Sporting vs Alverca Prediction 22 August 2026
🔊 In the third round of the Portuguese Primeira Liga, Sporting take on Alverca. The hosts are capable of dominating for the full 90 minutes, and keeping a clean sheet will likely be one of their priorities. In that context, this could turn out to be a low-scoring affair.
Head-to-Head
📊 These two sides last met in March. Sporting were away from home and won comfortably, 4-1. Only the last three meetings are really relevant, and Sporting came out on top in all of them.
Head-to-head statistics Sporting - Alverca
Sporting Lisbon Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Sporting Lisbon, away team - Vitoria SC Guimaraes). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:2.
Here's the game statistics (Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes):
- ball possession: 67% vs 33%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 1;
- fouls: 12 vs 21;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
Sporting currently have four points from two matches. Their start to the season has been far from smooth - they dropped points against Estrela (2-2) before edging past Vitória Guimarães with some difficulty (3-2). Having already conceded four goals, a more cautious approach is expected. The coaching staff are clearly aware that something needs to be done defensively, and attacking flair may be sacrificed as a result. At home, chances might be limited, but the ones that do arrive could well be converted. Beyond that, Sporting will look to keep a clean sheet - especially given that the opposition are not particularly strong.
Match Results: Sporting Lisbon
Alverca Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Alverca, away - Estrela). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.
Here are the match stats (Alverca vs Estrela):
- ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 0;
- fouls: 10 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 7.
The visitors are sitting in the bottom half of the table. It comes as no surprise that Alverca have picked up just one point from their two matches. The defeat to Porto was predictable (0-2), and they could only draw with Estrela (2-2), a side of comparable quality. The script for Alverca against Sporting looks fairly clear already. They will most likely sit deep and look to hit on the counter, though those opportunities will be few. As for their defensive record, conceding an average of two goals per game, there is little reason to expect anything unusually solid at the back.
Match Results: Alverca
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 2.75, the guests - 1;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 3.75;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Alverca away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
Sporting Lisbon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.5; at home field - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.3; at home field - 6.67.
Alverca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.5, away - 9;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; away - 6.
- Under 10.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Sporting Lisbon games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 4;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Sporting Lisbon vs Alverca
- number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 1;
- number of BTTS matches for Sporting Lisbon at home - 1 (100%);
- number of BTTS matches for Alverca away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Sporting Lisbon at home - 5 (83%);
- BTTS matches for Alverca away - 1 (20%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (5/17, 29.4%);
- Sporting Lisbon at home most often finish matches: 3:2 (1/1, 100%);
- Alverca away most often play: 2:0 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:0 - 11.74% (odds 4.5)
1:0 - 11.58% (odds 3.1)
2:1 - 9.77% (odds 12)
⭐ Editor's Pick
Sporting are the clear favourites here. The Lisbon side are gradually building their form, and the focus now shifts to the defensive side of their game. Up front there are no concerns - at home they will create enough chances to score several goals. Once they take the lead, Sporting will likely become more pragmatic and look to manage the game. In those circumstances, Alvalade will have virtually no room to respond. Our editorial team expects this to be a low-scoring affair. We're backing Total Goals - Under 3.5.
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Betting Tips: Sporting Lisbon - Alverca
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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