Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction 4 May 2026
📢 Roma and Fiorentina will wrap up the 35th round of Serie A with a clash at the Stadio Olimpico. Both teams have plenty of motivation, but their objectives differ. The Giallorossi are still in the hunt for a Champions League spot and can't afford to drop points as the season nears its end. Meanwhile, La Viola are still fighting to secure their place in the top flight. With these stakes, the encounter promises to be quite intriguing.
Head-to-Head
📊 The head-to-head history between Roma and Fiorentina in recent years favors the Roman club: out of 43 matches, the "Giallorossi" have secured 24 victories, eight games ended in a draw, while the "Viola" triumphed 11 times. In the first round of the current season, Roma managed to defeat their opponents 2-1 away, despite the Florentines opening the scoring first.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Roma Team Overview
🔴 Last summer, Roma made changes in their coaching staff, appointing Gasperini as the head coach. The first half of the season saw the "Giallorossi" perform brilliantly, maintaining a strong position among the leaders. However, from January to March, the team's performance noticeably declined. The Romans struggled to secure points, causing them to slip to sixth place. Nonetheless, the gap from the top four remains manageable: after the 34th round, it was reduced to just three points, meaning the fight for a Champions League spot is far from over.
🟡 In the previous round, Roma secured a crucial away victory against Bologna (2-0). The team started the match confidently, opening the scoring in the 7th minute and netting a second goal just before halftime. After the break, the "Giallorossi" did not push for more and focused on maintaining their lead: they had only 33% possession and didn't register a single shot in the entire second half. However, this approach paid off completely-the desired result was achieved, and the Romans returned with three points from a challenging away fixture.
Match Results: Roma
Fiorentina Team Overview
🟣 Fiorentina approach the upcoming clash in high spirits. Over their last 11 matches, they've suffered just one defeat, falling to Crystal Palace (0-3) away in the Conference League. Last weekend, the Viola were on the verge of defeating a solid Sassuolo at home, but the game ended in a 0-0 draw. They dominated for most of the match, firing twice as many shots (22 compared to 11) and looking significantly sharper in attack (xG 1.87 to 1.12), yet the ball stubbornly refused to find the net.
⚪ The disastrous start to the season is now almost a distant memory. After 34 rounds, Fiorentina sit 15th with 37 points. They have a comfortable nine-point cushion from 18th place, making their situation quite stable. While it's still mathematically possible for them to be relegated, it's highly likely that they will secure their spot in the top division and calmly see out the rest of the season.
Match Results: Fiorentina
Latest news
Roma
🚫 The team is dealing with a long list of injured players: Konstantinos Tsimikas (illness) and Zeki Celik (muscle injury) are doubtful, while Neil El Aynaoui will miss the match due to suspension. Additionally, Bryan Zaragoza (knee injury), Lorenzo Pellegrini (muscle injury), Artem Dovbyk (muscle injury), and Evan Ferguson (hip injury) are ruled out.
📌 In terms of the impact of these absences, Roma might particularly feel the loss of El Aynaoui. Recently, he's been getting significant playing time and contributed to both goals in their last match against Bologna (1+1). As for Pellegrini, he is undeniably one of the key players for the Romans.
Fiorentina
🚫 The visiting side faces fewer absences: Niccolò Fortini is doubtful due to a muscle injury, while Tariq Lamptey (knee injury) and Moise Kean (muscle injury) are definitely out.
📌 Among these, Kean stands out as Fiorentina's top scorer with 8 goals in 26 Serie A matches. However, he's been sidelined since early April, so the team has already adjusted to playing without him.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Roma tend to dominate the first halves of their home matches against Fiorentina, having scored before the break in 12 of their last 13 Serie A head-to-heads. Overall, the Romans display a solid attacking prowess, making a bet on a Roma goal in the first half at odds of 1.71* a reasonable option.
🚩 Corner Prediction
It's worth noting that in their encounters with Fiorentina, Roma don't frequently reach the corner flag: Roma have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 meetings in Serie A. In the first round, the Wolves managed just four corners. There aren't many reasons to expect a deviation from this trend in the upcoming match. You can place a bet on this event at odds of 1.98*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
Editorial Prediction
According to bookmakers, Roma are clear favorites for this clash, and their reasoning makes sense. The "Giallorossi" sit higher in the standings, boast a stronger squad, and are vying for a Champions League spot. However, it's too soon to write off Fiorentina; the "Viola" are in decent form and can put up a fight even away from home. Additionally, the Florentines have consistently found the net on the road, scoring in seven of their last eight Serie A away games. Considering Roma's scoring ability but occasional defensive lapses, betting on both teams to score (yes) seems the most reliable option. We anticipate a 1-1 scoreline on the board.
Betting Tips: Roma - Fiorentina
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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