Cerro Largo vs Defensor Prediction 13 July 2026
⭐️ After a long break for the 2026 World Cup, Uruguayan football finally returns to the pitch as the fifth round of the Torneo Intermedio gets underway. In Group A, fans can look forward to a compelling clash between a red-hot Cerro Largo side and a struggling Defensor Sporting. The hosts are locked in a fierce battle for top spot and are determined to solidify their position at home. Meanwhile, the visitors have endured a disastrous start to the tournament and now desperately need points to climb off the foot of the table.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides ended 1-0. Here’s a statistical breakdown from that match (Defensor Sporting were the home team):
- Possession: 55% vs 45%;
- Corners: 6 vs 6;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 3.
📊 Head-to-head stats for official meetings between Cerro Largo and Defensor Sporting:
- 15 matches played;
- the hosts have claimed 4 wins, the visitors 8, with 3 draws;
- goals scored: 12 for Cerro Largo, 19 for Defensor Sporting;
- average goals in the first half - 1.07, in the second half - 1;
- average total goals per match - 2.07.
Head-to-head statistics Cerro Largo - Defensor
Cerro Largo Team Overview
Cerro Largo headed into the international break in high spirits, firmly holding second place in the table with seven points to their name. Their biggest asset has been a rock-solid defense, over four matches, they have conceded just once. The coaching staff have prioritized tactical discipline and a compact midfield block, a strategy that continues to deliver consistent results. On home turf, Cerro Largo traditionally take the initiative, imposing themselves on the opposition and working relentlessly to shut down any attacking threats.
Match Results: Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting Team Overview
For Defensor Sporting, the opening phase of the Torneo Intermedio has turned into a nightmare, leaving the team anchored at the foot of the table. With just two points to their name, the club are struggling both to create chances and to keep things tight at the back. Their goal difference of 2-5 starkly illustrates a prolonged slump in form and a clear lack of cutting edge in the final third.
Match Results: Defensor Sporting
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 15;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 8, draws - 3.
Statistics: Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting
- matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- wins: 6 vs 4;
- win percentage: 33% vs 22%;
- losses: 9 vs 6;
- draws: 3 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 2;
- losses: 4 vs 4;
- draws: 3 vs 4.
- Defensor Sporting have not won in last 11 away games.
- Defensor Sporting have not won in last 10 away games (Primera Division).
- Defensor Sporting have not won in last 6 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.8, the guests - 1.27;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.07;
- both teams scored: overall - 3; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting
- average total in the tournament: 2.06 vs 1.56;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 0.72;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.39 vs 0.28;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.61 vs 0.44;
- Cerro Largo: average total at home in the tournament - 1.38;
- Defensor Sporting: average total away in the tournament - 0.44;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.6) vs 0.8 (away - 0.6).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Cerro Largo home games (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
Cerro Largo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.22; at home field - 2.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.7; at home field - 2.8.
Defensor Sporting: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.67, away - 4.11;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; away - 5.
- Cerro Largo have taken over 3.5 corners in last 5 home games against Defensor Sporting (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 15;
- both teams scored all-time - 3 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting
- number of matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Cerro Largo at home - 3 (38%);
- number of BTTS matches for Defensor Sporting away - 4 (44%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Cerro Largo at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Defensor Sporting away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (22/149, 14.8%);
- Cerro Largo at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 2:0 (2/8, 25%);
- Defensor Sporting away most often play: 1:0 , 1:1 (3/9, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:0 - 14.16% (odds 11.6)
1:0 - 13.73% (odds 6)
0:1 - 13.38% (odds 5.5)
⭐ Editor's Pick
The under 2.5 goals market stands out as the most reasonable and logical pick here. After a lengthy break for the World Cup, players will need time to rebuild their on-field chemistry, which is likely to result in plenty of mistakes in the final third. Cerro Largo, known for their rock-solid defense, are unlikely to open up or push the tempo from the outset. Defensor Sporting, meanwhile, will focus on staying compact at the back, packing their own box and aiming to grind out a draw on this tough away trip. Taking all this into account, we can expect a classic Uruguayan battle-scrappy, cagey, and full of midfield duels. A 2-0 scoreline is a realistic possibility.
Betting Tips: Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
