Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction 25 January 2026
🔊 Can the "islanders" put up a worthy challenge against the capital club? The opening fixture of Sunday's La Liga schedule features a clash between Atletico Madrid and Mallorca. The teams find themselves on opposite ends of the table, each with different objectives-Mallorca aim to secure their spot in Spain's top flight, while Atletico continue their pursuit of the title. Bookmakers leave little room for suspense, heavily favoring the home side with eight-to-one odds.
Head-to-Head
📊 Let's take a look at the head-to-head statistics over the last 10 encounters: Atletico have secured 6 wins, there has been 1 draw, and Mallorca have claimed 3 victories. Additionally, we'll consider the average scoring rate for each side: Atletico average 1.3 goals per game, while Mallorca manage 0.6. In the first round of the current championship, the teams played to a 1-1 draw at "Iberostar." On that occasion, Vedat Muriqi scored to equalize after Conor Gallagher's goal.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Atletico Madrid Team Overview
🔴 This season, Diego Simeone has had to showcase his adaptability. Currently, Atlético Madrid sit in 4th place in the league standings, with 41 points from 20 matches. They trail the top spot in La Liga by 8 points. Notably, the "Colchoneros" boast the most reliable defense in the league, conceding just 0.85 goals per game. Special attention should be given to Atlético's home form, where they have secured 9 wins and 1 draw from 10 matches, the best home record in the league.
⚪ In the last round of La Liga, the "Colchoneros" emerged victorious against Alavés (1-0). Atlético's main challenge was breaking down the opponent's deep defensive line. The capital club struggled with positional play and had sterile possession. However, Alexander Sørloth's goal in the 48th minute allowed the hosts to play to their strengths. Midweek, the "Colchoneros" faced additional pressure with a European fixture against Galatasaray (1-1). The passionate Turkish crowd acted as a 12th man, preventing Atlético from securing maximum points.
Match Results: Atletico Madrid
Mallorca Team Overview
🔴 The "Islanders" continue to grapple with inconsistent results. Currently, the club has accumulated 21 points from 20 matches, placing them 15th in the league standings. Notably, they are just two points clear of the relegation zone. Assessing Jagoba Arrasate's squad, they average 1.2 goals per game while conceding 1.5. The Spanish manager aims to build a cohesive unit with a focus on counter-attacking football.
⚫ Last weekend, the "Vermilions" came away victorious against Athletic (3-2). The standout performer was Vedat Muriqi, who notched a hat-trick. Interestingly, Mallorca adopted an aggressive approach, consistently creating chances in the opponent's half. This uncharacteristic attacking audacity allowed the "Islanders" to deny their rivals any points. It's worth noting that Vedat Muriqi is now the second top scorer in La Liga with 14 goals in 19 matches. He trails the league's leading scorer, Kylian Mbappe, by five goals.
Match Results: Mallorca
Latest news
Atletico Madrid
🎤 Following the draw with Galatasaray, Diego Simeone shared his thoughts on his team's performance: "In the first half, we saw an impressive display. We created chances, constantly attacked, but didn't capitalize on some opportunities as we should have. We went ahead, and they equalized when we could have secured the win. In the second half, they played with five at the back and felt more comfortable. They had chances too and could have won, especially after the last shot that Marcos [Llorente] saved. I think we played excellently. We could have won, but the key to success is converting chances accurately. Hopefully, we can get back to that."
❌ Among Atlético's unavailable players are Antoine Griezmann (muscle injury) and Clément Lenglet (knee injury).
Mallorca
🎤 After their 3-2 victory over Athletic, Jagoba Arrasate spoke to the media: “We were brave. At times, defending was challenging for us, and that's something we need to work on. We were more precise than they were, which is why we won. Athletic press high up the pitch, so you have to draw them out and then exploit the space behind. It’s clear, but executing it isn’t easy; you have to do it well to find that space. Today, we understood that and executed it well. We managed it, and Leo also contributed.” The Spanish coach also highlighted Vedat Muriqi's performance: “Words can't describe it. He’s in great form, and he helped us secure the win. I’m happy for him and glad his goals helped us triumph. I hope he continues scoring, and we keep converting our chances.”
❌ The participation of the following players remains doubtful: Marash Kumbulla (leg injury), Toni Lato (muscle injury), and Manu Morlanes (muscle injury).
⚽ Goal Prediction
This season, Atletico Madrid have shown significant improvement in their attacking play, averaging 1.8 goals per match. Meanwhile, Mallorca have been less convincing defensively, conceding 1.5 goals per game. Taking these factors into account, we suggest the following bet: Atletico's individual total over 2 goals.
🚩 Corner Prediction
It's worth noting that Atletico hold a substantial advantage in terms of average corners earned: Atletico with 6.8 compared to Mallorca's 3.4. In recent years, Diego Simeone's side have improved their positional play and now embrace a more patient build-up. We anticipate greater flank activity from the hosts - Atletico to win the corner count with a -3.5 handicap.
Editor's Prediction
Atletico Madrid's biggest asset this season is their home form. The "Colchoneros" have yet to lose at home in the current La Liga campaign. Furthermore, Diego Simeone's squad still harbors hopes of staying in the title race. Therefore, we predict a final score of 3-0 and suggest the following bet - Atletico to win with a -1.5 handicap.
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Betting Tips: Atletico Madrid - Mallorca
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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