Atalanta vs Lazio Prediction
πIn one of the standout fixtures of Serie A's 31st round, Atalanta face off against Lazio. Both teams have been showing inconsistent form in their recent outings, adding an element of intrigue to this upcoming clash. Atalanta benefit from home advantage, yet their current form leaves much to be desired, with only two wins in their last five matches. On the other hand, Lazio have been solid on the road, despite a few draws. Statistics suggest a potential low-scoring affair, which could prove to be a decisive factor.
Head-to-Head
πStatistical preview of official encounters between Atalanta and Lazio:
- 38 matches played;
- wins for the home side - 14, for the visitors - 16, draws - 8;
- goals scored - 52 against 54;
- average first-half total - 1.34, second-half - 1.45;
- average total goals per match - 2.79.
The last game took place on 28 December 2024 at Lazio's ground and ended in a 1-1 draw.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Atalanta Team Overview
Atalanta are among the frontrunners in Serie A, currently sitting third in the table. Known for their attacking prowess and ball control, the team's recent form raises concerns: three wins and five losses in their last ten matches indicate inconsistency. Their average goal-scoring rate is 2.1 per match, but they have scored less than 1.5 goals at home for six consecutive games-a worrying sign for coach Gian Piero Gasperini. Their last encounter with Lazio ended in a 1-1 draw, and the team is eager to redeem themselves in front of their fans.
On March 30, Atalanta suffered a 0-1 defeat to Fiorentina, significantly denting their title hopes. It seemed that after a resounding 4-0 victory over Juventus, the "Queen of the Provinces" would challenge Inter and Lazio for the trophy.
Regarding the latest squad news, several players will be absent from the pitch. These include Gianluca Scamacca (hamstring injury, out until mid-April 2025), Giorgio Scalvini (shoulder injury, out until mid-April 2025), Marco Palestra (thigh injury, out until mid-April 2025), Odilon Kossounou (hamstring injury, out until mid-April 2025), Rafael Toloi (muscle injury, doubtful for the game), and Stefan Posch (hamstring injury, out until mid-April 2025).
Match Results: Atalanta

Lazio Rome Team Overview
Lazio are currently in seventh place, vying for European competition spots. Recently, they've been performing well on the road, avoiding defeats with a balanced approach-solid defense complemented by counterattacks down the flanks with their speedy players. Despite this, their average scoring stats remain modest: just 1.4 goals per match while conceding an average of 1.5 goals over the last ten games.
In a recent match against Torino, Lazio drew 1-1, missing the chance to climb into the European spots. Had they won, they would be sitting in sixth place, just 2 points shy of the top four. Marco Baroni's side seem to be digging their own hole.
The team is facing issues with player fitness and suspensions. Matteo Guendouzi will miss the match due to suspension, while Arion Ibrahimovic is sidelined with a muscle injury until mid-April 2025, and Patric is out with an ankle injury until mid-June 2025.
Match Results: Lazio Rome
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- home team wins - 14, away team wins - 16, draws - 8.
Statistics: Atalanta vs Lazio Rome
- number of matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- number of wins: 17 vs 15;
- win percentage: 57% vs 50%;
- number of losses: 6 vs 8;
- number of draws: 7 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 3 vs 3;
- number of losses: 5 vs 2;
- number of draws: 2 vs 5.
- Lazio Rome wins with a handicap of +1.5 in 13 of the last 15 away games against Atalanta.
- Lazio Rome wins with a handicap of +1.5 in 14 of the last 16 games.
- Lazio Rome wins with a handicap of +1.5 in 10 of the last 11 Serie A games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.37, the guests - 1.42;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.79;
- both teams scored: overall - 18; at the home team's field - 11.
Statistics: Atalanta vs Lazio Rome
- average total in the tournament: 3.07 vs 3.1;
- average total goals scored: 2.1 vs 1.7;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.03 vs 0.73;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.07 vs 0.97;
- Atalanta: average total at home in the tournament - 2.07;
- Lazio Rome: average total away in the tournament - 1.47;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 0.2) vs 1.4 (away - 0.8).
- Atalanta has conceded in 12 of the last 13 Serie A home games against Lazio Rome.
- Atalanta has conceded in each of their last 6 home games against Lazio Rome.
Prediction on corners
Atalanta: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.47; at home field - 4.79;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; at home field - 6.2.
Lazio Rome: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.83, away - 5.93;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.8; away - 4.4.
- Lazio Rome has taken under 4.5 corners in 6 of the last 7 away games against Atalanta.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.26 (2.13 for home team and 2.13 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.68 (2.05 for home team and 2.63 for away team).
Atalanta: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.43; at home - 0.86;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.6; at home - 1.4.
Lazio Rome: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.07, away - 2.2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.2; away - 2.6.
- There have been Over 3.5 yellow cards in 13 of the last 15 Lazio Rome away games in the Serie A.
- There have been Over 3.5 yellow cards in 8 of the last 9 Lazio Rome games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
- on the home teamβs field - 11 times.
Statistics: Atalanta vs Lazio Rome
- number of matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 20;
- number of BTTS matches for Atalanta at home - 10 (71%);
- number of BTTS matches for Lazio Rome away - 8 (53%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 2 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Atalanta at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS matches for Lazio Rome away - 2 (40%).
Editor's Prediction
The upcoming clash between Atalanta and Lazio promises to be both intriguing and intense. Historically, Atalanta have struggled at home against Lazio, conceding goals in 12 of their last 13 home encounters with the Romans. Moreover, Atalanta are currently far from their best form, having secured just one win in their last four matches, alongside two defeats and a draw. Considering these factors, betting on Lazio to score in the upcoming match appears to be a well-founded prediction.β