Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls Prediction 9 May 2026
🔊 In the upcoming clash, Chicago Fire and New York Red Bulls are set to meet in an intriguing showdown. Both teams bring their unique qualities to the pitch: Chicago are strong performers at home, while New York struggle on the road. The standings also play a significant role-Chicago aim to solidify their position at the top of the table, while the visitors are looking to climb out of mid-table obscurity. The match promises to be intense and action-packed.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 27 July 2025 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (home team - Chicago Fire):
- possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corners: 3 vs 1;
- fouls: 5 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 3.
📊 Analytical review of past official encounters between Chicago Fire and New York Red Bulls:
- 41 matches played;
- home wins - 16, away wins - 13, draws - 12;
- goals scored (home/away) - 59 to 57;
- average total goals per match - 2.83.
Head-to-head statistics Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls

Chicago Fire Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on in the MLS, with Chicago Fire hosting Cincinnati. The game concluded with a scoreline of 2-3.
Here are the match statistics (Chicago Fire vs Cincinnati):
- possession percentage: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 1;
- fouls: 12 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 10 vs 4.
Chicago Fire have been putting in consistent performances in recent matches. Over their last five games, the team has secured two wins, drawn once, and suffered two losses. On average, over their last 10 games, they score 1.8 goals per match while conceding 1.2. Their strength lies in a solid defense and the ability to create scoring opportunities even against stronger opponents. Currently sitting fourth in the standings, they have a strong chance to solidify their position with the backing of their home crowd.
Match Results: Chicago Fire

NY Red Bulls Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the MLS, where New York Red Bulls hosted Dallas. The match concluded with a 0-2 scoreline.
The game statistics were as follows (New York Red Bulls vs Dallas):
- possession percentage: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 4;
- fouls: 6 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 0 vs 6.
New York Red Bulls find themselves in a challenging situation. Their recent form is shaky, with one draw and four losses in their last five matches. The team averages 1.7 goals per game but concedes around 2.7, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities. Currently sitting in eleventh place in the standings, New York needs to improve their results to break out of this slump. Their playing style relies on quick counter-attacks and applying pressure on opponents, but their weak defense often falters at crucial moments in the match.
Match Results: NY Red Bulls
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Chicago Fire (Home) vs NY Red Bulls (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- Number of wins: 3 (50%) vs 1 (16.67%);
- Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 4 (66.67%);
- Number of draws: 3 (50%) vs 1 (16.67%);
- Average total goals scored: 1.17 vs 1.67;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.33 vs 1.17.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 4 vs 2;
- Number of losses: 0 vs 5;
- Number of draws: 6 vs 3;
- Average first half total: 1.3 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.8 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 1.1).
- Chicago Fire scored in the 1st half in last 5 home games against NY Red Bulls (MLS).
- NY Red Bulls conceded in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 games (MLS).
- NY Red Bulls conceded in the 1st half in last 5 away games (MLS).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 41;
- home team wins - 16, away team wins - 13, draws - 12.
Statistics: Chicago Fire vs NY Red Bulls
- matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 11;
- wins: 5 vs 3;
- win percentage: 50% vs 27%;
- losses: 3 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 2;
- losses: 3 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
- NY Red Bulls won with a +1.5 handicap in last 17 away games against Chicago Fire.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.44, the guests - 1.39;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.83;
- both teams scored: overall - 24; at the home team's field - 14.
Statistics: Chicago Fire vs NY Red Bulls
- average total in the tournament: 3 vs 3.91;
- average total goals scored: 1.9 vs 1.45;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.9 vs 0.55;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 0.91;
- Chicago Fire: average total at home in the tournament - 2.17;
- NY Red Bulls: average total away in the tournament - 1.17;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 1.83) vs 1.7 (away - 1).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 Chicago Fire games against NY Red Bulls (MLS).
Prediction on corners
Chicago Fire: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.4; at home field - 5.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.7; at home field - 4.83.
NY Red Bulls: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.91, away - 7.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.9; away - 7.2.
- Under 9.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Chicago Fire games against NY Red Bulls (MLS).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 41;
- both teams scored all-time - 24 times;
- on the home team’s field - 14 times.
Statistics: Chicago Fire vs NY Red Bulls
- number of matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 11;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for Chicago Fire at home - 2 (33%);
- number of BTTS matches for NY Red Bulls away - 5 (83%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Chicago Fire at home - 3 (50%);
- BTTS matches for NY Red Bulls away - 4 (80%).
- Chicago Fire have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 home games against NY Red Bulls.
- Chicago Fire have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games against NY Red Bulls (MLS).
- NY Red Bulls have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 away games (MLS).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:2 (15/159, 9.4%);
- Chicago Fire at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (2/6, 33.3%);
- NY Red Bulls away most often play: 1:1 , 1:2 , 2:0 , 2:2 , 4:1 , 6:1 (1/6, 16.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 9.67% (odds 7.5)
1:1 - 8.58% (odds 9)
2:0 - 7.64% (odds 11)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Chicago Fire continue to showcase confident play, and their position at the top of the table only boosts their motivation. With a strong defense and the ability to capitalize on attacking opportunities, they consistently achieve positive results. On the other hand, New York Red Bulls struggle away from home, displaying inconsistent performances with a vulnerable defense. Considering the trend of a handicap for the visitors in head-to-head encounters, as well as the current form of both teams, a well-founded choice would be to bet on New York Red Bulls with a +1.5 handicap.