Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense Prediction 12 March 2026
🔊 São Paulo and Chapecoense face off in a crucial match, with both teams harboring their own ambitions. São Paulo are in superb form at home, consistently scoring over 1.5 goals in recent games. The team aims to solidify their standing in the table. Chapecoense, on the other hand, have been putting up a decent scoring record, particularly in away matches, though their defensive inconsistency could pose a challenge.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between São Paulo and Chapecoense:
- 14 matches played;
- home wins - 4, away wins - 4, draws - 6;
- goals scored - 16 to 12;
- average total goals in the 1st half - 0.79, in the 2nd half - 1.21;
- average total goals per match - 2.
Head-to-head statistics Sao Paulo - Chapecoense

Sao Paulo Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Paulista A1 League, featuring Palmeiras at home against São Paulo. The match concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.
Here are the match stats (São Paulo vs Palmeiras):
- possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corners: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 15 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 1 vs 4.
⚪ São Paulo are in impressive form, having won four of their last five matches across all competitions and currently sitting second in the Serie A standings. Their attacking prowess is particularly evident at home, where they consistently score over 1.5 goals in most matches. Defensively, they are solid as well, conceding few goals in recent outings.
Match Results: Sao Paulo

Chapecoense Team Overview
The visiting team played their last official match on in the Santa Catarina tournament, with Chapecoense hosting Barra. The game concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Chapecoense vs Barra):
- possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 9 vs 1.
🟢 Chapecoense are currently in ninth place and show decent results in terms of attacking efficiency, averaging 2.67 goals per game this season. However, their defense could use some work, as the number of goals conceded highlights vulnerabilities when facing strong opponents like São Paulo.
Match Results: Chapecoense
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 14;
- Home wins - 4, Away wins - 4, Draws - 6.
Statistics: São Paulo vs Chapecoense
- Matches in the tournament: 4 vs 3;
- Wins: 3 vs 1;
- Win percentage: 75% vs 33%;
- Losses: 0 vs 0;
- Draws: 1 vs 2.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 7 vs 5;
- Losses: 2 vs 2;
- Draws: 1 vs 3.
- São Paulo have won at home in 7 of their last 8 matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches (Average Total):
- Home team - 1.14, Away team - 0.86;
- In head-to-head matches - 2;
- Both teams scored: overall - 4 times; at the home field - 3 times.
Average Total Statistics: São Paulo vs Chapecoense
- In the tournament: 2 vs 4.67;
- Goals scored: 1.5 vs 2.67;
- First half: 0.25 vs 0.67;
- Second half: 1.25 vs 2;
- São Paulo: home in the tournament - 2;
- Chapecoense: away in the tournament - 1;
- Last 10 matches: 1.6 (home - 2) vs 2.1 (away - 1).
- São Paulo have scored under 2.5 goals in 12 of their last 14 meetings with this team (Serie A).
- São Paulo have scored under 2.5 goals at home in 6 of their last 7 meetings with this team (Serie A).
- São Paulo have scored under 2.5 goals in 40 of their last 41 matches.
- São Paulo have scored under 2.5 goals in 24 of their last 25 matches (Serie A).
- São Paulo have scored under 2.5 goals at home in 18 of their last 19 matches.
- São Paulo have scored under 2.5 goals at home in 11 of their last 12 matches (Serie A).
Corners Prediction
São Paulo: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4; home - 2.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.8; home - 5.5.
Chapecoense: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.33, away - 0;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 6.2; away - 4.75.
- São Paulo have taken fewer than 6.5 corners in 8 of their last 9 matches (Serie A).
- São Paulo have taken fewer than 6.5 corners at home in 7 of their last 8 matches (Serie A).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 14;
- Both teams scored overall - 4 times;
- At the home field - 3 times.
Statistics: São Paulo vs Chapecoense
- Played in the tournament: 4 vs 3;
- Matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 2 vs 3;
- São Paulo: BTTS at home - 1 (50%);
- Chapecoense: BTTS away - 1 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- Matches with BTTS: 7 vs 5;
- São Paulo: BTTS at home - 2 (50%);
- Chapecoense: BTTS away - 3 (75%).
Exact Score Prediction
Frequent Results Statistics (Current Season):
- The most frequent score in the tournament: 1-1 (7/37, 18.9%), 2-1 (7/37, 18.9%);
- Sao Paulo at home most often finishes matches: 2-0, 2-1 (1/2, 50%);
- Chapecoense away most often plays: 1-1 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top three outcomes:
1-0 - 12.64% (odds: 6)
2-1 - 10.83% (odds: 8)
2-0 - 10.54% (odds: 6.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering current trends and team form, betting on São Paulo's individual total over 1.5 goals seems well-founded and is logically supported by statistics: the team has consistently scored more than this figure at home in 7 of their last 8 matches. Given Chapecoense's shaky defense and the high scoring ability of the hosts, an aggressive offensive display from São Paulo is anticipated.