Nice vs Lens Prediction

Details
The main thing

    🔊 Can Lens reignite their title challenge? This Saturday, Nice host Lens in a crucial Ligue 1 clash as part of Matchday 32. Pierre Sage's men are still in the running for the Ligue 1 crown, and their motivation is sky-high. However, the home side are equally desperate for points, teetering on the edge of the relegation zone and facing the threat of dropping out of the top flight. Find our prediction for this match below.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Nice and Lens don't always produce high-scoring affairs, but here's an intriguing stat: in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head encounters, one team has consistently failed to find the back of the net. This makes the 'both teams to score (no)' bet a very promising option.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    54%
    7 Wins
    23%
    3 Draws
    23%
    3 Wins
    Total games
    13
    Total Goals Avg
    2.08
    Both teams scored
    38%
    1.15
    Total average
    0.92
    4.62
    Corner
    6.08
    1.85
    Yellow cards
    2.15
    11.46
    Fouls
    12.54
    Last matches
    22.05.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Nice
    Nice
    1.09
    1.48
    9
    7
    16
    12
    2
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1.09
    1.48
    9
    7
    16
    12
    2
    2
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Lens
    Lens
    1
    0.95
    0.66
    7
    8
    11
    10
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.95
    0.66
    7
    8
    11
    10
    2
    3
    14.12.25
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Nice
    Nice
    1.19
    0.67
    2
    5
    17
    13
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.19
    0.67
    2
    5
    17
    13
    0
    2
    08.02.25
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Lens
    Lens
    1
    3.37
    1.02
    7
    3
    6
    19
    1
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    3.37
    1.02
    7
    3
    6
    19
    1
    3
    28.09.24
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    1
    Nice
    Nice
    -
    -
    11
    4
    10
    8
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    11
    4
    10
    8
    2
    2
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    Nice Team Overview

    ⚫ Nice remain unbeaten in Ligue 1 for three consecutive matches, but this hasn't significantly improved their standing as all these games ended in draws, earning them just three points. Currently, Claude Puel's side sit in 15th place, teetering on the edge of the relegation zone with only a five-point cushion.

    🔴 Over the past month and a half, Nice have managed just one victory, which came in the semi-final of the French Cup, securing their spot in the trophy contest. In their latest league outing, the "Eaglets" drew 1-1 away against Marseille, scoring a late penalty to salvage a point. Overall, Nice's play appears quite basic, and they struggle to impress against top-tier teams.

    Match Results: Nice

    Last matches
    29.05.26
    LI1
    Nice
    Nice
    Saint Etienne
    Saint Etienne
    3.70
    2.15
    6
    4
    10
    5
    2
    0
    4
    1
    0
    0
    4
    1
    3.70
    2.15
    6
    4
    10
    5
    2
    0
    W
    26.05.26
    LI1
    Saint Etienne
    Saint Etienne
    Nice
    Nice
    0.11
    0.24
    6
    6
    10
    7
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.11
    0.24
    6
    6
    10
    7
    1
    0
    D
    22.05.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Nice
    Nice
    1.09
    1.48
    9
    7
    16
    12
    2
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1.09
    1.48
    9
    7
    16
    12
    2
    2
    L
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Metz
    Metz
    1.83
    0.98
    10
    4
    11
    15
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.83
    0.98
    10
    4
    11
    15
    2
    1
    D
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    Nice
    Nice
    1.01
    1.48
    10
    1
    15
    9
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.01
    1.48
    10
    1
    15
    9
    1
    0
    L
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    Lens Team Overview

    🔴 Lens were leading the championship for a significant period, but as the season progressed, they began to drop points, and their gap from PSG widened with each passing round. Currently, Pierre Sage's side trails the Parisians by six points, but they still have a head-to-head clash that could potentially change the course of the season.

    🟡 Lens recently secured their spot in the French Cup final with a commanding 4-1 victory over Toulouse on home turf, setting up another encounter with Nice. However, let's focus on their recent draw against an inconsistent Brest (3-3) in the previous round. Lens conceded three goals in the first half but managed to level the score in the second half, with the equalizer coming in the 90+4 minute. The "Blood and Gold" showed resilience, but what went wrong at the start of the match? Such lapses are unbecoming of a team vying for the top spots in the league.

    Match Results: Lens

    Last matches
    22.05.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Nice
    Nice
    1.09
    1.48
    9
    7
    16
    12
    2
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1.09
    1.48
    9
    7
    16
    12
    2
    2
    W
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    Lens
    Lens
    2.17
    1.83
    20
    8
    10
    11
    1
    4
    0
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    2.17
    1.83
    20
    8
    10
    11
    1
    4
    W
    13.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    2.96
    1.13
    6
    3
    9
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    2.96
    1.13
    6
    3
    9
    3
    0
    1
    L
    08.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Nantes
    Nantes
    1.03
    1.24
    8
    3
    15
    15
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.03
    1.24
    8
    3
    15
    15
    2
    1
    W
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Lens
    Lens
    1
    0.95
    0.66
    7
    8
    11
    10
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.95
    0.66
    7
    8
    11
    10
    2
    3
    D
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Nice

    ❌ Nice find themselves in a comfortable position regarding injuries as this season draws to a close. Three players are currently sidelined, but none are key starters and would not significantly impact the team even if they recovered immediately. To recap, those on the recovery list for the 'Eaglets' are Mohamed Abdel Monem, Moise Bombito, and Everton Pereira.

    Lens

    ❌ Defender Arthur Masuaku will miss the upcoming match due to suspension after accumulating too many yellow cards. Among the injured players who will definitely be unavailable for Lens in their game against Nice are goalkeeper Regis Gurtner (muscle injury) and defender Jonathan Gradit (thigh injury). However, these aren't key players in the coach's plans, so there are no significant losses.

    🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

    The upcoming match will be officiated by Thomas Leonard. Over the span of 100 games, he averages 3.57 yellow cards per match with 24 fouls. In Ligue 1, Nice averages 2.1 yellow cards per game, while Lens averages 2.2. This season, both teams have not frequently been shown yellow cards, and Thomas Leonard is not quick to issue them either. Therefore, we suggest betting on total yellow cards under 4.5 at odds of 1.59*.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    In Ligue 1, Nice's average individual goal tally is 1.1 per match, whereas Lens boasts a higher figure of 1.7. The scoring rate in matches involving these teams is high: 3 for the hosts and 3.1 for the visitors. Considering this data, we recommend betting on total goals over 2.5 at odds of 1.51*.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    In recent Ligue 1 matches, Nice averages 5 corners per game, while Lens averages 6.1. Both teams frequently attack down the flanks and often earn set pieces from the corner, boasting above-average league statistics. Thus, we propose a bet on total corners over 9.5 at odds of 1.92*.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary across different betting platforms.

    Editorial Prediction

    Both teams are highly motivated for this match, each for their own reasons, as we discussed earlier. However, it's important to acknowledge that the desire for points also requires a level of pragmatism, so even one or two goals could lead to a more cautious approach to protect the scoreline. Let's not forget the head-to-head history between these teams, where often one side fails to score against the other. We believe that Lens's current form will enable them to secure the victory-we're backing a win for the visitors, with a predicted score of 3-0.

    Our choice
    Lens Win at odds of -135*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (30 April 2026, 21:52)

    Betting Tips: Nice - Lens

    Nice have not won
    ogc-nicein 11 of last 12 games (Ligue 1).
    ogc-nicein last 9 home games (Ligue 1).
    ogc-nicein last 5 home games.
    Lens will not lose
    Everygame
    -556
    Nice have conceded
    ogc-nicein 13 of last 14 home games.
    ogc-nicein 8 of last 9 home games (Ligue 1).
    Lens have scored
    rc-lensin 24 of last 25 games.
    rc-lensin 19 of last 20 games (Ligue 1).
    rc-lensin 12 of last 13 away games.
    rc-lensin 9 of last 10 away games (Ligue 1).
    Lens will score goal
    -1111
    Under 4.5 goals scored
    ogc-nicerc-lensin last 11 Nice games against Lens (Ligue 1).
    ogc-nicein last 10 Nice games.
    ogc-nicein last 8 Nice games (Ligue 1).
    ogc-nicein 7 of last 8 Nice home games (Ligue 1).
    in 14 of last 15 Thomas Leonard games (in the Ligue 1).
    in last 11 Thomas Leonard games.
    Total goals Under (4.5)
    -400
    Lens have scored under 2.5 goals
    ogc-nicerc-lensin last 7 games against Nice (Ligue 1).
    Lens Total goals Under (2.5)
    Everygame
    -227
    View more facts

    Nice - Lens Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    34244674-2976
    2.
    Lens
    Lens
    34224866-3570
    3.
    Lille
    Lille
    34187952-3761
    15.
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    348101634-4434
    16.
    Nice
    Nice
    347111637-6032
    17.
    Nantes
    Nantes
    33582029-5223

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    6 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 9
    +2
    +10
    24 - Scored
    14 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    6
    6
    Draws
    2
    2
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    24
    9
    Conceded
    14
    2
    Match goals average
    3.8
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.4
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.4
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    82'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    38'
    View all stats