Derby County vs Millwall Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 22 February 2025
🔊 In the upcoming Championship match between Derby County and Millwall, we are in for an exciting spectacle full of intrigue. The teams have different standings: the hosts are fighting for survival, while the "Lions" aim to secure their place at the top of the table. Considering that Derby hasn't won at home for six matches in a row and Millwall consistently scores, this match promises to be tense and unpredictable. The bookmakers' odds also highlight the equality of forces, leaving room for surprises on the field.
Head-to-Head
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Derby and Millwall:
- played 33 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 9, for the away team - 13, draws - 11;
- number of goals (home/away) - 35 against 37;
- average total goals in the match - 2.18.
The last time the sides met was at the home ground of Millwall. The match took place on 19 October 2024 and ended with a score of 1:1.
Head-to-head statistics Derby County - Millwall
Derby County Team Overview
Derby County is going through challenging times. The team is positioned low in the league standings, and their current form leaves much to be desired: in the last ten matches, the "Rams" have not secured a single victory, losing eight of them. The team's average scoring rate is only 0.5 goals per game, highlighting issues in attack. Derby also concedes an average of 1.7 goals per match, indicating a weak defense. In the last five home games, John Eustace's protégés failed to score even once, which adds pressure on the team ahead of their meeting with Millwall. In their previous head-to-head match with the "Lions," they drew 1-1, which might inspire hope for a positive result.
Match Results: Derby County
Millwall Team Overview
Millwall is showing confident play this season. The team is in the middle of the table and is delivering consistent results: five wins in the last ten matches. Their average scoring rate is 1.4 goals per match, and their defense is quite reliable, conceding 1.1 goals per game. In the last five matches, Millwall consistently plays for a total over 1.5 goals, highlighting their attacking potential. Despite rarely scoring more than one goal away, their current form gives hope for a successful outcome against Derby.
Match Results: Millwall
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- home team wins - 9, away team wins - 13, draws - 11.
- Derby County has not won in 6 of the last 7 Championship home games against Millwall.
- Derby County has not won in each of their last 5 Championship home games.
- Derby County has not won in each of their last 10 Championship games.
- Derby County has not won in each of their last 11 games.
- Millwall has not lost in 6 of the last 7 away games.
- Millwall has not lost in 7 of the last 8 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.06, the guests - 1.12;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.18;
- both teams scored: overall - 14; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Derby vs Millwall
- average total in the tournament: 2.39 vs 2.03;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.03;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.36 vs 0.44;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.64 vs 0.59;
- Derby : average total at home in the tournament - 1.19;
- Millwall: average total away in the tournament - 0.94;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.5 (home - 0) vs 1.4 (away - 1.2).
- Derby County has conceded in 8 of the last 9 Championship games against Millwall.
- Derby County has conceded in 11 of the last 12 Championship games.
- Derby County has conceded in 12 of the last 13 games.
- Millwall has scored in each of their last 7 Championship games.
- Millwall has scored in each of their last 8 games.
- Millwall has scored in each of their last 6 away games.
Prediction on corners
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.06; at home field - 5.38;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.7; at home field - 4.25.
Millwall: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.91, away - 4.88;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; away - 4.4.
- There have been under 10.5 corners in 7 of the last 8 Derby County games against Millwall in the Championship.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.12 (1.06 for home team and 1.06 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.07 (0.69 for home team and 1.38 for away team).
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.73; at home - 1.44;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 0.9; at home - 0.75.
Millwall: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.85, away - 2.24;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; away - 2.4.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- both teams scored all-time - 14 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of the teams and their head-to-head statistics, Millwall appears to be a more favorable option for betting. Derby County is experiencing significant difficulties both in attack and defense, making them vulnerable against the "Lions". Taking into account the trends and odds, the most likely outcome seems to be a Millwall win or draw, making a double chance bet (X2) optimal. The level of confidence in this prediction is high, given the recent results of both teams and their head-to-head statistics.
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Betting Tips: Derby County - Millwall
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