Sporting Cristal vs AD Tarma Prediction 24 May 2026
🔊 Sporting Cristal head into this clash on the back of inconsistent form and a worrying defensive record, as reflected in their recent results. Tarma, meanwhile, sit higher up the table and have shown more balance over their last ten matches, both in terms of wins and defensive solidity. The key contrast here is Sporting Cristal’s strong scoring record at home set against Tarma’s reliability on the road. This dynamic sets the stage for an intriguing encounter, with both teams likely to find the net and a high-scoring affair on the cards.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 04 October 2025 and ended in a 3-2 scoreline. Here’s a breakdown of the key stats from that encounter (Tarma were the home team):
- Possession: 43% vs 57%;
- Corners: 5 vs 12;
- Fouls committed: 10 vs 4;
- Yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- Shots on target: 9 vs 3.
📊 Sporting Cristal and Tarma have officially met just twice. Their most recent head-to-head took place on Tarma's home turf on 04 October 2025, ending in a 3-2 victory.
Head-to-head statistics Sporting Cristal - AD Tarma
Sporting Cristal Team Overview
The team’s most recent official fixture took place on in the Copa Libertadores, with Atlético Junior hosting Sporting Cristal. The match ended in a 3-2 victory for the home side.
Here’s a breakdown of the key match statistics (Sporting Cristal vs Atlético Junior):
- Possession: 49% vs 51%;
- Corners: 6 vs 4;
- Fouls committed: 10 vs 13;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 7.
Sporting Cristal have managed just two wins in their last ten matches, suffering six defeats along the way. During this stretch, they average 1.3 goals scored per game but concede heavily as well-letting in an average of 2 goals per match over the same period. This trend holds true across the season: Sporting Cristal score 1.6 goals per game while allowing 1.73, underlining their defensive frailties despite a relatively consistent attack. Seven consecutive home fixtures have seen the total go over 2.5 goals, and both teams have found the net regularly-clear evidence that Sporting Cristal often get involved in open, end-to-end contests with plenty of action at both ends.
Match Results: Sporting Cristal
AD Tarma Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Primera, facing off against Tarma on the road. The game ended in a 2-0 defeat for Comerciante Unidos.
Here’s a breakdown of the key stats from Tarma vs Comerciante Unidos:
- Possession: 56% vs 44%;
- Corners: 3 vs 9;
- Fouls: 13 vs 13;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 5.
Tarma currently sit ninth in the table, having recorded four wins, three defeats, and three draws over their last ten matches-a run that highlights their stability both in attack (averaging 1.7 goals per game) and at the back (conceding 1.2 on average). Their season-long numbers are slightly more modest, with just 1.33 goals scored per match and a solid defensive record of 1.13 conceded. Away from home, Tarma tend to play a pragmatic brand of football, often featuring matches with under totals on corners. Nevertheless, they have shown they can convert their chances, even when facing sides with a more attacking approach.
Match Results: AD Tarma
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 1, draws - 0.
Statistics: Sporting Cristal vs AD Tarma
- matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- wins: 4 vs 5;
- win percentage: 27% vs 33%;
- losses: 7 vs 5;
- draws: 4 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 4;
- losses: 6 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2, the guests - 2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 4;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Sporting Cristal vs AD Tarma
- average total in the tournament: 3.33 vs 2.47;
- average total goals scored: 1.6 vs 1.33;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.6 vs 0.53;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 0.8;
- Sporting Cristal: average total at home in the tournament - 2.14;
- AD Tarma: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.75) vs 1.7 (away - 1.75).
- Sporting Cristal have conceded in 9 of last 10 games.
- Sporting Cristal have conceded in last 8 games (Primera Division).
- AD Tarma have scored in 9 of last 10 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 17.5 (13 - for home team and 4.5 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 18 (14 - for home team and 4 - for away team).
Sporting Cristal: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.33; at home field - 6.71;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; at home field - 7.25.
AD Tarma: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.87, away - 3.29;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.7; away - 3.25.
- Under 9.5 corners in 13 of last 14 AD Tarma away games (Primera Division).
- Under 9.5 corners in 8 of last 9 AD Tarma games (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Sporting Cristal vs AD Tarma
- number of matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 6;
- number of BTTS matches for Sporting Cristal at home - 6 (86%);
- number of BTTS matches for AD Tarma away - 3 (43%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Sporting Cristal at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for AD Tarma away - 3 (75%).
- Sporting Cristal have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games (Primera Division).
- Sporting Cristal have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games (Primera Division).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (22/135, 16.3%);
- Sporting Cristal at home most often finish matches: 1:2 , 2:2 (2/7, 28.6%);
- AD Tarma away most often play: 2:2 (2/7, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.9% (odds 7)
2:1 - 9.94% (odds 7.5)
1:0 - 9.44% (odds 7)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Sporting Cristal have struggled defensively over their last ten outings, consistently finding themselves in high-scoring affairs. They've seen seven consecutive home matches produce at least three goals. Tarma, meanwhile, strike a better balance between attack and defence, but even on the road they carry plenty of scoring threat-especially given that the hosts rarely keep clean sheets. All signs point to an open contest, with Cristal’s defensive frailties matched by the visitors’ attacking efficiency. The smart play here is on over 2.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Sporting Cristal - AD Tarma
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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