Atalanta vs Lazio Prediction
📢 How will the second leg of the Coppa Italia semifinal between Atalanta and Lazio conclude? Both teams are having far from ideal seasons: the "Queen of the Provincials" sits only in seventh place, trailing the top four by nine points, while the "Eagles" find themselves mid-table. In this scenario, winning a trophy in Italy's second most prestigious tournament becomes a great opportunity to salvage the season and give it meaning. Considering the first leg ended in a thrilling 2-2 draw, the return match at the "New Balance Arena" promises to be fiercely competitive.
Head-to-Head
📊 The head-to-head history between Atalanta and Lazio in recent years appears quite balanced: out of 42 matches, the Bergamo side have claimed 15 victories, 10 encounters ended in a draw, while the Romans have come out on top 17 times. This season, the teams have clashed three times. In the first round of the league, neither side managed to secure a win (0-0), but in the second round, Atalanta triumphed away with a 2-0 scoreline. The first leg of the Coppa Italia semi-final also ended in a draw (2-2).
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Atalanta Team Overview
🔵 Atalanta stumbled at the start of the season, and only changes within the coaching staff allowed them to somewhat stabilize their form. The team has improved and closed the gap with the leading pack, yet they haven't managed to take that decisive step forward - they remain in seventh place with five rounds left in the championship. They trail the top four by nine points, effectively putting a Champions League spot out of reach. However, the battle for European competition is not entirely lost - they are just four points away from sixth place, but a poor finish could see them miss out altogether. Last weekend, "The Queen of the Provinces" had a chance to narrow this gap but failed to defeat Roma (1-1), a direct rival.
⚫ In their first match against Lazio (2-2), Atalanta put in a commendable performance. They took more shots on goal and matched Lazio in terms of possession, despite playing away. They had to come from behind twice, which adds extra value to the result. The end of the match was particularly telling - after conceding in the 87th minute, Atalanta managed to equalize in the 89th minute, snatching a draw. Considering the return leg will be at home, this outcome sets a solid foundation for the decisive match.
Match Results: Atalanta
Lazio Rome Team Overview
🔵 Unlike Atalanta, Lazio have not changed their coaching staff during the season, but this hasn't prevented a disappointing campaign. The "Eagles" have been inconsistent, displaying lackluster football and frequently dropping points. As a result, they sit in ninth place after 33 rounds with 47 points. They trail the top six by 11 points, virtually eliminating their chances of securing a European spot through the league. This instability has been particularly evident in recent matches. On April 13, Lazio fell to Fiorentina (0-1), who are fighting relegation, only to then pull off a stunning away victory against Napoli (2-0), who are in the top three. This win was well-deserved, with a 7-0 advantage in shots on target, 5-0 in chances created, and an xG of 2.70 compared to 0.72.
⚪ In their first encounter against Atalanta (2-2), Lazio failed to replicate such a performance. Despite playing at home, they were unconvincing, managing only six shots in 90 minutes and delivering subpar football overall. Although initially considered underdogs in this matchup, the home game was a prime opportunity to gain an advantage, but they couldn't capitalize on it. Now, to reach the final, Lazio will need to pull off another remarkable feat.
Match Results: Lazio Rome
Latest news
Atalanta
📣 After the 1-1 draw with Roma, Atalanta's head coach Raffaele Palladino stated: "It was a good match between two teams that were eager to win - with high intensity, courage, and quality. Honestly, I enjoyed this game. It was an open match, and frankly, either side could have won. We take this point and believe the draw is a fair result."
✅ The team has no injury concerns.
Lazio Rome
📣 After Lazio's 2-0 victory over Napoli, head coach Maurizio Sarri remarked, "In the last month and a half, the team has made only one significant mistake - in the match against Fiorentina. We're seeing progress both individually and in our team play. We've had to adapt to the characteristics of our players: we don't have traditional playmakers, but we do have players with great speed, which allows us to play faster."
🚫 The team faces significant personnel losses: Manuel Lazzari (muscle injury), Alessio Furlanetto (ligament injury), Ivan Provedel (shoulder injury), Adam Marušić (shin injury), and Nicolò Rovella (broken collarbone) will all be unavailable.
⚽ Goal Predictions
Head-to-head clashes between Atalanta and Lazio, especially in Bergamo, often see plenty of goals. However, Atalanta's defense at home isn't always reliable, conceding in 7 of their last 8 encounters with the Romans. Considering the visitors' form, having confidently defeated Napoli away (2-0) last weekend, a bet on a Lazio goal seems well-founded.
🚩 Corner Predictions
It's highly likely that Atalanta, playing at home, will take the initiative and control the game. With this style of play, they should frequently approach the corner flag. Notably, Atalanta have delivered more than 4.5 corners at home in 10 of their last 11 meetings with Lazio. So it's quite possible that this mark will be surpassed again.
🚀 Player Stats Bet
Nicola Krstovic has outperformed Gianluca Scamacca in recent matches and has been showing confidence. The Montenegrin forward scored three goals in his last six games for Atalanta and was on target against Roma (1-1). Atalanta's progression largely depends on his actions in the opponent's penalty area, making a bet on a goal by Nicola Krstovic at odds of 1.87* quite logical.
😱 Risky Bet
Lazio's ability to stay in the game will heavily rely on the goalkeeper's performance. Atalanta are likely to push forward from the start and apply constant pressure at home. Edoardo Motta has been a solid replacement for the injured Ivan Provedel and has bailed out the team in tough situations. Given this scenario, he might have plenty of work to do, so a bet on Edoardo Motta making over 5.5 saves at odds of 5.70* is intriguing for risk-takers.
👀 If the Match Doesn't Go as Planned
Many expect Atalanta to attack from the first minute and put pressure on their opponent, but there's another possible scenario. This season, Lazio have been playing a frustrating style: they don't rush things and don't allow their opponents to either. In three of their last five matches, the "Eagles" have kept clean sheets, including against Milan (1-0), Bologna (2-0), and Napoli (2-0). It's possible that Atalanta might join this list, so a bet on Atalanta not scoring doesn't seem so unrealistic.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers
Editor's Prediction
According to the bookmakers, Atalanta are clear favorites for the upcoming clash, and this assessment seems reasonable. Over the course of the season, the Bergamo side have shown themselves to be a more stable and organized team, while Lazio often swing from one extreme to another. Home advantage is another crucial factor: the "Queen of the Provincials" are comfortable on their own turf, winning six of their last nine matches, with losses only to strong opponents like Bayern (1-6) and Juventus (0-1). Therefore, our choice is quite clear - Atalanta to win. We expect to see a 3-1 scoreline on the board.
Betting Tips: Atalanta - Lazio Rome
in 11 of last 12 games against Lazio Rome.in 6 of last 7 home games.
in 7 of last 8 home games against Lazio Rome.in 5 of last 6 home games against Lazio Rome.in 14 of last 16 Atalanta games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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