Shimizu vs Zelvia Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 21 October 2026
🔉 The match between Shimizu and Machida Zelvia is drawing attention due to the difference in current form and league ambitions. Shimizu sit in mid-table, with a modest run of three wins from their last five matches. Machida Zelvia, meanwhile, are challenging at the top of J1 League and have shown consistency over the course of the season: the visitors have won five matches in a row and are among the highest scorers in the division this season. The greater competitive motivation lies with the visitors - they are holding a position near the top of the table, which makes every point all the more significant.
Shimizu avoid defeat on home turf
Machida Zelvia beat Shimizu S-Pulse 3-0 in J1 League 05 July 2025, despite having just 36% possession. The hosts had seven shots on target compared to two for the visitors, and two of the goals came in the second half.
📊 Across four head-to-head meetings, Machida Zelvia have won two, Shimizu have won one, and one match ended in a draw. At home, Machida Zelvia have won both meetings, while away at Shimizu they have yet to win.
Head-to-head statistics Shimizu - Zelvia
Shimizu have scored in nine consecutive matches.
Shimizu's two-goal lead at half-time wasn't enough in their most recent J1 League match on 17 October 2026: they drew 2-2 at home with Gamba Osaka. Both sides had 12 shots each, despite the visitors holding 65% of possession to Shimizu's 35%.
Shimizu's form has been inconsistent: three wins, one defeat and one draw from their last five matches suggests reasonable momentum, but their scoring rate is unimpressive - just 1.4 goals per game over their last ten matches. The team have spent much of the season away from the upper reaches of the table, and they are already seven points off the Champions League places. Early in the season there is still time for Shimizu to improve their position, but their low level of motivation makes it difficult to expect any significant upturn in effectiveness.
Match Results: Shimizu S Pulse
Machida Zelvia have suffered just one defeat in their last ten matches.
Machida Zelvia's 3-0 home win over Avispa Fukuoka on 18 October 2026 was marked by their accuracy in front of goal: seven of their eight shots were on target. In that most recent J1 League match, the opposition had more shots - 10 - but only one of them was on target.
Machida Zelvia are in excellent form, having won eight of their last ten matches, with averages of 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game over that run. Their last five league rounds have brought nothing but victories, and their away form reflects the same confidence - they have won five of their six most recent away matches. The battle for top spot demands they keep scoring freely, and their seasonal average already stands at 2.5 goals per game.
Match Results: Machida Zelvia
Safer Bet
Shimizu very rarely lose by more than one goal: the Handicap +1.5 has come in for them in 13 of their last 14 matches. Even accounting for the strength of the opposition, that handicap looks very reliable. The price on Shimizu - Handicap (+1.5) is 1.19*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the most likely scorelines are: 0-1 (14.27%), 0-0 (11.66%), and 1-1 (11.45%). A narrow away win by 0-1 is the most probable of the three, though the chances of a draw are also fairly high.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The data points to a strong likelihood of goals at both ends: Machida Zelvia have been scoring consistently and conceding chances at their own goal in almost every match over the past month, which supports the key trend of Both Teams to Score - Yes. Shimizu, while weaker in attack than their opponents, regularly convert their chances at home against sides of any level. The visitors' form sets the tone for an open game with goals likely from both sides - particularly given their desire to maintain their lead early in the season. The bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: Shimizu S Pulse - Machida Zelvia
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