Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid Prediction 21 September 2025

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The main thing

    🔈 Can Mallorca capitalize on Atletico's fatigue and cause them trouble? The 5th round of La Liga presents an intriguing matchup between Mallorca and Atletico at the "Iberostar". Both clubs are underperforming this season. Atletico are struggling to secure a spot in the top half of the table, while the Islanders find themselves languishing in 19th place. The main question is how effectively the visitors' attack can break through the hosts' tight defense. 

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Let's break down the outcomes from the last 10 head-to-head encounters: Mallorca have secured 3 wins, while Atletico have claimed victory 7 times. Now, let's look at the average scoring rate for each side over the same period: the "Vermilions" average 0.5 goals, while the "Indians" post 1.4. Last season, both clashes didn't showcase overly sharp or dynamic football, yet the "Rojiblancos" emerged victorious in both instances with scores of 1-0 and 2-0. 

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    25%
    3 Wins
    8%
    1 Draw
    67%
    8 Wins
    Total games
    12
    Total Goals Avg
    2
    Both teams scored
    25%
    0.5
    Total average
    1.5
    4.58
    Corner
    5.83
    1.83
    Yellow cards
    1.83
    12.08
    Fouls
    11.17
    Last matches
    25.01.26
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    1.33
    0.43
    10
    3
    10
    7
    2
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1.33
    0.43
    10
    3
    10
    7
    2
    1
    21.09.25
    La Liga
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    1
    0.61
    2.17
    3
    6
    14
    6
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.61
    2.17
    3
    6
    14
    6
    0
    0
    01.02.25
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    1.6
    0.42
    10
    4
    9
    14
    2
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.6
    0.42
    10
    4
    9
    14
    2
    3
    10.11.24
    La Liga
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    0.53
    0.61
    7
    2
    8
    16
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.53
    0.61
    7
    2
    8
    16
    1
    3
    04.05.24
    La Liga
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    -
    -
    6
    2
    12
    7
    2
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    2
    12
    7
    2
    0
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    Mallorca Team Overview

    🔴 Mallorca have had a rough start to the new season, securing just 1 point from their first 4 La Liga matches. It's important to note the tough schedule the "Islanders" have faced, with their first five fixtures including Barcelona (0-3), Real Madrid (1-2), and Atlético. It's no surprise that Jagoba Arrasate's side currently sit in 19th place in the standings. Interestingly, in 10 of their last 14 home head-to-heads with the "Colchoneros," the Mallorca side have avoided defeat-a remarkable record.

    ⚫ In their last outing, the "Islanders" came close to earning at least a point against Espanyol (1-2). However, even after one of the "Parakeets" players was sent off, Mallorca couldn't maintain a draw. The second-half stats clearly highlighted their issues with converting chances-17 shots from the "Cinnabar Reds" equated to an xG of 1.09. Their inability to take the initiative left Mallorca's players at a standstill, with their possession becoming ineffective despite having a numerical advantage.

    Match Results: Mallorca

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    La Liga
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    Real Oviedo
    Real Oviedo
    3.27
    0.3
    5
    5
    10
    8
    2
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    3.27
    0.3
    5
    5
    10
    8
    2
    1
    W
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Levante UD
    Levante UD
    1
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    1
    2.42
    0.41
    4
    6
    11
    15
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    2.42
    0.41
    4
    6
    11
    15
    2
    0
    L
    13.05.26
    La Liga
    Getafe
    Getafe
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    1.5
    0.42
    3
    3
    17
    18
    3
    4
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1.5
    0.42
    3
    3
    17
    18
    3
    4
    L
    10.05.26
    La Liga
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    2.11
    1.21
    5
    4
    17
    13
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    2.11
    1.21
    5
    4
    17
    13
    2
    0
    D
    01.05.26
    La Liga
    Girona
    Girona
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    1.11
    1
    5
    2
    8
    25
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.11
    1
    5
    2
    8
    25
    4
    2
    W
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    Atletico Madrid Team Overview

    🔴 After going winless in their first three matches, Atletico Madrid finally tasted victory last weekend with a 2-0 triumph over Villarreal. Currently, the "Colchoneros" have amassed five points, placing them in an interim 11th position in the league standings. It's crucial to note that during the week, the capital club faced additional pressure with a European fixture against Liverpool (2-3). It seems Atletico Madrid will find it challenging to maintain a high tempo in their upcoming away match following their recent trip to Anfield.

    ⚪ The "Colchoneros" nearly snatched points from Liverpool (2-3) last Wednesday in the opening round of the Champions League. A brace from Marcos Llorente allowed the Spanish side to seemingly achieve the impossible by leveling the score. However, in the 92nd minute of the clash, the "Reds" netted a third goal, dashing Atletico's hopes for a positive outcome. Their defensive strategy, set up in a 4-4-2 formation, initially posed problems for the reigning English champions.

    Match Results: Atletico Madrid

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    La Liga
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    2.45
    1.01
    5
    9
    3
    12
    0
    1
    5
    1
    4
    1
    1
    0
    2.45
    1.01
    5
    9
    3
    12
    0
    1
    L
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Girona
    Girona
    2.49
    2.33
    9
    8
    7
    9
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2.49
    2.33
    9
    8
    7
    9
    2
    0
    W
    12.05.26
    La Liga
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    1
    2.18
    1.47
    8
    4
    15
    12
    6
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2.18
    1.47
    8
    4
    15
    12
    6
    3
    W
    09.05.26
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Celta de Vigo
    Celta de Vigo
    2.41
    0.16
    10
    0
    11
    13
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2.41
    0.16
    10
    0
    11
    13
    1
    2
    L
    05.05.26
    UCL
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    1.32
    0.93
    5
    2
    10
    13
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.32
    0.93
    5
    2
    10
    13
    1
    2
    L
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Mallorca

    🎤 Ahead of the crucial clash with Atletico, one of Mallorca's five appointed captains, Manu Morlanes, spoke to the club's media: "It's an honor and a source of pride for me to be a captain of Mallorca. When I arrived here nearly three years ago, I dreamed every day of one day becoming a captain. I'm happy here, I'm happy with my teammates, and so is my family. I dream of achieving great success here. Obviously, being a captain is a big responsibility, which I embrace with great anticipation. As for the showdown with Atletico, you never know if it's good or bad to face such a formidable opponent at a moment like this, but it's what we've been dealt. The team is convinced that we have a great match ahead and that we'll need everyone's support to secure the three points."

    ❌ The participation of Marash Kumbulla and Javier Llabrés in the upcoming match remains highly doubtful.

    Atletico Madrid

    🎤 After a fiery clash with Liverpool (2-3), Diego Simeone shared his thoughts on the game: "The team didn't start well, and we were unlucky with the first goal, which threw us off our game plan. The second goal was magnificent. After that, we began to level the play. We finished the first half with a goal from Marcos Llorente, which gave us hope for a comeback. In the second half, we stepped up and kept the game in balance. It was 2-2, but Virgil van Dijk's stunning goal left a bitter taste from the defeat. The fighting spirit was just right. Many young players are just joining in. We came to a fantastic stadium and played against a team that attacks brilliantly. Initially, nothing promising was on the horizon, but if we are destined to lose, let it be this way."

    📰 Recently, an intriguing piece of news emerged regarding Atletico Madrid's management. According to several sources, American private investment firm Apollo Global Management is very close to acquiring a controlling stake in the club, currently valued at 2.5 billion euros. Apollo intends to keep Miguel Angel Gil, the CEO, within the management system, as well as Enrique Cerezo at the helm of the club's leadership.

    ❌ In the capital club's injury list are Jose Maria Gimenez (hip injury), Alejandro Baena (muscle injury), and Thiago Almada (muscle injury). Johnny Cardoso is also likely to miss his team's upcoming match.

    🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

    In head-to-head clashes between these teams, there are typically around 5.4 bookings per game. As the new season kicks off, both sides have been involved in matches with a significant number of yellow cards: Mallorca averages 4, while Atletico Madrid has 5. We anticipate that both the "Islanders" and the "Rojiblancos" will be eager to make up for their less-than-stellar performances, leading to a highly charged encounter. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards.

    ⚽ Goal Prediction

    In 6 of Atletico's last 8 matches, no more than two goals were scored. A similar trend holds for 6 of the last 7 meetings between these teams. The average total for their head-to-head games is about 2.3 goals per match. We expect a cautious game that is unlikely to produce many goals. Our choice is under 2.5 goals.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Atletico Madrid's ability to maintain compactness in positional defense allows them to remain among the league leaders in terms of fewest corners conceded, averaging just 1.8 per match. In comparison, Mallorca concedes an average of 4.3 corners. In head-to-head meetings, the capital club holds a solid advantage in corners won: 6.6 compared to 4.3. We back Atletico to win on corners.

    Editor's Prediction

    It's hard to argue against Atlético Madrid being the clear favorites for the upcoming match. The "Colchoneros" are gradually finding their rhythm, with new signings adapting well to the team's style of play. The trip to "Iberostar" presents a perfect opportunity to secure their second consecutive league victory against a struggling side. In recent seasons, the "Indians" have shown significant improvement in breaking down tight defenses, and this encounter is unlikely to be an exception. Our prediction for the final score is a 2-0 win for Atlético. The key pick is a victory for Atlético. 

    Our choice
    Atletico Madrid Win at odds of -130*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (20 September 2025, 08:09)

    Betting Tips: Mallorca - Atletico Madrid

    Mallorca have lost:
    rcd-mallorcaatletico-madrid-1in last 5 games against Atletico Madrid (La Liga).
    Atletico Madrid Win
    Bovada
    -132
    Mallorca have not won:
    rcd-mallorcain last 7 games (La Liga).
    Atletico Madrid will not lose
    MyBookie
    -588
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    rcd-mallorcain 17 of last 18 Mallorca games (La Liga).
    rcd-mallorcain last 8 Mallorca home games (La Liga).
    atletico-madrid-1in 12 of last 13 Atletico Madrid away games (La Liga).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -400
    Mallorca have conceded:
    rcd-mallorcain 14 of last 15 home games (La Liga).
    rcd-mallorcain 9 of last 10 games (La Liga).
    Atletico Madrid have scored:
    atletico-madrid-1in last 7 games.
    Atletico Madrid will score goal
    Everygame
    -500
    View more facts

    Mallorca - Atletico Madrid Table position

    LaLiga 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    3.
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    382261072-4672
    4.
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    382161162-4469
    5.
    Real Betis
    Real Betis
    381515859-4860
    17.
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    381191844-5042
    18.
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    381191847-5742
    19.
    Girona
    Girona
    389141539-5541

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 12
    +2
    -2
    14 - Scored
    16 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    1
    4
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    14
    12
    Conceded
    16
    2.6
    Match goals average
    3
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.4
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.6
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    66'
    View all stats