New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire Prediction 22 August 2026
🔊 In this MLS regular season match, New York Red Bulls host Chicago Fire. The visitors have been playing considerably better football, and that difference in quality could well show in this one. The gap between the two sides right now is significant. Chicago Fire are the favourites.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 09 May 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Chicago Fire):
- ball possession percentage: 64% vs 36%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 7 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
📊 These two sides last met in early May, when New York won 3-1 away. Over the last five head-to-head meetings, it's been fairly even: two wins apiece and one draw.
Head-to-head statistics New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire
NY Red Bulls Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the MLS tournament (home team - NY Red Bulls, away team - Nashville). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here's the game statistics (NY Red Bulls vs Nashville):
- ball possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 10;
- fouls: 4 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 1 vs 3.
New York have been in terrible form lately, losing four of their last five matches. The slump looks very real. In their most recent home game against Nashville (0-1), they did create chances - 1.58 xG - but couldn't convert. Against Chicago, they're likely to have far fewer opportunities. The season-long defensive numbers are also a concern: they're conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game.
Match Results: NY Red Bulls
Chicago Fire Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the MLS tournament (home team - Orlando City, away - Chicago Fire). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here are the match stats (Chicago Fire vs Orlando City):
- ball possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 3;
- fouls: 11 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
Chicago are in perfect form - six wins in a row, including recent victories over Orlando (2-1) and Portland (2-1). Fire play in a fairly pragmatic style and don't create a huge number of chances, but their finishing has been excellent. Statistically, they're averaging around two goals per game while conceding just over one. Playing away is always a challenge, especially with a congested schedule, but Chicago look the stronger side by some distance.
Match Results: Chicago Fire
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.43, the guests - 1.43;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.86;
- both teams scored: overall - 25; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: NY Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire
- average total in the tournament: 3.6 vs 3.21;
- average total goals scored: 1.5 vs 1.89;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.8 vs 0.89;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.7 vs 1;
- NY Red Bulls: average total at home in the tournament - 1.6;
- Chicago Fire: average total away in the tournament - 1.78;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.17) vs 2 (away - 1.8).
- Chicago Fire have scored under 2.5 goals in 25 of last 26 games against NY Red Bulls.
- Chicago Fire have scored under 2.5 goals in 8 of last 9 games.
- Chicago Fire have scored under 2.5 goals in last 6 games (MLS).
Prediction on corners
NY Red Bulls: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.15; at home field - 6.1;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.5; at home field - 6.33.
Chicago Fire: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.26, away - 3.44;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; away - 3.2.
- Under 9.5 corners in 7 of last 8 NY Red Bulls games against Chicago Fire (MLS).
- Under 9.5 corners in last 6 NY Red Bulls home games against Chicago Fire (MLS).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 42;
- both teams scored all-time - 25 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: NY Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire
- number of matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 19;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 13;
- number of BTTS matches for NY Red Bulls at home - 5 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Chicago Fire away - 7 (78%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for NY Red Bulls at home - 3 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Chicago Fire away - 4 (80%).
- Chicago Fire have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games (MLS).
- Chicago Fire have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games.
- Chicago Fire have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 away games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (30/299, 10%);
- NY Red Bulls at home most often finish matches: 0:2 , 3:2 (2/10, 20%);
- Chicago Fire away most often play: 1:2 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 9.45% (odds 8.5)
1:2 - 8.4% (odds 9.5)
2:1 - 8.17% (odds 10)
⭐ Editor's Pick
New York will look to make this difficult for their opponents - they have plenty of motivation to pull themselves out of their current situation. But Chicago Fire are a pragmatic side on both sides of the ball, and this match is unlikely to be a high-tempo affair. We don't expect a flood of chances at either end. In that context, the visitors should edge it, but only just. We're predicting a 1-2 scoreline. Our bet is on Chicago Fire Handicap (0).
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Betting Tips: NY Red Bulls - Chicago Fire
in 6 of last 7 games (MLS).
in last 6 games.
in last 6 games.in 25 of last 26 games against NY Red Bulls.in 9 of last 10 games.in last 7 games (MLS).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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