Earthquakes vs Minnesota United Prediction 23 August 2026
🔊 In this MLS regular season match, San Jose Earthquakes host Minnesota United. The two sides currently sit at opposite ends of the Western Conference table. Minnesota, who have struggled badly in attack, may look to make this a tight, defensive game. It won't be easy for the hosts.
Head-to-Head
📊 These two sides last met in late April, when San Jose won 4-2 at home. Over the last five head-to-head meetings, though, Minnesota hold a clear advantage, leading 4-1 in wins.
Head-to-head statistics Earthquakes - Minnesota United
San-Jose Earthquakes Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the MLS tournament (home team - Los Angeles Galaxy, away team - San-Jose Earthquakes). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here's the game statistics (San-Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy):
- ball possession: 63% vs 37%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 2;
- fouls: 17 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 7.
San Jose currently sit fourth in the Western Conference standings, but their recent form has been poor: four defeats in their last five matches. They have lost to Galaxy (0-1) and St. Louis (1-3), and in both cases struggled to create chances going forward. Over the course of the season, Earthquakes have solid numbers - 1.9 goals per game - but their current form suggests a return to that level is unlikely any time soon. Their opponents will probably look to exploit that.
Match Results: San-Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the MLS tournament (home team - Minnesota United, away - Atlanta United). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here are the match stats (Minnesota United vs Atlanta United):
- ball possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 13 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Minnesota's season hasn't gone particularly well - they sit 11th in the table. Their biggest problem is in attack: just 22 goals in 20 matches, which is a remarkably low return. That naturally shows in their overall results. They recently lost to one of the East's worst sides, Atlanta, 1-2. At home, Minnesota can generate decent attacking chances - last matchday their xG stood at 2.14 - but they failed to convert. Away from home, their creative output can be considerably worse.
Match Results: Minnesota United
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.52, the guests - 1.81;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.33;
- both teams scored: overall - 14; at the home team's field - 7.
Statistics: San-Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United
- average total in the tournament: 3.3 vs 2.5;
- average total goals scored: 1.9 vs 1.1;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.85 vs 0.4;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.05 vs 0.7;
- San-Jose Earthquakes: average total at home in the tournament - 1.8;
- Minnesota United: average total away in the tournament - 1.4;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1) vs 1 (away - 0.75).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 San-Jose Earthquakes games against Minnesota United (MLS).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 5 San-Jose Earthquakes home games against Minnesota United (MLS).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 8 Minnesota United games (MLS).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Minnesota United away games (MLS).
Prediction on corners
San-Jose Earthquakes: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.8; at home field - 8.8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.9; at home field - 5.4.
Minnesota United: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.75, away - 5.9;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7; away - 8.5.
- San-Jose Earthquakes have taken over 5.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games against Minnesota United (MLS).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 21;
- both teams scored all-time - 14 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Statistics: San-Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United
- number of matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 20;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 12;
- number of BTTS matches for San-Jose Earthquakes at home - 5 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Minnesota United away - 8 (80%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for San-Jose Earthquakes at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Minnesota United away - 3 (75%).
- San-Jose Earthquakes have scored and conceded in 12 of last 14 games (MLS).
- San-Jose Earthquakes have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games.
- Minnesota United have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (MLS).
- Minnesota United have scored and conceded in last 5 away games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (30/299, 10%);
- San-Jose Earthquakes at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 3:0 (2/10, 20%);
- Minnesota United away most often play: 1:2 , 2:1 (2/10, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.56% (odds 7.5)
2:1 - 9.83% (odds 8)
1:0 - 8.01%
⭐ Editor's Pick
Minnesota are the underdogs here. That said, they are capable of sitting deep and making life very difficult for the opposition attack. San Jose can't feel comfortable either. Solid defending from both sides seems the more likely scenario, with open, vertical football unlikely. Our pick is a 1-1 draw. We're backing Total Goals - Under 3.5.
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Betting Tips: San-Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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