Tondela vs Estrela Prediction 21 September 2025
🔊 In the upcoming clash, Tondela and Estrela are set to face off in a match that could prove pivotal for both teams. Tondela are going through a rough patch, having failed to secure a win in their last five matches, but they still have a chance to improve their standing. Their attack is struggling with scoring, yet they frequently both score and concede at home. Estrela are not in top form either, but their defense tends to be more reliable on the road. Despite this, both opponents will be eager to claim victory to steer clear of the relegation zone.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 26 February 2023 and ended in a 0-0 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Estrela were the home side):
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- corners: 4 vs 5;
- shots on target: 3 vs 1.
📊 Tondela and Estrela have officially faced each other in just two matches. Their most recent encounter took place on 26 February 2023 at Estrela's home ground and ended in a 0-0 draw.
Head-to-head statistics Tondela - Estrela

Tondela Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, featuring Alverca as the home side against Tondela. The game concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Tondela vs. Alverca):
- possession: 51% vs. 49%;
- corners: 6 vs. 5;
- fouls: 15 vs. 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs. 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs. 4.
Tondela continue their battle to climb out of the lower part of the Primeira Liga table. Currently sitting in 18th place, the team are struggling with form-four losses and a draw in their last five matches tell the story. The club suffer from inconsistent results, largely due to their attacking inefficiency. They face significant challenges in this area, averaging just 0.4 goals per match while conceding 2. In their last head-to-head with Estrela, they managed a draw, but that was quite some time ago and doesn't hold much relevance now.
Match Results: Tondela

Estrela Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Primeira Liga, where Estrela hosted Vitória Guimarães. The match concluded with a 0-2 victory for the away side.
Here are the game statistics (Estrela vs Vitória Guimarães):
- possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 2;
- fouls: 10 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 1 vs 5.
Estrela are also fighting for survival in the league, currently sitting in 16th place with slightly better consistency than the home side. Their last five matches have resulted in three draws and two losses, highlighting issues both in attack, averaging 0.6 goals per game, and in defense, conceding 1.2. However, the "Stars" can boast solid performances away from home, with under 2.5 goals scored in 13 of their last 14 away fixtures.
Match Results: Estrela
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 0, draws - 2.
Statistics: Tondela vs Estrela
- matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 5;
- wins: 0 vs 0;
- win percentage: 0% vs 0%;
- losses: 4 vs 2;
- draws: 1 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 1;
- losses: 6 vs 6;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
- Estrela have not won in last 8 games (Primeira Liga).
- Estrela have not won in 7 of last 8 away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 0.5, the guests - 0.5;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 1;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 1.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Tondela home games.
Prediction on corners
Tondela: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.2; at home field - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; at home field - 5.2.
Estrela: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.6, away - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.5; away - 3.
- Under 9.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Tondela home games.
- Under 9.5 corners in last 8 Estrela games (Primeira Liga).
- Under 9.5 corners in last 5 Estrela away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 5 (2.5 for home team and 2.5 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4 (2 for home team and 2 for away team).
Tondela: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.6; at home - 1;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; at home - 1.4.
Estrela: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.4, away - 1.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.9; away - 3.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Tondela vs Estrela
- number of matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 5;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 2;
- number of BTTS matches for Tondela at home - 1 (100%);
- number of BTTS matches for Estrela away - 1 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 2;
- BTTS matches for Tondela at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Estrela away - 1 (20%).
- Tondela have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams are under pressure to improve their standings to avoid a potential relegation battle, making this match particularly significant for both sides. Considering the current trends, it's likely there won't be many goals, as neither team boasts a consistent attack at the moment. The focus will probably be on minimizing defensive errors, which makes sense. We suggest keeping it straightforward in this match and betting on under 2.5 total goals.