Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 21 October 2026

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Key points

    🔉 Avispa Fukuoka and Gamba Osaka meet early in the season with both clubs fighting to stay in J1 League. The hosts are close to the danger zone, while the visitors are in the relegation places - which makes every point feel particularly valuable at this early stage of the campaign. Both sides have been inconsistent: Avispa have managed only two wins in their last ten matches, and Gamba Osaka have similarly struggled for form and goals.

    The head-to-head record at Avispa Fukuoka’s home ground is perfectly balanced, with both teams claiming an equal number of wins.

    Avispa Fukuoka beat Gamba Osaka away 2-1 in a J1 League match 22 April 2026. Both of the winners' goals came before half-time, despite losing out on possession (32% against 68%) and shots (8 against 15). It was a comeback victory, as Gamba Osaka had taken the lead as early as the ninth minute but were unable to hold on to it.

    📊 Across 12 official meetings, Avispa Fukuoka have the better record: six wins to Gamba Osaka's four, with two draws. At home, though, Avispa Fukuoka have won just three of their six head-to-head matches - the same number as Gamba Osaka. In those home meetings, the visitors have averaged more goals - 1 per game compared to 0.83.

    Head-to-head statistics Avispa Fukuoka - Gamba Osaka

    50%
    6 Wins
    17%
    2 Draws
    33%
    4 Wins
    Total games
    12
    Avg. total goals
    2.42
    Both teams scored
    58%
    1.25
    Average total
    1.17
    4.5
    Corners
    3.92
    1.67
    Yellow cards
    1
    13.58
    Fouls
    11.17
    Last matches
    22.04.26
    J1 League
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    -
    -
    5
    5
    8
    15
    1
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    5
    8
    15
    1
    4
    21.03.26
    J1 League
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    -
    -
    4
    1
    15
    14
    1
    1
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    14
    13
    -
    -
    4
    1
    15
    14
    1
    1
    30.11.25
    J1 League
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    1.24
    0.9
    4
    4
    17
    9
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.24
    0.9
    4
    4
    17
    9
    2
    2
    22.02.25
    J.League
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    1.05
    0.79
    3
    8
    14
    14
    0
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.05
    0.79
    3
    8
    14
    14
    0
    2
    24.08.24
    J1 League
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    -
    -
    4
    3
    12
    21
    1
    3
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    12
    21
    1
    3
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    Avispa Fukuoka have claimed both of their J1 League victories this season on home turf.

    Avispa Fukuoka's most recent J1 League match on 18 October 2026 ended in a 0-3 away defeat to Machida Zelvia. Fukuoka had more shots (10-8), but managed only one on target compared to seven from their opponents.

    Avispa Fukuoka are going through a difficult spell - just two wins from ten matches, with seven defeats. In their last five official matches they have lost three times and won twice. Their average scoring rate remains low: 0.9 goals per match scored and 1.6 conceded over their last ten games. That reflects problems at both ends of the pitch. Their motivation is as high as it gets - the club still have a chance of avoiding relegation and need to fight for every point right now.

    Match Results: Avispa Fukuoka

    Last matches
    18.10.26
    J1 League
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    1.45
    0.86
    2
    5
    15
    9
    2
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1.45
    0.86
    2
    5
    15
    9
    2
    0
    L
    14.10.26
    J. League Cup
    Sagan Tosu
    Sagan Tosu
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    -
    -
    7
    2
    9
    6
    2
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    2
    9
    6
    2
    0
    L
    10.10.26
    J1 League
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Fagiano Okayama
    Fagiano Okayama
    1.13
    0.59
    2
    3
    13
    10
    4
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.13
    0.59
    2
    3
    13
    10
    4
    2
    W
    07.10.26
    Emperor Cup
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Yokohama
    Yokohama
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    1
    0
    L
    29.09.26
    J. League Cup
    Osaka
    Osaka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    -
    -
    5
    8
    -
    -
    5
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    8
    -
    -
    5
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Gamba Osaka have not picked up a win in J1 League action since early August.

    Trailing Shimizu 0-2 at half-time away from home, Gamba Osaka came back to draw 2-2 in their last J.League 1 match on 17 October 2026. Both sides had 12 shots each, though the visitors held the ball significantly more, with 65% possession.

    Gamba Osaka sit bottom of the table and are under serious pressure, needing points to avoid relegation. In their last ten official matches they have won three, lost five and drawn two. They do score at a slightly higher rate - around two goals on average - but the season's trend highlights poor finishing, with under 1.5 goals in almost all of their recent J1 League matches.

    Match Results: Gamba Osaka

    Last matches
    17.10.26
    J1 League
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    1.11
    1.26
    7
    4
    9
    13
    1
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    1.11
    1.26
    7
    4
    9
    13
    1
    2
    D
    13.10.26
    AFC Champions League
    Newcastle Jets
    Newcastle Jets
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    -
    -
    5
    6
    11
    9
    2
    2
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    5
    6
    11
    9
    2
    2
    W
    09.10.26
    J1 League
    Kashima Antlers
    Kashima Antlers
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    1.25
    0.88
    1
    4
    13
    18
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.25
    0.88
    1
    4
    13
    18
    2
    1
    L
    03.10.26
    J. League Cup
    Kashiwa Reysol
    Kashiwa Reysol
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    -
    -
    5
    6
    6
    7
    0
    2
    5
    4
    1
    1
    2
    2
    2
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    6
    7
    0
    2
    L
    23.09.26
    Emperor Cup
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    Tokushima Vortis
    Tokushima Vortis
    -
    -
    9
    0
    -
    -
    1
    1
    5
    0
    1
    0
    4
    0
    -
    -
    9
    0
    -
    -
    1
    1
    W
    Empty
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    Match Result Prediction

    Avispa Fukuoka have failed to win in 7 of their last 8 matches, which points to their difficulties picking up points. Gamba Osaka, meanwhile, have gone 8 matches in a row without a win, but the visitors draw more often, while Fukuoka have only 2 wins all season. Given Fukuoka's winless trend and the inconsistent form of both sides, the most well-supported bet is Gamba Osaka not to lose, priced at 1.46*.

    Total Goals Prediction

    Gamba Osaka have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 matches. Their average for the season is 1 goal per game, which confirms the low scoring output of their attack. The Gamba Osaka Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals is priced at 1.47*.

    Corners Prediction

    Gamba Osaka have had fewer than 5.5 corners in seven consecutive matches. This is a consistent trend, confirming that the visitors do not often win a high number of corners. The bet on Gamba Osaka Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 is priced at 1.39*.

    Correct Score Prediction

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11.95%), 1-2 (8%), 1-0 (8%). The draw at 1-1 has the highest probability, though the gap between all three options is relatively small, which reflects the overall competitive balance and low-scoring tendency.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Defensive solidity is the key factor in this match - both sides are well aware of the cost of mistakes in a relegation battle, even at this early stage of the season. The trend on Gamba Osaka's team total consistently points to low scoring: seven of their last eight matches have ended with at most one goal scored, despite the occasional productive spell in their recent form. The hosts' attack is no better, and with points a priority, they are unlikely to take risks. The main bet for this match is Total Goals - Under 2.5.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet-112
    Published: 20/10/2026, 07:03
    Alexander Martilionis
    Alexander Martilionis
    Football expert
    119
    2
    103
    224 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Avispa Fukuoka - Gamba Osaka

    Avispa Fukuoka have not won:
    avispa-fukuokain 7 of last 8 games (J1 League).
    Gamba Osaka will not lose
    -217
    Gamba Osaka have not won:
    gamba-osaka-1in last 8 games (J1 League).
    gamba-osaka-1in 7 of last 8 away games.
    gamba-osaka-1in last 6 away games (J1 League).
    Avispa Fukuoka will not lose
    -227
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    gamba-osaka-1in last 15 Gamba Osaka away games (J1 League).
    gamba-osaka-1in 8 of last 9 Gamba Osaka games.
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    -400
    Gamba Osaka have conceded:
    gamba-osaka-1in last 15 away games (J1 League).
    gamba-osaka-1in 13 of last 14 games (J1 League).
    gamba-osaka-1in 8 of last 9 games.
    Avispa Fukuoka will score goal
    -
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    7 - Losses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 2
    Losses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 9
    Conceded - 16
    -7
    +2
    20 - Scored
    18 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    3
    1
    Draws
    2
    7
    Losses
    5
    Goal difference
    9
    Scored
    20
    16
    Conceded
    18
    2.5
    Average total per match
    3.8
    0.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    2
    1.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.8
    6
    Both teams scored
    5
    103'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    47'
    View all stats