Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 August 2026
📢 The opening round of Serie A closes with Roma hosting Fiorentina at the Stadio Olimpico. The two sides had very different seasons last time out: Roma's consistency saw them finish in the top three, while Fiorentina spent much of the campaign fighting to stay up. But a new season means a clean slate - both clubs are on zero points and eager to start with a win.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the last 44 meetings between these two sides, Roma hold a clear advantage: 25 wins to Fiorentina's 11, with eight draws. Last season Roma took maximum points from both fixtures, and were particularly dominant at home, where they beat Fiorentina 4-0.
Head-to-head statistics Roma - Fiorentina
Roma Team Overview
🔴 Last summer, Roma appointed Gian Piero Gasperini, and after so many years at Atalanta it was strange to see him at another club. Many pundits expected the first season to be purely a transitional one, but the Giallorossi exceeded those expectations. They were consistent throughout the campaign, finished third and secured a Champions League place. They were particularly strong towards the end of the season, winning five matches in a row.
🟡 It will be interesting to see how the team performs in the new season, as Gasperini will now have to manage the demands of both Serie A and the Champions League. Whether he can handle that workload remains to be seen. The pre-season results have not been encouraging either: Roma won just one of their five friendlies, and that came against Newport, 4-1.
Match Results: Roma
Fiorentina Team Overview
🟣 Fiorentina were comfortably the biggest disappointment in Serie A last season. They spent a significant portion of the campaign in the relegation zone, and a drop to the second tier was a genuine possibility rather than an exaggeration. It took a mid-season managerial change to turn things around. Results improved in the spring, but the recovery only went so far - they finished 15th.
⚪ Despite that late improvement, Fiorentina are starting the new season under yet another manager: Fabio Grosso. In fact, the season is already under way. On 14 August, the club played their first competitive match - a Coppa Italia Round of 64 tie against Benevento, which they won 4-1 with all four goals scored by the 50th minute. Pre-season also went reasonably well: three wins, two draws and one defeat, including a 2-2 draw with Real Madrid.
Match Results: Fiorentina
Latest news
Roma
❌ Lorenzo Pellegrini is carrying a knock, so his involvement remains in doubt.
Fiorentina
❌ Fiorentina have one significant injury concern. Fabiano Parisi is recovering from a cruciate ligament injury and is not expected to return until early December.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Last season Roma had a decent attack, scoring 59 goals across 38 league matches. They were particularly effective after the break: in 9 of their last 10 home Serie A matches, they scored in the second half. Roma to Score in the 2nd Half is available at 1.50*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Last season Roma were one of Serie A's busiest teams for corners won, averaging 5.2 per match - fifth in the division. Their matches have also tended to be corner-heavy overall: at least nine were recorded in 9 of their last 10 official matches. With that in mind, Total Corners - Over 8.5 at 1.75* is worth considering.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Last season Fiorentina averaged 2.2 yellow cards per match - only Verona had a higher figure, at 2.3. In this match, the visitors are likely to spend more time without the ball and find themselves having to foul their way out of Roma's attacks. On that basis, Fiorentina to Receive More Yellow Cards at 1.73* looks a reasonable bet.
* Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editor's Pick
The bookmakers make Roma clear favourites here, and it's hard to argue. They have the stronger squad, and continuity in the dugout over the summer should mean better cohesion within the team. The head-to-head record adds further weight: Roma have won 6 of their last 7 home Serie A matches against Fiorentina. Our main bet is a Roma win. Expected score: 2-1.
No comments
Betting Tips: Roma - Fiorentina
in last 7 home games against Fiorentina (Serie A)..svg)
in 6 of last 7 home games against Fiorentina (Serie A).in last 5 games (Serie A).in 10 of last 11 games (Serie A).in 8 of last 9 games.
in 13 of last 14 home games against Fiorentina (Serie A).in last 8 home games against Fiorentina.in last 12 home games (Serie A).in 10 of last 11 home games.in last 7 games (Serie A).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
