Fluminense vs Atl. Mineiro Prediction 21 March 2026
🔊 The clash between Fluminense and Atlético Mineiro promises to be tactically intriguing. Both teams are in contrasting forms, adding an element of suspense. Fluminense have been displaying confident performances at home, while Atlético Mineiro struggle on the road. The teams have different motivations in the standings: Fluminense aim to solidify their spot in the top five, whereas Atlético are fighting to maintain their mid-table position.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 04 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 3-0. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Fluminense were the home side):
- possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corners: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 12 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 10 vs 1.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Fluminense and Atletico Mineiro:
- 41 matches played;
- home wins - 12, away wins - 16, draws - 13;
- goals scored - 55 for Fluminense, 59 for Atletico Mineiro;
- average goals in the first half - 1.15, in the second half - 1.63;
- average total goals per match - 2.78.
Head-to-head statistics Fluminense - Atl. Mineiro
Fluminense Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Serie A tournament, with Vasco da Gama as the home side and Fluminense as the visitors. The match concluded with a 3-2 scoreline.
Here's the game statistics (Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama):
- possession percentage: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 9 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 6.
🔴 Fluminense are displaying impressive form on home turf, with 17 victories in their last 19 home matches highlighting their stability and confidence. Their current form includes two wins in their last three games, though recent draws suggest potential issues with converting chances. On average, the team scores 1.71 goals per match while conceding 1.29, indicating strong attacking play despite some defensive shortcomings.
Match Results: Fluminense
Atletico Mineiro Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Serie A tournament, with Atletico Mineiro as the home team and Sao Paulo as the visitors. The match ended 1-0.
Here are the game statistics (Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo):
- possession: 33% vs 67%;
- corners: 4 vs 1;
- fouls: 16 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
⚫ Atlético Mineiro are having a tough time on the road, failing to score in 10 of their last 12 away matches. Despite this, their recent run includes a few wins-three victories out of five matches suggest they could perform well under favorable conditions. However, their average goals scored stand at just 1.14 per game, with an average of 1.43 goals conceded.
Match Results: Atletico Mineiro
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 41;
- First-half wins for home team - 8; for away team - 4; draws - 9;
- Average first-half total: 1.15;
- Today's home side scores an average of 0.59 goals, while the visitors average 0.56.
First-half Stats: Fluminense (home) vs Atletico Mineiro (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- Wins: 1 (33.33%) vs 0 (0%);
- Losses: 0 (0%) vs 2 (66.67%);
- Draws: 2 (66.67%) vs 1 (33.33%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 0.67;
- Average goals conceded: 0.33 vs 0.67.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 5 vs 3;
- Losses: 2 vs 1;
- Draws: 3 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.4) vs 0.8 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.2).
- Fluminense have scored in the first half at home in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head encounters between these teams.
- Fluminense have netted in the first half at home in 5 consecutive head-to-head matches against this team (Serie A).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 41;
- Home wins - 12, Away wins - 16, Draws - 13.
Statistics: Fluminense vs Atletico Mineiro
- Matches in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- Wins: 4 vs 2;
- Winning percentage: 57% vs 29%;
- Losses: 2 vs 3;
- Draws: 1 vs 2.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 6 vs 4;
- Losses: 3 vs 3;
- Draws: 1 vs 3.
- Fluminense have won at home in 17 of their last 19 matches.
- Fluminense have won 12 consecutive home matches (Serie A).
- Atletico Mineiro have lost 5 consecutive away matches (Serie A).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches (Average Total):
- Home team - 1.34, Away team - 1.44;
- In head-to-head matches - 2.78;
- Both teams scored: overall - 25 times; at the home team's ground - 13 times.
Average Total Statistics: Fluminense vs Atletico Mineiro
- In the tournament: 3 vs 2.57;
- Goals scored: 1.71 vs 1.14;
- In the first half: 0.86 vs 0.43;
- In the second half: 0.86 vs 0.71;
- Fluminense: at home in the tournament - 2;
- Atletico Mineiro: away in the tournament - 0.33;
- Last 10 matches: 1.5 (home - 1.5) vs 1.5 (away - 1.6).
- Total under 2.5 goals has hit in Atletico Mineiro's last 5 matches.
Corners Prediction
Fluminense: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 5.43; at home - 4.67;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.8; at home - 5.83.
Atletico Mineiro: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 6, away - 8.33;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.6; away - 4.6.
- Fluminense have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 12 of their last 13 head-to-head meetings with Atletico Mineiro.
- Fluminense have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in their last 9 head-to-head matches with Atletico Mineiro (Serie A).
- Fluminense have taken fewer than 5.5 corners at home in 6 of their last 7 matches (Serie A).
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total - 4 (2 for the home team and 2 for the away team);
- Average total at home - 3.52 (1.62 for the home team and 1.9 for the away team).
Fluminense: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.43; at home - 3;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.9; at home - 3.17.
Atletico Mineiro: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 1.86, away - 1.67;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.5; away - 1.8.
- Total under 5.5 yellow cards has hit in Atletico Mineiro's last 14 out of 15 matches (Serie A).
- Total under 5.5 yellow cards has hit in Atletico Mineiro's last 8 out of their last 9 matches.
- Total under 5.5 yellow cards has hit in Atletico Mineiro's last 7 out of their last away matches.
- Total under 5.5 yellow cards has hit in Atletico Mineiro's last 6 consecutive away matches (Serie A).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 41;
- Both teams scored overall - 25 times;
- At the home team's ground - 13 times.
Statistics: Fluminense vs Atletico Mineiro
- Played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- Season matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): Fluminense - 5 vs Atletico Mineiro - 3;
- Fluminense BTTS at home - 2 (67%);
- Atletico Mineiro BTTS away - 1 (33%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Matches with BTTS: Fluminense - 5 vs Atletico Mineiro - 5;
- Fluminense BTTS at home - 3 (50%);
- Atletico Mineiro BTTS away - 2 (40%).
Exact Score Prediction
Frequent Score Statistics (Current Season):
- The most common score in the tournament: 1-1 (11/66, 16.7%);
- Fluminense's most frequent home scores: 1-0, 2-1, and 3-2 (1/3, 33.3%);
- Atletico Mineiro's most frequent away scores: 1-0, 2-0, and 2-1 (1/3, 33.3%).
The algorithm predicts the top-3 outcomes based on statistics and probability distribution:
1-1 - Probability: 12.38% (odds: 5.8)
1-0 - Probability: 12.31% (odds: 5.8)
2-0 - Probability: 10.08% (odds: 7)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the trends and current form of the teams, it is reasonable to expect a high-scoring outcome from the home side. Fluminense dominate on their turf, while Atletico struggle significantly away, particularly in attack. Based on this data, we predict a Fluminense victory, as the "Tricolor of Rio" have won 12 consecutive Serie A home matches.
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Betting Tips: Fluminense - Atletico Mineiro
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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