Toulouse vs Lyon Prediction 22 August 2026
🔊 Lyon are being thrown straight into the deep end: Tuesday brought a 1-1 draw with Fenerbahçe in Istanbul, Saturday brings Toulouse, and then on 26 August comes the Champions League play-off second leg. Three matches in eight days. Toulouse, meanwhile, are starting fresh under a new manager - Danish coach Jens Berthel Askou, for whom this will be his first match in a top-flight league.
Head-to-Head
📊 The head-to-head trends here are misleading. Toulouse have won just two of their last 20 meetings with Lyon, but both of those wins have come recently: they took all three points in Lyon in October, then edged their opponents 2-1 at home on 10 May. High-scoring games are rare between these sides - 8 of their last 9 Ligue 1 meetings have produced fewer than four goals.
Head-to-head statistics Toulouse - Lyon
Toulouse Team Overview
Toulouse spent last season in mid-table, never threatening either the European places or the relegation playoff spots. Their home record was fairly balanced: six wins, six draws and five defeats in 17 matches, with 25 goals scored and 24 conceded.
The club's last notable achievement was the 2023 Coupe de France, won shortly after their return from Ligue 2. They carried that form into pre-season: in late July, Toulouse beat Real Sociedad in a friendly.
Match Results: Toulouse
Olympique Lyon Team Overview
Lyon finished fourth last season with 60 points, securing a return to the Champions League. Paulo Fonseca has been in charge since January 2025, and this is his second full season at the club.
The gap between their home and away form was notable last season: 37 points at home compared to 23 from 17 away matches. Lyon have been finding European qualification hard work - they lost to Sparta in Prague, then beat them in the second leg at home, and on Tuesday in Istanbul they took the lead through Lois Openda only to concede an equaliser from Mason Greenwood after the break.
Match Results: Olympique Lyon
Latest news
Toulouse
❌ In the spring, Carles Martínez Novell announced his departure and later took charge of Bayer. On 21 May, the club unveiled Jens Berthel Askou: the 43-year-old Dane arrived from Motherwell, where he picked up 61 points in 47 matches and guided the club to fourth place in Scotland. He has no experience of top-flight management, so the opening round will be a test for both the head coach and his system. The injury list is short - only defender Rafik Messali is ruled out.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
At home in this fixture, Toulouse have scored and conceded in ten consecutive Ligue 1 matches. Lyon's recent attacking form is also solid - they have found the net in 8 of their last 9 games. And away from home last season, Lyon's defence conceded 22 goals in 17 matches. We don't expect either side to keep a clean sheet here. The bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.61*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Both sides tend to generate plenty of corners. Over their last 20 official matches, Lyon have averaged 10.7 corners per game combined, while Toulouse average 9.1. The visitors produce more: 5.7 corners per match against 4.45 for the hosts. There's also a relevant run - Lyon have seen over 8.5 corners in seven consecutive Ligue 1 matches. The bet is Total Corners - Over 8.5 at 1.38*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Guillaume Paradis hasn't built up much of a statistical record in Ligue 1 yet, so we're going by team data - and the numbers are high. Over their last 20 official matches, Lyon have averaged 4.1 cards per game combined, while Toulouse average 4.05. Lyon are the main drivers at home, picking up 2.3 bookings per match - though their opponents actually average even more, at 2.65. The bet: Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across bookmakers.
📌 Editor's Pick
We're not touching the result here: Lyon are the stronger side, but they arrive between two Champions League knockout matches and will almost certainly rotate. Where the lines do diverge from recent trends, though, is on goals. There have been more than two goals in ten consecutive head-to-head matches played at Toulouse's ground. The same pattern holds in 7 of Toulouse's last 8 matches. Lyon's run is shorter but unbroken: five straight Ligue 1 matches over 2.5 goals. The bet is Total Goals - Over 2.5. Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Toulouse - Olympique Lyon
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