Lyon vs Toulouse Prediction

Details
The main thing

    🔊 Will Lyon extend their winning streak in the French Championship? On Sunday, as part of the seventh round of Ligue 1, the "Lions" will host Toulouse, who currently sit mid-table. The "Violets" have been struggling recently, while their opponents are on the rise, which is why bookmakers consider the hosts favorites. Below, you'll find an analysis of this match and a prediction for its outcome.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In the last 18 encounters between these rivals, Lyon have remained unbeaten, winning the majority of those matches. The last time Toulouse defeated their opponent was back in 2014.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    60%
    21 Wins
    20%
    7 Draws
    20%
    7 Wins
    Total games
    35
    Total Goals Avg
    2.97
    Both teams scored
    54%
    1.91
    Total average
    1.06
    1.46
    Yellow cards
    2.06
    Last matches
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    05.10.25
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    0.95
    8
    5
    13
    17
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    0.95
    8
    5
    13
    17
    1
    3
    18.01.25
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    0.73
    1.13
    8
    5
    8
    8
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.73
    1.13
    8
    5
    8
    8
    1
    0
    29.09.24
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    -
    -
    3
    4
    7
    13
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    4
    7
    13
    2
    2
    15.03.24
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    -
    -
    5
    3
    16
    12
    2
    2
    2
    3
    0
    1
    2
    2
    -
    -
    5
    3
    16
    12
    2
    2
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    Olympique Lyon Team Overview

    🔵 Lyon have hit an impressive stride, deservedly securing the second spot in the Ligue 1 standings. Paulo Fonseca's squad have suffered just one defeat in the French league, which came in a fourth-round away clash against Rennes (1-3). Since that setback, the team have embarked on a four-game winning streak-two victories in the domestic league and two in the Europa League.

    🔴 In their previous outing, Lyon secured a crucial victory over a fierce rival on the road, edging past Lille with a 1-0 scoreline. The lone goal of the match was netted by Tyler Morton in the 13th minute. Earlier in the week, Paulo Fonseca's side faced Salzburg in the Europa League and gave them no chance, cruising to a confident 2-0 home win. Notably, the "Lions" boasted an impressive xG of 2.42 and maintained 65% possession in that game.

    Match Results: Olympique Lyon

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    Lens
    Lens
    2.17
    1.83
    20
    8
    10
    11
    1
    4
    0
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    2.17
    1.83
    20
    8
    10
    11
    1
    4
    L
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    L
    03.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    2.05
    0.9
    7
    5
    10
    14
    0
    3
    4
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    2.05
    0.9
    7
    5
    10
    14
    0
    3
    W
    25.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    2.1
    0.99
    6
    3
    11
    15
    1
    2
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    2.1
    0.99
    6
    3
    11
    15
    1
    2
    W
    19.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    3.4
    0.83
    13
    5
    10
    8
    5
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    3.4
    0.83
    13
    5
    10
    8
    5
    1
    W
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    Toulouse Team Overview

    🟣 Toulouse kicked off the championship with an impressive start, securing two wins. Many predicted the team would contend for a spot in European competitions, but things have turned out differently. In their last four Ligue 1 matches, the Violets have only managed to earn a single point, slipping to 11th place. With an upcoming match against one of the league's frontrunners, prospects don't look promising given their current form.

    ⚪ In the sixth round, Carlos Martinez's squad managed to break a three-game losing streak with a draw against one of the tournament's underdogs, Nantes (2-2). During that encounter, Toulouse had to come from behind twice. They registered seven shots on target against the Canaries, which ultimately led to their goals.

    Match Results: Toulouse

    Last matches
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    W
    03.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    0.37
    1.28
    8
    3
    7
    15
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.37
    1.28
    8
    3
    7
    15
    1
    3
    W
    25.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    D
    21.04.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    4
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    L
    17.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    3.39
    0.27
    14
    1
    9
    15
    1
    1
    3
    2
    0
    2
    3
    0
    3.39
    0.27
    14
    1
    9
    15
    1
    1
    L
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Olympique Lyon

    🎙 Paulo Fonseca reflected on the Europa League match against Salzburg during a press conference and urged his team to gear up for the clash with Toulouse: “We delivered an outstanding performance, undoubtedly one of our best this season, against a strong side. Playing like that makes it tough for the opposition. Both defensively and offensively, we were impressive and acted with great courage. We defended intensively and managed the ball well, setting the pace when necessary. This match could have been challenging, but we prepared excellently and maintained good control. Now we need to recover properly, as Sunday's match will be very important for us. I hope to see a full stadium of our supporters. Thank you to everyone who was with us today: with you, we are stronger.”

    ❌ Algerian midfielder Rachid Ghezzal is doubtful for the upcoming match after sustaining an injury in the Europa League opener against Utrecht. Since that match, Ghezzal has missed two games: one in the French league and another in the Europa League.

    Toulouse

    ❌ Ilyas Azia and Rafik Messali will not be available for Toulouse in the upcoming match as they have been sidelined for a long time due to severe injuries sustained last season. It is unlikely we will see these players back on the field in the coming weeks.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The upcoming match will be officiated by Thomas Leonard. On average, over a span of 100 matches, he issues 3.61 yellow cards per game, with 26 fouls. In the last 6 matches of the current French championship season, the yellow card stats are as follows: Lyon averages 2.2 per game, while Toulouse averages 2.5. Considering that both teams frequently receive cautions, a bet on total yellow cards over 4 seems reasonable.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    The scoring prowess of both clubs leaves much to be desired. While Toulouse seems to struggle with "they can't," Lyon's strategy is more about scoring once and then locking down defensively. In any case, the average goals scored in the league are low: the hosts average 1.3 goals, and the visitors 1.5. Given these stats, a bet on total under 3.5 goals appears quite logical.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    The corner statistics for the opponents differ significantly. Lyon averages 6 corners per game in the current championship, while Toulouse manages just 3.8. Considering that the "Lions" will play this match at home, their number of attacks will undoubtedly be higher than their opponent's, making a bet on the hosts to win on corners look promising.

    Editor's Prediction

    The recent form of these teams has been starkly different. Lyon are currently on a four-match winning streak, while Toulouse have managed just one draw alongside three defeats in their last four outings. We believe the visitors stand little chance in this matchup, with the hosts likely to secure a 2-0 victory. Considering Lyon's tendency to score modestly and favor clean-sheet wins, we suggest betting on a total under 3.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (3) at odds of -175*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (4 October 2025, 04:51)

    Betting Tips: Olympique Lyon - Toulouse

    Olympique Lyon have won the 1st half
    olympique-lyon-1toulouse-fcin 10 of last 11 home games against Toulouse.
    olympique-lyon-1toulouse-fcin 9 of last 10 home games against Toulouse (Ligue 1).
    1st Half Olympique Lyon Win
    Bovada
    +162
    Olympique Lyon have won
    olympique-lyon-1in 8 of last 9 games.
    olympique-lyon-1in 6 of last 7 games (Ligue 1).
    olympique-lyon-1in last 5 home games.
    Olympique Lyon Win
    Bovada
    +101
    Olympique Lyon have not lost
    olympique-lyon-1toulouse-fcin last 18 games against Toulouse.
    olympique-lyon-1toulouse-fcin last 17 games against Toulouse (Ligue 1).
    olympique-lyon-1toulouse-fcin last 16 home games against Toulouse (Ligue 1).
    olympique-lyon-1in 11 of last 12 home games.
    olympique-lyon-1in 8 of last 9 games.
    Olympique Lyon will not lose
    Everygame
    -385
    Olympique Lyon have scored
    olympique-lyon-1toulouse-fcin 18 of last 19 games against Toulouse.
    olympique-lyon-1toulouse-fcin 17 of last 18 games against Toulouse (Ligue 1).
    olympique-lyon-1toulouse-fcin 16 of last 17 home games against Toulouse.
    olympique-lyon-1toulouse-fcin 15 of last 16 home games against Toulouse (Ligue 1).
    olympique-lyon-1in 28 of last 29 games.
    olympique-lyon-1in 21 of last 22 games (Ligue 1).
    olympique-lyon-1in last 15 home games.
    olympique-lyon-1in last 11 home games (Ligue 1).
    Olympique Lyon will score goal
    Everygame
    -500
    View more facts

    Lyon - Toulouse Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    3.
    Lille
    Lille
    34187952-3761
    4.
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    341861053-4060
    5.
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    341851163-4559
    9.
    Lorient
    Lorient
    3411121148-5145
    10.
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    331281347-4644
    11.
    Paris
    Paris
    3411111247-5044

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 15
    -2
    -7
    15 - Scored
    22 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    1
    4
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    15
    15
    Conceded
    22
    2.8
    Match goals average
    3.7
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2.2
    5
    Both teams scored
    7
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    60'
    View all stats