Necaxa vs Guadalajara Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 23 April 2026
⚡️ The clash between Necaxa and Guadalajara promises to be thrilling, given the current form of both teams. Necaxa are in search of consistency, with their recent performances lacking steadiness. Meanwhile, Guadalajara are showcasing impressive scoring ability, particularly on the road. How will their battle conclude? Find out in the prediction below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a 3-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (with Guadalajara as the home side):
- possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corners: 4 vs 7;
- fouls: 8 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Necaxa and Guadalajara:
- 33 matches played;
- home wins - 7, away wins - 19, draws - 7;
- goals scored - 38 versus 62;
- average goals in the first half - 1.33, in the second half - 1.7;
- average total goals per match - 3.03.
Head-to-head statistics Necaxa - Guadalajara

Necaxa Team Overview
The most recent official match took place in the Liga MX, featuring Necaxa as the home team and Tigres as the visitors. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Necaxa vs Tigres):
- possession: 27% vs 73%;
- corner kicks: 0 vs 13;
- fouls: 16 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 5.
Necaxa are currently 11th in the league standings and have yet to showcase consistent results. Over their last five matches, they've recorded two wins and two draws, highlighting their erratic performances. The team scores an average of 1.31 goals per game but also concedes frequently, with an average of 1.66 goals allowed per match. Given these stats, Necaxa face a tough challenge when up against stronger opponents.
Match Results: Necaxa

Guadalajara Chivas Team Overview
The last official match played by the current visitors took place in the Liga MX, with Guadalajara hosting Puebla. The match ended in a 5-0 victory.
Here are the game statistics (Guadalajara vs Puebla):
- possession: 68% vs 32%;
- corners: 9 vs 0;
- fouls: 8 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 8 vs 1.
Guadalajara are confidently navigating the season, currently sitting at the top of the standings thanks to their strong attacking play. Over their last ten matches, they have secured six wins, suffered three losses, and drawn once, demonstrating a consistent ability to score with an average of 2.3 goals per game. Notably, their prowess on the road deserves recognition; they not only find the back of the net frequently but also occasionally allow opponents to challenge their goalkeeper.
Match Results: Guadalajara Chivas
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- home team wins - 7, away team wins - 19, draws - 7.
- Necaxa won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 games (Liga MX).
- Necaxa won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 home games (Liga MX).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.15, the guests - 1.88;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.03;
- both teams scored: overall - 20; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Necaxa vs Guadalajara Chivas
- average total in the tournament: 2.97 vs 3.12;
- average total goals scored: 1.31 vs 1.88;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.59 vs 0.94;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.72 vs 0.94;
- Necaxa: average total at home in the tournament - 1.31;
- Guadalajara Chivas: average total away in the tournament - 1.47;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.2) vs 2.3 (away - 1.4).
- Guadalajara Chivas have scored over 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games (Liga MX).
Prediction on corners
Necaxa: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5; at home field - 5.19;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; at home field - 4.
Guadalajara Chivas: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.76, away - 5.24;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.2; away - 4.8.
- Necaxa have taken over 3.5 corners in last 8 home games against Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX).
- Necaxa have taken over 3.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games against Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX).
- Necaxa have taken over 3.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games (Liga MX).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- both teams scored all-time - 20 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
- Guadalajara Chivas have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 away games (Liga MX).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (36/305, 11.8%);
- Necaxa at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 1:1 (4/16, 25%);
- Guadalajara Chivas away most often play: 1:2 (4/17, 23.5%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.54% (odds 8)
1:2 - 9.51% (odds 8.5)
0:1 - 9.02% (odds 9)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Given the current trends, Guadalajara are expected to deliver a high-scoring performance - they consistently surpass the 1.5 goals mark in nearly all their away matches (6 out of the last 7). Necaxa, on the other hand, are struggling with defensive issues. Therefore, a victory for the visitors seems likely. A possible scoreline is 1-2.