Estrela vs Tondela Prediction 20 February 2026
🔊 Estrela and Tondela are set to clash in a crucial matchup as both teams find themselves languishing in the lower half of the standings. Estrela have shown mixed form recently, securing 3 wins in their last 10 matches while suffering 4 defeats. Their play is marked by an aggressive attacking style, though their defense can be inconsistent. Tondela sit lower in the table and struggle with scoring efficiency. This encounter will serve as a true test of the tactical acumen for both sides.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 21 September 2025 and ended in a 0-0 draw. Here's the comparative stats from that match, with Tondela as the home side:
- possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corners: 5 vs 2;
- fouls: 16 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 8 vs 3.
📊 The teams have faced each other in three official matches. Here's the breakdown:
- goals: 1 to 1;
- average goals in the first half - 0, in the second half - 0.67;
- average total goals per match - 0.67.
Head-to-head statistics Estrela - Tondela
Estrela Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on as part of the Primeira Liga, featuring Vitória Guimarães at home against Estrela. The match concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Estrela vs Vitória Guimarães):
- possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 9;
- fouls: 17 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
Estrela are showing inconsistent form. In their last five matches, they've secured just one victory while suffering three defeats, including a setback in their most recent game. Their strength lies in their attack, averaging 1.3 goals per match, but their defense often lets them down, conceding more than two goals per game. The last head-to-head with Tondela ended in a 0-0 draw. To improve their standing, the Stars need to focus on bolstering their defense.
Match Results: Estrela
Tondela Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Primeira Liga, featuring Tondela as the home side and Alverca as the guests. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the game statistics (Tondela vs Alverca):
- possession percentage: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 11 vs 5;
- fouls: 14 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
Tondela continue to struggle this season. The team can't boast about their form, as they've drawn three times and lost twice in their last five matches. Notably, their attack is faltering, averaging only 0.8 goals per game, which ranks among the lowest in the league. Their defense isn't much better, conceding 1.6 goals per match. Currently sitting in 17th place, Tondela are fighting for survival in the league, making every point crucial for them.
Match Results: Tondela
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 0, draws - 3.
Statistics: Estrela vs Tondela
- matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- wins: 5 vs 3;
- win percentage: 23% vs 14%;
- losses: 9 vs 13;
- draws: 8 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 1;
- losses: 4 vs 6;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
- Tondela have not won in 9 of last 10 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.33, the guests - 0.33;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 0.67;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Estrela vs Tondela
- average total in the tournament: 2.95 vs 2.32;
- average total goals scored: 1.18 vs 0.68;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.59 vs 0.27;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.59 vs 0.41;
- Estrela: average total at home in the tournament - 1.27;
- Tondela: average total away in the tournament - 0.73;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.4) vs 0.8 (away - 0.75).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Estrela games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 5.33 (2 - for home team and 3.33 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 9 (4 - for home team and 5 - for away team).
Estrela: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.09; at home field - 3.91;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.6; at home field - 3.4.
Tondela: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.95, away - 4.36;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; away - 5.
- Estrela have taken under 4.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Estrela vs Tondela
- number of matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Estrela at home - 5 (45%);
- number of BTTS matches for Tondela away - 4 (36%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Estrela at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Tondela away - 2 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (20/198, 10.1%);
- Estrela at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:1 , 0:2 , 0:5 , 1:0 , 1:1 , 1:2 , 2:2 , 3:0 , 3:1 , 3:3 (1/11, 9.1%);
- Tondela away most often play: 3:0 (4/11, 36.4%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.91% (odds 6)
1:0 - 8.29% (odds 7)
0:1 - 8.1% (odds 7.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams and their standings in the table, a cautious game is expected. Estrela have been inconsistent, with their attack only occasionally impressing. Tondela, on the other hand, are in the relegation zone and desperately need points, which might force them to play more cautiously. Therefore, a reasonable prediction would be to bet on under 2.5 goals, given the significance of every point gained.
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Betting Tips: Estrela - Tondela
in 9 of last 10 games (Primeira Liga).
in 12 of last 13 away games.in 10 of last 11 away games (Primeira Liga).in 9 of last 10 games (Primeira Liga).in 6 of last 7 Estrela games (Primeira Liga).
in 6 of last 7 Gustavo Fernandes Correia games (in the Primeira Liga).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
