Cerro Largo vs Defensor Prediction 22 August 2026
🔊 Cerro Largo and Defensor Sporting come into this match in different form. The visitors have managed just one win in their recent games, while the hosts have shown resilience, drawing four of their last matches. Scoring has been modest on both sides - neither team has been particularly consistent in attack - though Defensor have had some defensive issues. Against that backdrop, this looks like a prestige match played with a degree of caution.
Head-to-Head
The last official meeting between the sides took place on 13 July 2026 and ended 1-1. Here is the key match statistics from that game (Cerro Largo were the home side):
- Possession: 47% vs 53%;
- Corners: 5 vs 7;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 1.
📊 Cerro Largo and Defensor Sporting have met 16 times in official competition. The hosts have won four of those matches, while Defensor Sporting have come out on top in eight, with four draws. Defensor Sporting also hold the edge in goals scored - 20 to 13. On average, the teams have scored 1.13 goals in the first half and 0.94 in the second, giving an overall match average of 2.06 goals per game.
Head-to-head statistics Cerro Largo - Defensor
Cerro Largo Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primera, with Montevideo Wanderers at home against Cerro Largo. The match ended 1-1.
Match stats (Cerro Largo vs Montevideo Wanderers):
- Possession: 49% vs 51%;
- Corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
- Yellow cards: 5 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 5.
Cerro Largo have played 15 matches in the current Primera División season, winning 7, drawing 6 and losing 10. They are not a high-scoring side - averaging just 0.96 goals per game going forward and conceding 1.09 per match. Their last five fixtures have shown a degree of consistency: three draws, one win and one defeat. That record points to a cautious approach without any real bursts of attacking intent. Home matches have tended to be low-scoring affairs: Over 1.5 total goals has landed in eight of their nine home games, yet the under 2.5 trend holds up regularly across the season, and it is particularly pronounced in Cerro Largo's matches.
Match Results: Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting Team Overview
The visitors' most recent competitive match took place on in the Primera, with Defensor Sporting hosting Liverpool Montevideo. The match ended 0-4.
Match stats (Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool Montevideo):
- Possession: 51% vs 49%;
- Corner kicks: 8 vs 4;
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 5;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 8.
Defensor Sporting are finishing the season with nothing significant to play for, sitting mid-table and out of contention for any meaningful positions. In their last five matches they have won once, drawn once and lost three times, pointing to a dip in form as the campaign draws to a close. Over their last ten matches they have won just once, averaging 0.7 goals per game - a figure that reflects genuine attacking difficulties. Defensively they have also been vulnerable, conceding 1.6 goals per match over that run, noticeably above their season average of 1.04. That combination of a misfiring attack and defensive instability leaves them exposed even against opponents with modest firepower.
Match Results: Defensor Sporting
Total Prediction
Head-to-head (average totals):
- home side - 0.81, away side - 1.25;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.06;
- both teams scored: all time - 4 times; at the home side's ground - 2 times.
Average total stats: Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting
- in the league: 2.04 vs 1.78;
- goals scored: 0.96 vs 0.74;
- first half: 0.43 vs 0.35;
- second half: 0.52 vs 0.39;
- Cerro Largo at home in the league - 1.3;
- Defensor Sporting away in the league - 0.5;
- last 10 matches: 1.1 (home - 1.8) vs 0.7 (away - 0.67).
- Cerro Largo have scored at home in 8 of their last 9 league matches (Primera).
- Defensor Sporting have conceded in 10 of their last 11 league matches (Primera).
Corners Prediction
Cerro Largo: Statistics
- season: average total in the league - 3.35; at home - 2.7;
- last 10 matches: average total - 2.8; at home - 2.8.
Defensor Sporting: Statistics
- season: average total in the league - 5.09; away - 4.4;
- last 10 matches: average total - 5; away - 4.33.
- Defensor Sporting have taken more than 4.5 corners in five consecutive matches (Primera División).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- matches played - 16;
- both teams scored - 4 times overall;
- at the home team's ground - 2 times.
Stats: Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting
- matches played this season: 15 vs 15;
- matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 8 vs 11;
- Cerro Largo: BTTS at home - 5 (50%);
- Defensor Sporting: BTTS away - 5 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- Cerro Largo: BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
- Defensor Sporting: BTTS away - 2 (67%).
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent scorelines (current season):
- most common scoreline in the competition: 0-1 (27/185, 14.6%);
- Cerro Largo at home most often finish matches: 1-1 (3/10, 30%);
- Defensor Sporting away most often play: 1-1 (4/10, 40%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1-1 - 13.52% (odds 6)
0-0 - 12.82% (odds 7)
0-1 - 12.81% (odds 6.5)
⭐ Editor's Pick
Both sides are mid-table and not looking to force things, though motivation remains high. Cerro Largo's home matches regularly produce moderate scoring, with Over 1.5 goals landing in eight of their nine home games this season. Despite both teams averaging relatively few goals across the campaign, Defensor Sporting's defensive inconsistency in the second half of the season raises the likelihood of at least two goals here. The scenario points to a minimal but sufficient exchange of goals, or one clear spell of pressure from either side. We're predicting a 1-1 draw. Main bet - Total Goals Over 1.5.
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Betting Tips: Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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