Millwall vs Derby Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 10 March 2026
🔊 In the upcoming clash, Millwall will host Derby County, and this encounter promises to be intriguing. Both teams are in solid form: Millwall have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Derby County have secured victory in 3 out of 5. The stakes are high for both sides, with Millwall pushing for a top-2 spot and Derby aiming to break into the playoff zone.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 10 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Derby ):
- ball possession percentage: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 11 vs 7;
- fouls: 9 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Millwall and Derby :
- played 35 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 14, for the away team - 9, draws - 12;
- number of goals (home/away) - 39 against 36;
- average total goals in the match - 2.14.
Head-to-head statistics Millwall - Derby
Millwall Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Hull City, away team - Millwall). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:3.
Here's the game statistics (Millwall vs Hull City):
- ball possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 15 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
Millwall are showing impressive form this season, currently sitting in third place on the league table with a high win rate of 19 out of 36 matches. In their last five games, the Lions have secured four victories, underscoring their excellent form. They average 2.1 goals per game while conceding an average of 0.8 goals over their last ten matches. The team's primary strength lies in their attack, which consistently finds gaps in opponents' defenses.
Match Results: Millwall
Derby Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Derby , away - Sheffield Wednesday). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the match stats (Derby vs Sheffield Wednesday):
- ball possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 2;
- fouls: 7 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Derby County are sitting in seventh place, continuing their battle for a playoff spot. Their form has been somewhat inconsistent, but they demonstrate attacking prowess, averaging 1.9 goals per game over the last ten matches. Despite suffering three defeats in their last six outings, the Rams remain a significant threat even to the Championship's top teams.
Match Results: Derby
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 35;
- home team wins - 14, away team wins - 9, draws - 12.
Statistics: Millwall vs Derby
- matches played in the tournament: 36 vs 36;
- wins: 19 vs 15;
- win percentage: 53% vs 42%;
- losses: 9 vs 12;
- draws: 8 vs 9.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 7 vs 6;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in last 10 away games against Millwall (Championship).
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 16 of last 18 away games.
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 17 games (Championship).
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 14 of last 16 away games (Championship).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.11, the guests - 1.03;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.14;
- both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Millwall vs Derby
- average total in the tournament: 2.53 vs 2.81;
- average total goals scored: 1.39 vs 1.5;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.56 vs 0.69;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.83 vs 0.81;
- Millwall: average total at home in the tournament - 1.44;
- Derby : average total away in the tournament - 1.65;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.1 (home - 2.25) vs 1.9 (away - 2).
- Millwall have conceded in 8 of last 9 home games against Derby (Championship).
- Derby have scored in 26 of last 27 games.
- Derby have scored in 25 of last 26 games (Championship).
- Derby have scored in 11 of last 12 away games (Championship).
Prediction on corners
Millwall: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.36; at home field - 5.83;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.5; at home field - 6.25.
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.64, away - 3.76;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.4; away - 3.2.
- Derby have taken under 4.5 corners in 6 of last 7 away games (Championship).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.28 (1.14 for home team and 1.14 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.29 (0.88 for home team and 1.41 for away team).
Millwall: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.06; at home - 1.61;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.1; at home - 1.25.
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.33, away - 2.59;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; away - 2.6.
- Under 3.5 yellow cards in 9 of last 10 Millwall home games (Championship).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 35;
- both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
Statistics: Millwall vs Derby
- number of matches played in the tournament: 36 vs 36;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 17 vs 25;
- number of BTTS matches for Millwall at home - 7 (39%);
- number of BTTS matches for Derby away - 11 (65%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Millwall at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Derby away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (65/429, 15.2%);
- Millwall at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (3/18, 16.7%);
- Derby away most often play: 1:2 (3/17, 17.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.27% (odds 6)
2:1 - 9.46% (odds 8)
1:0 - 9.12% (odds 6.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Given the head-to-head trends and current form of both teams, betting on both teams to score (yes) seems like the most well-founded choice for this match. Millwall often concede at home against Derby County, and considering the visitors' average scoring rate of 1.9, the likelihood of them finding the net is high. Meanwhile, the hosts are in top form, and their attack consistently poses a threat to the Rams' defense.No comments
Betting Tips: Millwall - Derby
in 7 of last 8 home games against Derby (Championship).
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Other predictions
