Lahti vs TPS Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 23 June 2026
π₯ In Matchday 12 of the Finnish top flight, Lahti host TPS Turku in a clash between table neighbors, with both sides desperate for points. The hosts currently sit ninth on 11 points and will be looking to capitalize on home advantage to get back to winning ways. TPS, meanwhile, are seventh with 15 points and canβt afford another slip-up, as just a couple of wins could put them right in the mix for European qualification.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides ended in a 2-1 scoreline. Hereβs a comparative breakdown of the key statistics from that match (TPS Turku were the home team):
- Possession: 40% vs 60%;
- Corners: 5 vs 6;
- Fouls: 16 vs 17;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 7;
- Shots on target: 6 vs 6.
πStatistical preview of the official head-to-head meetings between Lahti and TPS Turku:
- The sides have faced off 39 times;
- Lahti have claimed 16 wins, while TPS Turku have 15 victories, with 8 draws between them;
- Goals scored: 66 for Lahti, 63 for TPS Turku;
- Average goals in the first half: 1.41, in the second half: 1.9;
- Average total goals per match: 3.31.
Head-to-head statistics Lahti - TPS
Lahti Team Overview
The team's most recent official fixture took place in the Veikkausliiga, with Gnistan hosting Lahti. The match ended 1-0.
Here are the key match stats (Lahti vs Gnistan):
- Possession: 60% vs 40%;
- Corners: 6 vs 2;
- Fouls committed: 10 vs 17;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 5.
Lahti have been inconsistent lately, with two wins and three defeats in their last five matches-a team that can catch fire one week and fade the next. Over their past ten games, Lahti average 1.6 goals scored and concede roughly the same, which points to their tendency to play open, attacking football. Their season average sits at about 1.27 goals per game, raising questions about their overall efficiency in front of goal. However, at home, Lahti show more ambition and create more chances. Despite defensive lapses, Lahti favour an attacking approach, making them a dangerous side in head-to-head clashes against opponents of similar quality.
Match Results: Lahti
TPS Turku Team Overview
The visitorsβ most recent official fixture came in the Veikkausliiga, where TPS Turku hosted KuPS. The match ended 2-1 in favour of KuPS.
Hereβs a breakdown of the key statistics (TPS Turku vs KuPS):
- Possession: 53% vs 47%;
- Corners: 4 vs 4;
- Fouls committed: 10 vs 11;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 5.
- 4 wins,
- 4 losses,
- 3 draws.
πCurrently, TPS Turku stands at a mid-tier position within the Veikkausliiga standings, with a win percentage of 36% and a loss percentage of 36%.
β½TPS Turku has scored a total of 12 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 11 goals over the season.
Match Results: TPS Turku
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 39;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 6; for visitors away - 4; number of draws - 10;
- Average first-half total: 1.41;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.67, while the visitors net 0.74.
First-Half Stats: Lahti (home) vs TPS Turku (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 5;
- wins: 3 (50%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 2 (40%);
- draws: 3 (50%) vs 3 (60%);
- Average goals scored: 1.67 vs 1.2;
- Average goals conceded: 0.33 vs 0.8.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 1;
- losses: 3 vs 3;
- draws: 5 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 2 (scored - 1, conceded - 1) vs 0.8 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.5).
- Lahti scored in the 1st half in last 6 home games.
- Lahti scored in the 1st half in last 5 home games (Veikkausliiga).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 39;
- home team wins - 16, away team wins - 15, draws - 8.
Statistics: Lahti vs TPS Turku
- matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- wins: 3 vs 4;
- win percentage: 27% vs 36%;
- losses: 6 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 4;
- losses: 5 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
- TPS Turku won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 games against Lahti.
- TPS Turku won with a +1.5 handicap in last 15 games.
- TPS Turku won with a +1.5 handicap in last 13 games (Veikkausliiga).
- TPS Turku won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 away games (Veikkausliiga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.69, the guests - 1.62;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.31;
- both teams scored: overall - 26; at the home team's field - 12.
Statistics: Lahti vs TPS Turku
- average total in the tournament: 2.55 vs 2.09;
- average total goals scored: 1.27 vs 1.09;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.91 vs 0.36;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.36 vs 0.73;
- Lahti: average total at home in the tournament - 1.83;
- TPS Turku: average total away in the tournament - 0.8;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 2.4) vs 1 (away - 0.67).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 7 Lahti games against TPS Turku.
Prediction on corners
Lahti: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.91; at home field - 4.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; at home field - 5.6.
TPS Turku: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.73, away - 4.4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; away - 3.17.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 39;
- both teams scored all-time - 26 times;
- on the home teamβs field - 12 times.
Statistics: Lahti vs TPS Turku
- number of matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 6;
- number of BTTS matches for Lahti at home - 4 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for TPS Turku away - 3 (60%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Lahti at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for TPS Turku away - 3 (50%).
- Lahti have scored and conceded in last 14 games against TPS Turku.
- Lahti have scored and conceded in last 9 games against TPS Turku (Veikkausliiga).
- Lahti have scored and conceded in last 6 home games against TPS Turku.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (13/70, 18.6%);
- Lahti at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (2/6, 33.3%);
- TPS Turku away most often play: 1:0 (2/5, 40%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.84% (odds 6.5)
1:0 - 10.83% (odds 7)
2:1 - 9.41% (odds 7.5)
β Editorβs Prediction
The overall stats for both teams suggest weβre in for a high-scoring encounter. Lahti tend to play with more attacking intent at home, creating plenty of chances, while TPS, currently in an unstable spell, are prone to defensive lapses-a mix that often produces goals at both ends. Frankly, thereβs little reason to expect a cagey affair here. A more realistic scenario is seeing the over 2.5 goals market hit. A 2-2 draw looks entirely possible.
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Betting Tips: Lahti - TPS Turku
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in 6 of last 7 Oliver Reitala games (in the Veikkausliiga).in 18 of last 19 games against TPS Turku.in 15 of last 16 home games against TPS Turku (Veikkausliiga).in 13 of last 14 games against TPS Turku (Veikkausliiga).in last 9 home games against TPS Turku.Comparison of Teams Stats
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