Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction 22 February 2025
🔊 Can Aston Villa narrow the gap with Chelsea in the Premier League to a minimum? The chances of winning are certainly there, especially since the match will take place at Villa Park in Birmingham. However, the team recently played a rescheduled Matchday 29 game against Liverpool, so there is practically no time for recovery and preparation. But it's also not wise to rush to bet on the visitors' victory. On our side, we will consider different options to make the prediction optimal.
Head-to-Head
In the span of 15 head-to-head matches, Chelsea holds the advantage with 60% wins. In the first round, they defeated Aston Villa at Stamford Bridge (3:0), although the opponent had opportunities to score. At that time, Cole Palmer recorded a goal and an assist, but currently, he is not in the best form, just like the entire team. Aston Villa has conceded at home in seven consecutive head-to-head matches, particularly in the second half. Considering that they recently played a tough match against Liverpool and their squad is not very large, there is a likelihood that Chelsea will score in the 2nd half.
Head-to-head statistics Aston Villa - Chelsea
Aston Villa Team Overview
Aston Villa cannot win in five consecutive matches in the Premier League. However, during this stretch, they only lost to Wolverhampton (0:2). On the other hand, the team managed to take points from Arsenal (2:2), coming back from two goals down in the second half. Meanwhile, the Birmingham side slipped up in their match against Ipswich (1:1). Notably, they gained a numerical advantage at the end of the first half but conceded afterward and barely equalized. Recently, Unai Emery's team faced Liverpool in a rescheduled match of the 29th round. As in the match against Arsenal, Tielemans and Watkins scored, in that order. However, it was only enough for a draw (2:2). It is worth noting that Aston Villa still has squad issues. Due to injuries, Onana, Torres, and Kamara will not play, while Bailey and Konsa are doubtful. Axel Disasi will also miss the upcoming match due to loan agreement conditions with Chelsea. Therefore, Lamar Bogarde is likely to partner Tyrone Mings in central defense, although he currently does not meet Aston Villa's standards.
Match Results: Aston Villa
Chelsea FC Team Overview
Chelsea's problems began after the first stage of the Conference League. In the last round of the league stage, they defeated Shamrock Rovers (5:1), but since then, they have managed only two wins in the Premier League. Both of these victories were at home. During this period, the "Pensioners" only picked up two points away from home. They even lost to Ipswich (0:2), for example. In the previous round, Maresca's team suffered a heavy defeat from Brighton (0:3). Just a few days before that, they also lost to the "Seagulls" in the FA Cup (1:2). As a result, Chelsea has dropped to sixth place and risks being considered a mid-table team. A significant issue has been the injury to Nicolas Jackson. Despite squandering chances, there is no other prominent forward, especially with Marc Guehi also injured. It's worth noting that Badiashile, Fofana, Lavia, and Madueke will also miss the upcoming match.
Match Results: Chelsea FC
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is Michael Oliver, who has officiated in 19 Premier League matches, including those involving Aston Villa and Chelsea. In both instances, Arsenal was the opponent, and no team managed to beat them. During this period, the referee showed an average of 5.05 yellow cards and awarded only one penalty.
Both teams approach the match with a trend towards fewer yellow cards. Aston Villa has received fewer than three yellow cards in eight consecutive home matches. Chelsea, on the other hand, has had no more than two yellow cards in 6 out of 7 away games. In the head-to-head match in the first round, both teams had two yellow cards each. Therefore, we recommend a bet on total yellow cards under 5.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Aston Villa does not excel in defense, primarily due to injuries. Moreover, Emiliano Martinez has been making fewer saves. On the other hand, their attack is quite decent. The team lost John Duran, who was enhancing the game from the bench. However, Rodgers and Ramsey have significantly improved. Therefore, Aston Villa scores and concedes in nine home matches. In this situation, it is worth considering the bet - both teams to score (Yes).
🚩 Corner Prediction
Aston Villa has an advantage in corners this season (6.6 against 6). Meanwhile, Chelsea has had at least five corners in 10 out of their last 11 away matches. Considering that the hosts are likely to lead during the match, a bet on total corners for the guests over 4.5 might be profitable.
Editorial Prediction
There is no clear favorite in the upcoming match. Both teams have roster losses. However, Chelsea has a large squad, so this won't be a serious issue for them. On the other hand, the team hasn't won away in almost three months if we consider only Premier League matches. Therefore, we lean towards a draw, for example, with a score of 2-2.
The upcoming match could see a lot of goals. Aston Villa has almost no central defenders left, while Chelsea has weak goalkeepers who fail to save and often concede goals. In such a situation, we can expect goals from each team. Therefore, as the key bet, we choose total goals over 2.5, which has played out in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head matches at Villa Park stadium.
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Betting Tips: Aston Villa - Chelsea FC
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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