Atletico PR vs Sao Paulo Prediction

    🔈How will refereeing decisions affect the course and outcome of the match? We will find out all about this over the 90 minutes of the match between the teams Atletico Paranaense and Sao Paulo. The confrontation of the Copa tournament is scheduled for 22:30 on 6 August. As of today, bookmakers have set the following odds for wins: and .

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 31 July 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Sao Paulo):

    • ball possession percentage: 67% vs 33%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 0;
    • fouls: 15 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 2.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Atletico Paranaense and Sao Paulo:

    • played 43 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 11, for the away team - 16, draws - 16;
    • number of goals - 40 against 51;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.91, in the 2nd half - 1.21;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.12.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    27%
    12 Wins
    36%
    16 Draws
    36%
    16 Wins
    Total games
    44
    Total Goals Avg
    2.09
    Both teams scored
    52%
    0.93
    Total average
    1.16
    1.55
    Yellow cards
    1.45
    Last matches
    06.08.25
    Copa Brasil
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    1
    0.99
    0.24
    6
    2
    22
    17
    3
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0
    0.99
    0.24
    6
    2
    22
    17
    3
    3
    31.07.25
    Copa Brasil
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1
    0.93
    0.85
    3
    0
    15
    9
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0.93
    0.85
    3
    0
    15
    9
    3
    1
    10.11.24
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1.42
    0.2
    5
    6
    6
    18
    2
    5
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.42
    0.2
    5
    6
    6
    18
    2
    5
    04.07.24
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    -
    -
    6
    2
    15
    7
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    2
    15
    7
    1
    3
    29.10.23
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    -
    -
    4
    3
    12
    12
    1
    5
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    12
    12
    1
    5
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    Atletico Paranaense Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on 3 August 2025 as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Atletico Paranaense, away team - Paysandu). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.

    Here's the game statistics (Atletico Paranaense vs Paysandu):

    • ball possession: 63% vs 37%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 2;
    • fouls: 10 vs 6;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 3.

    📊However, to understand the overall picture, let's evaluate the performance over the last ten matches. During this period, Atletico Paranaense delighted their fans with 3 victories, settled for a draw in 3 matches, and lost 4 times.

    ⚽Regarding goals over a similar stretch of 10 matches, the average number of goals scored stands at 1.2, the average number of goals in the last 10 home performances is 0.8, and the average number of goals conceded is 1.3.

    Match Results: Atletico Paranaense

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Mirassol
    Mirassol
    1.1
    0.57
    6
    4
    11
    11
    2
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.1
    0.57
    6
    4
    11
    11
    2
    3
    W
    24.05.26
    Serie A
    Remo Belem
    Remo Belem
    1
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    0.43
    1.44
    3
    10
    9
    14
    1
    4
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.43
    1.44
    3
    10
    9
    14
    1
    4
    W
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Flamengo
    Flamengo
    1
    0.83
    1.57
    9
    7
    9
    12
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.83
    1.57
    9
    7
    9
    12
    2
    1
    D
    14.05.26
    Copa Brasil
    Goianiense
    Goianiense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    -
    -
    4
    1
    18
    13
    4
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    4
    -
    -
    4
    1
    18
    13
    4
    3
    W
    10.05.26
    Serie A
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    2.13
    0.97
    4
    3
    6
    9
    4
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2.13
    0.97
    4
    3
    6
    9
    4
    1
    L
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    Sao Paulo Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 3 August 2025 as part of the Serie A tournament (home team - Internacional, away - Sao Paulo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.

    Here are the match stats (Sao Paulo vs Internacional):

    • ball possession: 48% vs 52%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
    • fouls: 19 vs 23;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 4.

    📊For now, let's look at the team's statistics based on the last 10 matches in the calendar. During this time, the team Sao Paulo gifted its fans with 6 victories, played to a draw 1 times, and finished 3 games with a defeat.

    ⚽Overall, the indicators speak for themselves, but let's also assess the effectiveness during this time. The figures are as follows:

    • total number of goals - 16;
    • average goals scored - 1.6;
    • average goals conceded - 1.3.

    Match Results: Sao Paulo

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Serie A
    Remo Belem
    Remo Belem
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    0.46
    0.56
    6
    8
    5
    8
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.46
    0.56
    6
    8
    5
    8
    1
    2
    L
    26.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1.59
    0.66
    7
    4
    6
    13
    1
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.59
    0.66
    7
    4
    6
    13
    1
    2
    W
    23.05.26
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    1.49
    0.95
    4
    3
    20
    19
    4
    4
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.49
    0.95
    4
    3
    20
    19
    4
    4
    D
    20.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    1.46
    1.84
    7
    2
    13
    17
    4
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.46
    1.84
    7
    2
    13
    17
    4
    3
    D
    16.05.26
    Serie A
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    1.25
    1.02
    3
    5
    13
    9
    3
    4
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    1.25
    1.02
    3
    5
    13
    9
    3
    4
    L
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 43;
    • home team wins - 11, away team wins - 16, draws - 16.
    Trends
    • Atletico Paranaense have not won in 10 of last 11 games against Sao Paulo.
    • Atletico Paranaense have not won in 6 of last 7 home games against Sao Paulo.
    • Atletico Paranaense have not won in last 6 games.
    • Sao Paulo have not lost in last 6 games.
    👉Prediction: Sao Paulo will not lose (odds: 1.4)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 0.93, the guests - 1.19;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.12;
    • both teams scored: overall - 23; at the home team's field - 10.

    Statistics: Atletico Paranaense vs Sao Paulo

    • average total in the tournament: 2 vs 3;
    • average total goals scored: 1.4 vs 2;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.8 vs 1;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.6 vs 1;
    • Atletico Paranaense: average total at home in the tournament -  2;
    • Sao Paulo: average total away in the tournament - 2;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 0.8) vs 1.6 (away - 1.2).
    Trends
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in last 5 Atletico Paranaense games against Sao Paulo.
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in last 5 Atletico Paranaense games.
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 13 of last 14 Sao Paulo games.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (1.5) (odds: 1.67)

    Prediction on corners

    Atletico Paranaense: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.8; at home field - 11.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.8; at home field - 9.

    Sao Paulo: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.67, away - 6;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; away - 4.2.
    Trends
    • Sao Paulo have taken under 3.5 corners in 7 of last 8 away games against Atletico Paranaense.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Sao Paulo Total Under (3.5) (odds: 1.92)

    Yellow Cards Bet

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.98 (1.49 for home team and 1.49 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3 (1.35 for home team and 1.65 for away team).

    Atletico Paranaense: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.8; at home - 1.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.6; at home - 1.2.

    Sao Paulo: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.33, away - 3;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; away - 1.6.
    Trends
    • Under 5.5 yellow cards in 12 of last 13 Atletico Paranaense games.
    • Under 5.5 yellow cards in last 7 Atletico Paranaense home games.
    • Under 5.5 yellow cards in last 12 Sao Paulo away games.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (5.5) (odds: 1.75)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 43;
    • both teams scored all-time - 23 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 10 times.
    Trends
    • Atletico Paranaense have scored and conceded in last 5 games against Sao Paulo.
    • Atletico Paranaense have scored and conceded in last 5 games.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 2.35)

    Correct score prediction

    Trends
    • Atletico Paranaense lost 1:2 in last 3 games against Sao Paulo.

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in last 5 Atletico Paranaense games against Sao Paulo.
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in last 5 Atletico Paranaense games.
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 13 of last 14 Sao Paulo games.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (1.5) at odds of -175*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (4 August 2025, 23:24)

    Betting Tips: Atletico Paranaense - Sao Paulo

    Sao Paulo have won
    sao-paulo-sp-1in last 5 games.
    Sao Paulo Win
    Bovada
    +165
    Atletico Paranaense have not won
    atletico-paranaensesao-paulo-sp-1in 10 of last 11 games against Sao Paulo.
    atletico-paranaensesao-paulo-sp-1in 6 of last 7 home games against Sao Paulo.
    atletico-paranaensein last 6 games.
    Sao Paulo have not lost
    sao-paulo-sp-1in last 6 games.
    Sao Paulo will not lose
    Everygame
    -270
    Atletico Paranaense have scored under 1.5 goals
    atletico-paranaensesao-paulo-sp-1in last 15 games against Sao Paulo.
    atletico-paranaensesao-paulo-sp-1in last 7 home games against Sao Paulo.
    atletico-paranaensein 9 of last 10 home games.
    Atletico Paranaense Total goals Under (1.5)
    Everygame
    -400
    Under 2.5 goals scored
    atletico-paranaensein 8 of last 9 Atletico Paranaense home games.
    in 14 of last 15 Felipe Fernandes de Lima games.
    Total goals Under (2.5)
    Everygame
    -303
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Win - 1
    Draws - 5
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 9
    Conceded - 5
    +4
    -3
    10 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    1
    3
    Draws
    5
    2
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    9
    Scored
    10
    5
    Conceded
    13
    1.4
    Match goals average
    2.3
    0.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    1
    0.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    3
    Both teams scored
    6
    103'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    90'
    View all stats