play for nothing less than a win. However, Hearts have already shown this season that they can handle the pressure and push any opponent to the limit. We anticipate a high-intensity, emotionally charged contest, with plenty of chances, relentless pace, and tension right up to the final whistle. Our main prediction is both teams to score (yes): Celtic have scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 home fixtures.
Betting Tips: Celtic - Heart of Midlothian
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in last 7 games (Premiership).in 23 of last 25 home games against Heart of Midlothian (Premiership).in 12 of last 13 games.in 9 of last 10 games (Premiership).in 7 of last 8 home games (Premiership).in 23 of last 25 away games against Celtic (Premiership).Comparison of Teams Stats
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