Lens vs Nice Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 Who will lift the Coupe de France this season? On Friday, the iconic Stade de France will host the final showdown as Lens and Nice battle it out for the trophy. The two sides have taken very different paths through the campaign, but that all goes out the window with everything on the line in a single match. Check out our in-depth analysis and prediction for the final outcome.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These sides traditionally meet twice a season, with no recent encounters in cup competitions. Until this campaign, Nice had the upper hand in this matchup, but Lens have seized the initiative this term: they claimed a 2-0 victory in the reverse fixture before settling for a 1-1 draw in the second meeting.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    23%
    3 Wins
    23%
    3 Draws
    54%
    7 Wins
    Total games
    13
    Total Goals Avg
    2.08
    Both teams scored
    38%
    0.92
    Total average
    1.15
    6.08
    Corner
    4.62
    2.15
    Yellow cards
    1.85
    12.54
    Fouls
    11.46
    Last matches
    22.05.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Nice
    Nice
    1.09
    1.48
    9
    7
    16
    12
    2
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1.09
    1.48
    9
    7
    16
    12
    2
    2
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Lens
    Lens
    1
    0.95
    0.66
    7
    8
    11
    10
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.95
    0.66
    7
    8
    11
    10
    2
    3
    14.12.25
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Nice
    Nice
    1.19
    0.67
    2
    5
    17
    13
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.19
    0.67
    2
    5
    17
    13
    0
    2
    08.02.25
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Lens
    Lens
    1
    3.37
    1.02
    7
    3
    6
    19
    1
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    3.37
    1.02
    7
    3
    6
    19
    1
    3
    28.09.24
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    1
    Nice
    Nice
    -
    -
    11
    4
    10
    8
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    11
    4
    10
    8
    2
    2
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    Lens Team Overview

    🔴 Lens have enjoyed a remarkable season, finishing as runners-up in the French top flight. While they ultimately lacked the depth to challenge PSG all the way to the end, that’s understandable given their relatively short bench. Overall, Pierre Sage’s side have left a positive impression with their performances, and the emphatic 4-0 win over Lyon on the final day was a true gift for their supporters.

    🟡 Lens haven’t always had an easy route in the Coupe de France. Their quarter-final clash with Lyon nearly ended in disaster, but Pierre Sage’s men held their nerve in a dramatic penalty shootout to edge through 3-2. In the semi-finals, Lens produced a commanding display to sweep aside Toulouse 4-1 and book their place in the tournament’s showpiece match.

    Match Results: Lens

    Last matches
    22.05.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Nice
    Nice
    1.09
    1.48
    9
    7
    16
    12
    2
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1.09
    1.48
    9
    7
    16
    12
    2
    2
    W
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    Lens
    Lens
    2.17
    1.83
    20
    8
    10
    11
    1
    4
    0
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    2.17
    1.83
    20
    8
    10
    11
    1
    4
    W
    13.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    2.96
    1.13
    6
    3
    9
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    2.96
    1.13
    6
    3
    9
    3
    0
    1
    L
    08.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Nantes
    Nantes
    1.03
    1.24
    8
    3
    15
    15
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.03
    1.24
    8
    3
    15
    15
    2
    1
    W
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Lens
    Lens
    1
    0.95
    0.66
    7
    8
    11
    10
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.95
    0.66
    7
    8
    11
    10
    2
    3
    D
    Empty
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    Nice Team Overview

    ⚫ This season has turned into a nightmare for Nice right from the opening rounds. A team that recently competed in the Europa League has failed on all fronts and now find themselves teetering on the brink of relegation from the top flight. It’s worth noting that Les Aiglons still face a crucial play-off against Saint-Étienne for a place in next season’s Ligue 1, but that challenge will come after their cup campaign is over.

    🔴 Nice’s French Cup run has unfolded alongside their struggles in the league, meaning Claude Puel’s side have been underdogs with the bookmakers at almost every stage. For instance, in the semi-finals, Les Aiglons pulled off a surprise by shutting out Strasbourg 2-0, having previously edged past Lorient 1-0.

    Match Results: Nice

    Last matches
    29.05.26
    LI1
    Nice
    Nice
    Saint Etienne
    Saint Etienne
    3.70
    2.15
    6
    4
    10
    5
    2
    0
    4
    1
    0
    0
    4
    1
    3.70
    2.15
    6
    4
    10
    5
    2
    0
    W
    26.05.26
    LI1
    Saint Etienne
    Saint Etienne
    Nice
    Nice
    0.11
    0.24
    6
    6
    10
    7
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.11
    0.24
    6
    6
    10
    7
    1
    0
    D
    22.05.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Nice
    Nice
    1.09
    1.48
    9
    7
    16
    12
    2
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1.09
    1.48
    9
    7
    16
    12
    2
    2
    L
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Metz
    Metz
    1.83
    0.98
    10
    4
    11
    15
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.83
    0.98
    10
    4
    11
    15
    2
    1
    D
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    Nice
    Nice
    1.01
    1.48
    10
    1
    15
    9
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.01
    1.48
    10
    1
    15
    9
    1
    0
    L
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Lens

    ❌ Lens are sweating over the fitness of young defender Kiliann Antonio, who had become a regular feature in recent Ligue 1 matches but picked up a minor knock against Lyon. The defensive unit is further depleted with Jonathan Gradit and Samson Baidoo both sidelined through injury and unavailable for selection.

    Nice

    ❌ Nice are not facing a major injury crisis-while there are absentees, none of them are regular starters. Among those definitely ruled out for the rest of the season are Mohamed Abdelmonem, Moïse Bombito, and Everton Antonio Pereira.

    🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

    The upcoming match will be officiated by Jérôme Brisard. Over his last 100 games, Brisard has averaged 3.68 yellow cards per match, with teams committing around 23 fouls per game. This season, Lens are picking up an average of 1.9 bookings per match, while Nice are just above with 2.0. Both sides have kept their disciplinary record relatively clean, so we suggest backing under 4.5 total yellow cards. Bookmakers are offering odds starting from 1.55* on this line.

    ⚽️ Goals Prediction

    Lens are averaging 2.1 goals per game across all competitions, while Nice trail behind with just 1.1. Matches involving these sides tend to be high-scoring affairs: Lens games average 3.2 goals, and Nice’s see 2.8. With these numbers in mind, a bet on over 2.5 total goals at 1.61* seems a solid option.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    This season, Lens are averaging 6.4 corners per match, with Nice not far behind at 5.3. Both clubs consistently win more corners than the league average, making over 9.5 total corners at 1.89* an appealing bet.

    🚀 Player Stat Bet

    Lens’ attack has been relentless this season, breaking down even the toughest defences. A key man in their forward line is Florian Thauvin, who’s already notched 11 goals and 6 assists in Ligue 1 alone. He registered both a goal and an assist in the French Cup semi-final against Toulouse, repeating that feat in the latest Ligue 1 round. Backing Florian Thauvin to score against Nice at 2.66* looks like a smart play.

    😱 High-Risk Bet

    Lens’ current form is nothing short of impressive, especially in attack. Their recent clash with Lyon showed that the “Blood and Gold” remain hungry for goals even as the season winds down. Given Nice’s recent struggles, consider a bold but potentially rewarding bet: Lens -3.5 handicap at 7.08*.

    🎯 Safe Bet

    Looking at Lens’ attacking output this year, they’ve rarely left the pitch without finding the net. With Pierre Sage’s squad highly motivated, backing Lens to score at 1.10* stands out as a reliable option.

    👀 If the Match Doesn’t Go to Plan

    If Lens concede first, there’s no reason to write them off-instead, take advantage of improved live odds. Pierre Sage’s side have shown plenty of character this season, often coming from behind to get results. In this scenario, a live bet on Lens to come from behind and win could pay off nicely.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary depending on the bookmaker.

    Editor’s Prediction

    Nice have reached the Coupe de France final amid a tough run in Ligue 1, and there’s no way the threat of relegation isn’t weighing on their minds. That kind of pressure makes it difficult to focus on such a crucial match-especially when their opponents are not just any side, but the Ligue 1 runners-up, Lens. Right now, Lens look a clear level above Nice and should be confident of lifting the trophy in convincing fashion. Our pick is a Lens win, with a predicted scoreline of 3-0.

    Our choice
    Lens Win at odds of -192*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (21 May 2026, 05:41)

    Betting Tips: Lens - Nice

    Nice have drawn in the 1st half
    ogc-nicein last 6 games.
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +150
    Lens have not won
    rc-lensogc-nicein 7 of last 8 games against Nice.
    Nice will not lose
    Everygame
    +170
    Nice have not won
    ogc-nicein 8 of last 9 games.
    Lens will not lose
    Everygame
    -833
    Lens have scored under 2.5 goals
    rc-lensogc-nicein last 8 games against Nice.
    Lens Total goals Under (2.5)
    Everygame
    -222
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 6
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 24
    Conceded - 14
    +10
    +2
    11 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    2
    2
    Draws
    6
    2
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    24
    Scored
    11
    14
    Conceded
    9
    3.8
    Match goals average
    2
    2.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    1.4
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    38'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    82'
    View all stats