Saint Etienne vs Nantes Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 October 2026
🔊 For Nantes, a trip to the League 2 leaders is a test of whether they are a real team. That was how their own manager Grégory Poiret framed it after the defeat to Dunkerque: "That's where we'll find out whether we're a team or not." Saint-Étienne have won seven of their nine matches and lead their nearest rivals by four points. Nantes are 14th, just one point above the relegation zone. Can the visitors pass this test?
Head-to-Head
Saint-Étienne and Nantes drew 1-1 in their previous Ligue 1 meeting. Nantes led at half-time, but Saint-Étienne equalised despite having 75% possession. Nantes had the better expected goals figure, though - 1.36 to 0.84.
In 32 head-to-head meetings, Saint-Étienne have won 11 times and Nantes seven, with 14 draws. Draws have been particularly common at Nantes' ground, occurring in nine of the 16 matches played there.
Head-to-head statistics Saint Etienne - Nantes
Saint Etienne Team Overview
Saint-Étienne edged Red Star 1-0 away from home in their latest Ligue 2 fixture. Despite seeing just 41% of the ball compared to Red Star’s 59%, the visitors created more chances, registering nine shots to their opponents’ five.
Saint-Étienne are the top scorers in Ligue 2, with 22 goals in nine rounds. Ian Cathro's side have scored in every league match this season. At home they have been perfect, winning all four games and conceding just two goals. Their only dropped points came in September, when they lost to Dunkerque (1-2) and then drew in Metz. Since the international break, Cathro's team have won twice without conceding, the most recent of those coming away at Red Star, one of their closest rivals.
Match Results: Saint Etienne
Nantes Team Overview
Nantes lost their last Ligue 2 match at home to Dunkerque, going down 2-3. The hosts had 19 shots to their opponents' 12 and held 60% possession, but it wasn't enough even for a draw.
Nantes began the season with three consecutive defeats following their relegation from Ligue 1. The club soon parted ways with Michel Der Zakarian, whose final match in charge was a 5-2 home thrashing by Rodez. Under Grégory Poiret, the team have picked up eight points from six matches, though consistency remains elusive. In the previous round, Nantes took the lead at home against Dunkerque, but the visitors scored twice before half-time and added a third after the break. A late reply only reduced the deficit. Nantes had 19 shots to Dunkerque's 12, but Poiret was not placated: "There was no defensive shape, no pressing. That's unacceptable."
Match Results: Nantes
Total Goals Prediction
In the last 16 consecutive head-to-head matches played at Saint-Étienne's ground, the total has not exceeded three goals. We don't expect that run to end this time. The bet is Total Goals - Under 3.5.
Corners Prediction
In seven consecutive Ligue 2 matches involving Saint-Étienne, the total number of corners has not exceeded nine. We expect this match to stay within that range as well. The bet is Total Corners - Under 9.5.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on the statistics, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-0 (10.13%), 1-1 (9.99%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The most probable outcome is a narrow home win by 1-0.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Saint-Étienne have gone seven matches in a row without beating Nantes in head-to-head meetings, with 5 of the last 6 ending in draws. At home, though, the Ligue 2 leaders have lost just once in their last 13. Nantes, meanwhile, have taken three points away from home only once in 12 away matches. All of these runs can only continue if the two sides share the spoils. We expect the leaders to drop points at home for the first time this season, and for Nantes to go eight consecutive head-to-head meetings without defeat. The bet is Nantes not to lose.
Will this prediction come true?
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Betting Tips: Saint Etienne - Nantes
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