Corinthians vs Chapecoense Prediction 6 September 2026
🔊 Corinthians go into this match in tenth place, looking to pick up points and consolidate their position in the qualification zone. Chapecoense are bottom of the table and in the relegation zone, though even an 11-point gap to safety has not appeared to affect their motivation levels based on this season's data. Against that backdrop, two sides with notably different defensive records meet - Corinthians have been conceding consistently few goals, while Chapecoense have one of the worst goals-against tallies in the division.
Head-to-Head
📊 Corinthians and Chapecoense have met 19 times in official matches. The hosts have won 12 of those, Chapecoense have won 2, and 5 have ended in draws. The goal difference across those meetings stands at 20 for Corinthians against 7 for Chapecoense. On average, the two sides have scored 0.53 goals per first half, 0.89 per second half, and the overall average total is 1.42 goals per game.
Head-to-head statistics Corinthians - Chapecoense
Corinthians Team Overview
Over their last five matches, Corinthians have won one, drawn two and lost two. They are not scoring much - just 0.8 goals per game over their last ten matches, and even less over a shorter run. Defensively they look solid, conceding an average of 0.9 goals per game over the last ten matches and one goal per game across the season. Those numbers point to a restrained style where output is low but the defence is doing its job. Their league position demands they play carefully and avoid defensive mistakes.
Match Results: Corinthians
Chapecoense Team Overview
Chapecoense are in the relegation zone and have lost four of their last five matches, with just one win in that run. In the ten matches before that, they also managed a maximum of three points, and their defence has been extremely inconsistent - they have been conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game in that period, with their overall seasonal average above two goals conceded per match. Despite those difficulties, the attack has performed slightly better: their scoring rate for the season (1.04 goals per game) is roughly the same as their opponents' home rate.
Match Results: Chapecoense
Match Result Prediction
Chapecoense have been extremely poor away from home, losing 7 of their last 8 away matches. Corinthians, by contrast, are solid at home and have gone unbeaten in 14 of their last 15 head-to-head meetings with this opponent. On top of that, Chapecoense have zero away wins this season, while Corinthians have five home wins. Given these trends, a bet on a Corinthians win looks logical at 1.41*.
Total Goals Prediction
In 14 of the last 15 head-to-head meetings between Corinthians and Chapecoense, the total goals has not exceeded 2.5, pointing to a consistent low-scoring trend in this fixture. On top of that, Corinthians' recent home matches have also tended to be low-scoring - Total Goals Under 3.5 has come in in 23 of their last 24 home games. Both sides have not been prolific this season: Corinthians average 1.04 goals per game, as do Chapecoense. These figures support a low-scoring outcome. On that basis, Total Goals - Under 2.5 looks justified at odds of 1.91*.
Corners Prediction
In 7 of their last 8 head-to-head meetings, Corinthians have taken more than 6.5 corners against Chapecoense, which points to a consistent trend in this particular fixture. Despite the absence of additional fresh corners statistics, this head-to-head trend makes the bet a reasonable one to consider. Our pick: Corinthians Team Total Corners - Over 6.5 at 1.90*.
Risky Bet
Corinthians have scored under 1.5 goals in 13 of their last 14 head-to-head meetings with Chapecoense. They have also averaged 0.8 goals per game in their last 10 home matches, which underlines how difficult it is for them to get past the one-goal mark. For a risky bet, Corinthians Team Total - Under 1.5 looks justified given both the head-to-head trend and the team's current scoring form. Our pick: Corinthians Team Total - Under 1.5 at 2.33*.
Reliable Bet
In 23 of Corinthians' last 24 home matches, the total has come in under 3.5 goals. This consistent run is backed up by the statistics: both teams rarely score more than two goals in a game. This bet carries a high level of reliability for the current match. Our pick is Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.30*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes are 1-0 (15.78%), 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (10.07%). All three scorelines point to Corinthians winning with limited scoring. The 1-0 result stands out as the most probable, though the gap between the first and second most likely outcomes is small.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The data points to a consistent low-scoring trend in meetings between these two sides: Total Goals - Under 2.5 has come in in fourteen of their last fifteen head-to-head matches, in line with the current Série A season trend. Both teams' form reinforces the cautious nature of these games - Corinthians have a solid defence but a weak attack, while Chapecoense have struggled with finishing throughout the season despite occasional bursts of activity going forward. The editorial's main prediction is Total Goals - Under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Corinthians - Chapecoense
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