Arsenal vs West Ham Prediction
🔊 Which team will win the London derby? Bookmakers' prediction makes Arsenal the favorite, as they host West Ham at the Emirates Stadium. They should be highly motivated, as Liverpool dropped points in the rescheduled match of the 29th round. Therefore, Arteta's team can close the gap and intensify the championship race. However, West Ham cannot be easily dismissed as an opponent. They have a decent squad, although their performance hasn't improved even after a managerial change. Nonetheless, we will consider different options to find the optimal one.
Head-to-Head
In the span of 38 head-to-head matches, Arsenal holds the advantage with a 68 percent win rate. In the first round of the current season, they defeated West Ham away (5:2). Surprisingly, all seven goals were scored in the first half. The hero of the match was Bukayo Saka, who added two assists to his penalty goal. However, the England national team winger is currently injured. Head-to-head matches are generally high-scoring. At least 8 out of 10 matches have seen at least three goals scored. Therefore, we highlight total goals over 2.5 as a potential bet.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Arsenal FC Team Overview
Arsenal, like most teams in the Premier League, is suffering from a series of injuries this season. At one point, defenders started dropping out, and now it's the forwards. The usual front trio of Saka-Havertz-Martinelli is not available in full, and along with them, the first candidate for substitution, Gabriel Jesus, is also out. Fortunately, the losses in defense are minimal. Only Tomiyasu is absent, who is not a regular starter. In such a situation, there was some concern for Arsenal in the last round when they visited “King Power.” However, the visitors almost dropped points. Yes, they played with an advantage, but Mikel Merino opened the scoring only in the 81st minute. In fact, he also increased the lead over Leicester at the end (2:0). In a situation with many injuries, Arteta is forced to trust young players with starting positions. However, Miles Lewis-Skelly hardly disappoints, and Ethan Nwaneri, who scored three goals in 15 matches, will even contend for a place on the field, even when the injured players recover.
Match Results: Arsenal FC
West Ham United Team Overview
West Ham changed Julen Lopetegui for Graham Potter during the season - a coach of more or less the same level. Therefore, it is not surprising that the results remained quite average. In five Premier League rounds under the new coach, the Hammers have only gained four points. They only defeated Fulham (3:2), with an extraordinary conversion rate. It is enough to say that in other cases, the team did not score more than one goal. In the last round, they conceded from Brentford as early as the fourth minute. Surprisingly, West Ham not only didn't equalize but also didn't create a single scoring chance. However, they started to have some success in attack when Potter brought on the only out-and-out striker - Evan Ferguson, on loan from Brighton. The young Irishman is expected to replace Michail Antonio, who is out for at least the rest of the season, and the injured Niclas Füllkrug. It should be noted that Crysencio Summerville will also not play in the upcoming match, and Vladimir Coufal's participation is in doubt.
Match Results: West Ham United
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is Craig Pawson, who has officiated 15 Premier League matches this season, including games involving Arsenal and West Ham. This will be his third time officiating for the "Hammers." During this period, the referee has shown an average of 4.33 yellow cards per match.
Both teams approach the match with a trend of receiving fewer yellow cards. Arsenal has received fewer than three warnings in 10 of their last 11 matches at the “Emirates.” On the other hand, West Ham has not exceeded this mark in 6 of their last 7 away games. Considering the referee's statistics, we lean towards a total yellow cards under 4.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Currently, Arsenal boasts the best defense in the Premier League, conceding on average less than one goal per match. Therefore, it will be difficult for West Ham to score in the upcoming match. However, they have scored in 14 of their last 15 away matches. Hence, a bet on a West Ham goal in the derby should not be ignored.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Arsenal has the advantage in corners this season (6.4 against 4.6). However, matches involving them average only 9.4 corners. Set pieces are a dangerous weapon for the "Gunners." Therefore, West Ham will try to minimize such situations. In this scenario, it makes sense to bet on total corners under 11.5, which has occurred in 10 of Arsenal's last 11 matches.
Editorial Prediction
The favorite for the upcoming match is Arsenal. If they are still thinking about the championship, they need to win the derby. However, achieving a significant advantage without their main attacking players will be difficult. Therefore, we suggest a potential exact score of 2:1.
However, two goals from Arsenal is the maximum to expect in such a situation. After all, West Ham has a fairly decent defense and plenty of defensive midfielders. Moreover, under Potter, the team hasn't conceded more than two goals. Therefore, as a key bet, we suggest Arsenal's total goals under 2.5.
Betting Tips: Arsenal FC - West Ham United
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
