Groningen vs PSV Prediction 8 February 2026
🔊 In the 22nd round of the Eredivisie, Groningen will host the league leaders PSV. The "Red and Whites" have been nearly flawless this season with 18 victories in 21 matches. Meanwhile, Groningen sit in eighth place, striving to maintain their position in the European competition zone, especially after back-to-back defeats. Can the "Northerners" break their losing streak at home, or is this opponent not quite the right one for such a turnaround? Our editorial team provides a prediction on the chances for both teams.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 23 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 4:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - PSV):
- ball possession percentage: 66% vs 34%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 6.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Groningen and PSV:
- played 36 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 5, for the away team - 24, draws - 7;
- number of goals - 36 against 84;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.58, in the 2nd half - 1.75;
- average total goals in the match - 3.33.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Groningen Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Sparta, away team - Groningen). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here's the game statistics (Groningen vs Sparta):
- ball possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 16 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 5.
A few rounds ago, Groningen had ambitious plans to fight for a top-four spot, sitting just one point away from the coveted position. However, their last five matches have delivered mixed results: two draws, one win, and two consecutive losses in recent rounds. The leading club from the north of the Netherlands is among the least prolific in terms of scoring within the top eight. The "White-Greens" average only 1.33 goals per game. On the upside, they boast one of the best defenses in the league, ranking in the top three with only 26 goals conceded.
Match Results: Groningen

PSV Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the KNVB beker tournament (home team - PSV, away - Heerenveen). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:1.
Here are the match stats (PSV vs Heerenveen):
- ball possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 1;
- fouls: 10 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 12 vs 2.
PSV maintain a commanding lead in the Eredivisie, securing 18 victories in 21 matches. The team boasts an impressive attacking prowess, averaging over three goals per game. The "Red and Whites" continue to dominate on the field with their aggressive tactics and rapid play down the flanks. However, their defense occasionally shows vulnerabilities, conceding slightly more than one goal per match on average. Their recent encounter with Groningen ended in a 4-2 victory for the "Farmers," further solidifying their status as favorites for the upcoming clash.
Match Results: PSV
Latest news
Groningen
🎙 Reports suggest that a potential transfer of Stije Resink to Benfica has fallen through. On Monday, the Portuguese club's management contacted Groningen's director Frank van Mosselveld by phone, only to be met with a refusal to sell the player this winter. Benfica were furious with van Mosselveld's words and immediately withdrew from negotiations.
❌ The failed transfer seems to have affected not only the player's mental state but also his physical condition, as he picked up a minor injury ahead of the 22nd round of the Eredivisie. Additionally, Mats Seuntjens and Tika De Jong are sidelined with injuries. Meanwhile, two other players, Dis Janse and Marvin Peersman, will miss the game due to accumulated yellow cards.
PSV
🎙 Marco van Ginkel has called time on his professional football career at the age of 33. In a farewell interview, the former midfielder reflects on his vibrant career, a significant and successful part of which was spent at PSV. "That absolute euphoria and the feeling when you score in front of tens of thousands of people, I think I can't compare it to anything else. That's probably what I'll miss the most," concluded van Ginkel.
❌ PSV's injury list is gradually clearing up. Ahead of the 23rd round of the Eredivisie, it has been reduced to three players: Ricardo Pepi, Alassane Pléa, and Ruben van Bommel, compared to five before the 21st round.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 36;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 24, draws - 7.
Statistics: Groningen vs PSV
- matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- wins: 9 vs 18;
- win percentage: 43% vs 86%;
- losses: 8 vs 1;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 7;
- losses: 4 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 1.
- Groningen have lost in 12 of last 13 games against PSV (Eredivisie).
- Groningen have lost in 5 of last 6 home games against PSV (Eredivisie).
- PSV have won in last 15 away games (Eredivisie).
- PSV have won in 14 of last 15 games (Eredivisie).
- PSV have won in 7 of last 8 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 2.33;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.33;
- both teams scored: overall - 20; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Groningen vs PSV
- average total in the tournament: 2.57 vs 4.24;
- average total goals scored: 1.33 vs 3.05;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.57 vs 1.71;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.76 vs 1.33;
- Groningen: average total at home in the tournament - 1.5;
- PSV: average total away in the tournament - 2.8;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.5) vs 2.6 (away - 2).
- PSV have scored over 1.5 goals in last 5 games against Groningen (Eredivisie).
- PSV have scored over 1.5 goals in 16 of last 17 games (Eredivisie).
- PSV have scored over 1.5 goals in 15 of last 16 away games (Eredivisie).
- PSV have scored over 1.5 goals in 13 of last 15 games.
Prediction on corners
Groningen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.62; at home field - 8.3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 8.4; at home field - 12.5.
PSV: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.14, away - 6.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.3; away - 8.5.
- Groningen have taken under 4.5 corners in last 6 games against PSV (Eredivisie).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 36;
- both teams scored all-time - 20 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Groningen vs PSV
- number of matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 14;
- number of BTTS matches for Groningen at home - 4 (40%);
- number of BTTS matches for PSV away - 6 (60%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Groningen at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for PSV away - 3 (75%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (24/187, 12.8%);
- Groningen at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:1 , 0:2 , 1:1 , 1:2 , 2:0 , 2:1 , 2:2 , 3:0 , 4:0 (1/10, 10%);
- PSV away most often play: 1:2 (3/10, 30%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.37% (odds 8)
1:2 - 10.02% (odds 7.5)
0:1 - 8.29% (odds 10)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Groningen are striving for consistency after a series of setbacks, but their attacking prowess leaves much to be desired. Meanwhile, PSV are steamrolling through domestic competitions, averaging more than 3 goals per game. The head-to-head history between these clubs doesn't favor the hosts either: they've lost not only 12 of the last 13 encounters but also 5 out of 6 at home. Given these factors, a PSV victory seems almost certain.