Burnley vs Tottenham Prediction
🔊 Can Burnley extend their record-breaking unbeaten run this season? The Clarets have gone three matches without a loss. On Saturday, Tottenham visit Turf Moor, and Spurs are struggling to find a win in their last four Premier League outings. Which streak is more likely to end? Our editorial team provides an insightful prediction on the odds for both teams.
Head-to-Head
📊 Burnley haven't beaten Tottenham in over three years. Their last triumph came in 2022, right at Turf Moor. That victory remains their only one over a longer stretch of 10 matches. During this period, the Clarets managed to draw just once, while the Spurs celebrated success eight times.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Burnley Team Overview
Scott Parker's team has enjoyed a solid three-match run without a single defeat. Considering the rest of their season, where the Clarets have mostly languished at the bottom of the Premier League table, this is quite an achievement. However, two draws against top-five sides Manchester United and Liverpool haven't improved their standings: they remain eight points adrift from the safe 17th spot.
Let's delve into the latest Premier League fixture, where the Clarets visited Liverpool. Burnley managed to earn a hard-fought draw, seemingly against the odds. Scott Parker's side had just 27% possession and managed seven shots with an xG of 0.61, while the hosts fired 32 times with an xG of 3.56. Despite such modest stats, it was enough for them to come back after a disappointing first half and hold onto a 1-1 draw.
Match Results: Burnley
Tottenham Hotspur Team Overview
The Spurs have failed to secure a win in their last four Premier League matches. Their longer-term performance hasn't been impressive either: since the 10th round, Thomas Frank's squad has only managed to collect 10 points, averaging just 0.8 points per game. As a result, during this period, Tottenham have plummeted from the top three to the lower half of the table, currently sitting in 14th place.
It's not entirely fair to judge Tottenham's form based on their latest match, but we can't ignore it. Midweek, the Spurs hosted Borussia Dortmund. The visitors were down a player by the 26th minute due to a red card, yet even with the numerical advantage, the home side only managed 54% possession. However, in terms of shots, the Londoners outperformed the Black and Yellows nearly threefold (16 to 6), leading to a comfortable 2-0 victory.
Match Results: Tottenham Hotspur
Latest news
Burnley
🎙 Burnley's head coach shared his thoughts on the away draw against Liverpool. "I'm a bit disappointed, and the players are too. It shows just how good we were today. We had two different halves. The first half went as everyone expected. In the second half, we had everything we needed-determination, energy, desire, passion. We played quality football and caused Liverpool some problems. Overall, I'm pleased. We showed today that we can play football," said Scott Parker.
❌ Zeki Amdouni, Zian Flemming, Joe Worrall, and Josh Cullen are familiar faces in Burnley's injury list. In the last match, Maxime Estève had to leave the field early. However, it's too soon to draw conclusions about the seriousness of his injury-it seems likely the French defender might be ready for the next game.
Tottenham Hotspur
🎙 Tottenham's head coach reflected on his team's Champions League victory and didn't overlook the upcoming Premier League fixture. "I'm really pleased that we won the match for several reasons. The main one being, I believe we played very well, especially in the first half. I loved how we started the game: energetic, aggressive, on the front foot... It was really good. The key is to build on this success and secure a win against Burnley on Saturday. It's crucial to showcase such performances in both the Premier League and the Champions League every week. We're working very hard on this. We must keep doing the same, keep believing, and we know things will change," said Thomas Frank.
❌ The prolonged recovery from serious injuries for Rodrigo Bentancur, Ben Davies, Dejan Kulusevski, and James Maddison has become something to get used to. However, recently Richarlison, Palhinha, and Mohammed Kudus have joined this list, players who have quickly become key figures for the team this season.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is Peter Bankes. Over his last 20 Premier League matches, he averages 4.1 yellow cards per game. Neither team is particularly known for fair play: Tottenham have received at least two cautions in 12 of their last 13 matches, while Burnley have done so in five consecutive games. Both teams have different objectives, but each is desperate to climb up the league table rather than just maintain their position. Given this context, the intensity level is expected to be extremely high. Editor’s choice: total yellow cards over 3.5.
⚽️ Total Goals
Burnley have shown progress recently: not only are the Clarets unbeaten in their last three games, but they've also scored in four of their last five. Tottenham, on the other hand, have struggled to keep clean sheets, managing to do so only against Borussia Dortmund, who played much of the match with ten men. We anticipate goals from both sides at Turf Moor. Our prediction: both teams to score (yes).
🚩 Total Corners
Scott Parker alternates between two formations depending on the opponent's strength: against more formidable teams, he opts for a more defensive 3-4-2-1 setup. While Tottenham often play on the counter, their squad quality should allow them to dictate play even at Turf Moor. The hosts' counter-attacking style is likely to influence the number of set-pieces in the opponent's final third. Notably, Burnley have earned no more than four corners in five consecutive matches. Therefore, we suggest focusing on this option - total Burnley corners under 4.5.
Editor's Prediction
Bookmakers have marked Tottenham as clear favorites for the upcoming clash, but we wouldn't be so definitive. Burnley have shown signs of improvement lately, managing to take points from two of the top five Premier League teams in their last three matches. While Spurs have been among this elite group during the season, they are currently far from their peak form. Additionally, the midweek Champions League match might impact the visitors' physical condition. Given these factors, a bet on Burnley not to lose seems reasonable. A high-scoring draw at 1-1 should suffice for this outcome.
Betting Tips: Burnley - Tottenham Hotspur
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
