Sao Paulo vs Atletico PR Prediction 23 July 2026
🔊 Going into matchday 19, São Paulo and Athletico Paranaense arrive in very different form. The hosts sit eighth, five points behind fifth-placed Athletico. Over their last ten matches across all competitions, São Paulo have won just once - Athletico have won five. That said, Dorival Júnior's side remain a tough team to beat at home. Eight matches without a loss at Cícero de Souza Marques. Odair Hellmann's side, meanwhile, have struggled on the road - five defeats in their last seven away games.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the two sides took place on 06 August 2025 and ended 1-0. Here's the key stats from that game (home side: Atletico Paranaense):
- possession: 70% vs 30%;
- corners: 6 vs 2;
- fouls: 22 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview based on official meetings between São Paulo and Atletico Paranaense:
- 44 matches played;
- home wins - 16, away wins - 12, draws - 16;
- goals - 51 vs 41;
- average first-half total - 0.89, second-half - 1.2;
- average total goals per match - 2.09.
Head-to-head statistics Sao Paulo - Atletico PR
Sao Paulo Team Overview
Their last official match was played in the Série A (Remo Belém at home, São Paulo away). The final score was 1-0.
Match stats (São Paulo vs Remo Belém):
- possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corners: 8 vs 6;
- fouls: 8 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 0.
São Paulo are going through a rough patch - just one win in their last ten, with four defeats, and the form dip is hard to ignore ahead of the World Cup break. Over the course of the season they're averaging 1.28 goals scored per game and 1.11 conceded, but recent matches tell a different story in attack: roughly one goal per game. At home, though, they haven't lost in eight straight - five wins and three draws. And in 6 of their last 7 home matches, the total stayed under 2.5 goals, which points to cautious, low-chance affairs.
Match Results: Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense Team Overview
The team's latest official match was played on May 30, 2026, in the Brazilian Serie A (home team - Atlético Paranaense, away team - Mirassol). The match ended with a 1:0 scoreline.
The match statistics were as follows (Atlético Paranaense vs Mirassol):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 2.
Atletico Paranaense have been the more consistent side: five wins, three draws and just two defeats in their last ten matches. Scoring has been modest - 0.9 goals per game on average - but defensively they've been solid, conceding just 0.5 per match. Away from home, though, Odair Hellmann's side have struggled at the break: in 6 of their last 7 league away games, Atletico went into half-time behind. There's one interesting pattern - in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings, the first half ended level. At the Cicero de Souza Marques stadium, however, Atletico haven't won in six straight matches - five defeats and one draw.
Match Results: Atletico Paranaense
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Prediction
Head-to-head matches:
- matches played - 44;
- first-half wins: home team (at home) - 8; away team (on the road) - 2; draws - 12;
- average first-half total: 0.89;
- today's home team scores an average of 0.41 goals, while the away team averages 0.48 goals.
First-half statistics: São Paulo (home) vs Athletico Paranaense (away)
- matches in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- wins: 4 (50%) vs 1 (12.5%);
- losses: 1 (12.5%) vs 6 (75%);
- draws: 3 (37.5%) vs 1 (12.5%);
- average goals scored: 0.75 vs 1.5;
- average goals conceded: 0.13 vs 1.13.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- wins: 4 vs 1;
- losses: 1 vs 2;
- draws: 5 vs 7;
- average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.3) vs 0.7 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.4).
- São Paulo have drawn the first half at home in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches between these teams (Serie A).
- São Paulo have drawn the first half in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head matches between these teams.
- São Paulo have drawn the first half in 5 consecutive head-to-head matches between these teams (Serie A).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head:
- played - 44;
- home wins - 16, away wins - 12, draws - 16.
Stats: São Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense
- matches in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- wins: 7 vs 9;
- win rate: 39% vs 50%;
- losses: 7 vs 6;
- draws: 4 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 1 vs 5;
- losses: 4 vs 2;
- draws: 5 vs 3.
- Atletico Paranaense cover the +1.5 handicap away in 17 of their last 18 head-to-head meetings.
- Atletico Paranaense cover the +1.5 handicap in 37 of their last 38 matches.
- Atletico Paranaense cover the +1.5 handicap in 17 of their last 18 matches (Série A).
- Atletico Paranaense cover the +1.5 handicap away in 7 of their last 8 matches (Série A).
Total Prediction
Head-to-head (average total):
- home team - 1.16, away team - 0.93;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.09;
- both teams scored: all time - 23 times; at the home team's ground - 12 times.
Average total stats: São Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense
- in the tournament: 2.39 vs 2.33;
- goals scored: 1.28 vs 1.33;
- 1st half: 0.39 vs 0.61;
- 2nd half: 0.89 vs 0.72;
- São Paulo: at home in the tournament - 1.75;
- Atletico Paranaense: away in the tournament - 0.88;
- last 10 matches: 1 (home - 1.5) vs 0.9 (away - 0.5).
- São Paulo have conceded in 7 consecutive head-to-head matches against this opponent.
- São Paulo have conceded in 12 of their last 13 matches (Série A).
Corners Prediction
São Paulo: Stats
- season: average total in the tournament - 6.72; at home - 7.88;
- last 10 matches: average total - 6.3; at home - 8.
Atletico Paranaense: Stats
- season: average total in the tournament - 5.17, away - 4.25;
- last 10 matches: average total - 5.3; away - 4.25.
- Under 10.5 corners has landed in 12 of the last 14 head-to-head meetings.
- Under 10.5 corners has landed in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings at the home team's ground.
Correct Score Prediction
Most common results (current season):
- most frequent score in the tournament: 1:1 (27/182, 14.8%);
- São Paulo at home most often finish: 2:0 (2/8, 25%);
- Atletico Paranaense away most often play: 1:0 (2/8, 25%).
Based on stats and probability distribution, the algorithm's top 3 predicted outcomes:
1:0 - 14.29% (odds 6)
1:1 - 13.15% (odds 6)
0:0 - 10.93% (odds 7.2)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
São Paulo are strong at home and rarely allow opponents to get positive results at their stadium, but the team's defense cannot be considered flawless - the "Tricolor" have conceded in 12 of their last 13 Serie A matches. Atlético Paranaense come into the game in more stable form and have scored in most of their recent matches, which increases the chances of the visitors finding the net even in a difficult away fixture. São Paulo have conceded in 7 consecutive head-to-head matches between these teams, so the editorial prediction is - Atlético Paranaense to score. The expected score is 1:1.
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Betting Tips: Sao Paulo - Atletico Paranaense
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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