Vitoria vs Fluminense Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 20 September 2025
🔊 On September 21, Vitória will host Fluminense at the Manoel Barradas Stadium in Salvador for the 24th round of Brazil's Serie A. The home side, currently in the relegation zone with just 22 points from 23 matches, will be looking to leverage their home advantage to break their losing streak. Fluminense, sitting in 10th place with 28 points, are also seeking consistency and will be fighting for crucial away points. The head-to-head history slightly favors Fluminense, but the current form of both teams makes the outcome of this match unpredictable.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 20 April 2025 and ended in a 1-1 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Fluminense were the home side):
- possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corners: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between Vitória and Fluminense:
- 22 matches played;
- home team victories - 5, away team wins - 9, draws - 8;
- goals scored - 28 for Vitória, 35 for Fluminense;
- average goals in the first half - 1, in the second half - 1.86;
- average total goals per match - 2.86.
Head-to-head statistics Vitoria - Fluminense
Vitoria Team Overview
The last official match took place on as part of Serie A, Round 23, with Fortaleza hosting Vitoria. The game ended 2-0.
Here are the match stats (Vitoria vs Fortaleza):
- possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corners: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 15 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 6 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
🔴 On September 13, Vitória suffered a 0-2 defeat away to Fortaleza. This marked their ninth loss of the season, and the club currently sits in 17th place in the standings. A victory in the upcoming match against Fluminense could lift Vitória out of the relegation zone and provide a much-needed boost, but achieving this will be extremely challenging. Vitória remains one of the least prolific teams in Serie A, with only 19 goals scored-on par with Juventude and slightly more than bottom-placed Sport Recife.
Match Results: Vitoria
Fluminense Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the South American Cup quarterfinals, first leg (Lanus were the hosts, Fluminense the visitors). The match ended with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Fluminense vs Lanus):
- possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corners: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 10 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 1 vs 4.
🟢 On September 14, Fluminense suffered a home defeat to Corinthians, falling 0-1. The team created several opportunities but failed to capitalize, while their opponents seized a single chance to clinch the victory. Following this setback, Fluminense sit in 10th place in Serie A with 28 points, showcasing an inconsistent performance and raising questions about their scoring ability.
🏆 Additionally, on Tuesday, Fluminense faced a tough quarter-final match in the Copa Sudamericana against Argentina's Lanús away from home, narrowly losing 0-1. The return leg in Brazil demands full focus, adding extra pressure on the players. Under these circumstances, the upcoming clash against Vitória might prove challenging: despite Vitória's lower standing, Fluminense will have to contend with fatigue, travel, and thoughts of the crucial showdown with Lanús, which will determine their fate in the Copa Sudamericana quarter-finals.
Match Results: Fluminense
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 22;
- First-half wins for home team - 5; for away team - 1; draws - 4;
- Average first-half total: 1;
- Today's home team averages 0.45 goals, visitors average 0.55.
First-Half Stats: Vitoria (home) vs Fluminense (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- Wins: 5 (45.45%) vs 1 (9.09%);
- Losses: 3 (27.27%) vs 5 (45.45%);
- Draws: 3 (27.27%) vs 5 (45.45%);
- Average goals scored: 0.73 vs 1;
- Average goals conceded: 0.27 vs 0.73.
Last 10 Matches (overall):
- Wins: 4 vs 3;
- Losses: 3 vs 2;
- Draws: 3 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.6) vs 1 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.4).
- Fluminense have drawn the first half in their last 5 matches consecutively.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 22;
- Home wins - 5, Away wins - 9, Draws - 8.
Statistics: Vitória vs Fluminense
- Matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 21;
- Victories: 4 vs 8;
- Win percentage: 17% vs 38%;
- Losses: 9 vs 9;
- Draws: 10 vs 4.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 2 vs 4;
- Losses: 3 vs 4;
- Draws: 5 vs 2.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Today's home team averages - 1.27 goals, the visitors - 1.59;
- Average total goals in head-to-heads - 2.86;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 16 times; at the home team's venue - 9 times.
Statistics: Vitória vs Fluminense
- Average total in the tournament: 2.3 vs 2.57;
- Average goals scored: 0.83 vs 1.19;
- Average in the first half: 0.26 vs 0.43;
- Average in the second half: 0.57 vs 0.76;
- Vitória: average home total in the tournament - 1.27;
- Fluminense: average away total in the tournament - 1.18;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 1.6) vs 1.3 (away - 1.17).
- Vitória concedes at home in 9 of the last 10 head-to-heads with these teams (Serie A).
Corners Prediction
Vitória: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.43; at home - 4.82;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.6; at home - 4.
Fluminense: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.48, away - 3.45;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.8; away - 4.67.
- Total less than 10.5 corners in 18 of Vitória's last 20 home matches.
- Total less than 10.5 corners in Vitória's last 6 matches (Serie A).
- Total less than 10.5 corners in Fluminense's last 7 out of 8 matches (Serie A).
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-heads - 2.36 (1.18 for the home team and 1.18 for the visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at the home venue - 2.4 (1.2 for the home team and 1.2 for the visitors).
Vitória: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.74; at home - 2.36;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3; at home - 3.
Fluminense: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2, away - 2.45;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.9; away - 2.17.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 22;
- Both teams have scored all-time - 16 times;
- At the home venue - 9 times.
Statistics: Vitória vs Fluminense
- Total matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 21;
- Total matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 11 vs 11;
- BTTS for Vitória at home - 7 (64%);
- BTTS for Fluminense away - 5 (45%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total matches with BTTS: 4 vs 4;
- BTTS for Vitória at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS for Fluminense away - 3 (50%).
- Vitória scores and concedes at home in 9 of the last 10 head-to-heads with these teams (Serie A).
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The upcoming match promises to be a challenging one. Vitoria, sitting in the relegation zone, will fight for a chance to climb up and break their losing streak. Fluminense enter the game after a defeat to Corinthians and an away Copa Sudamericana match against Lanus, adding to the players' workload.
Head-to-head history shows that Vitoria can pose problems for the favorites: in the first round at the Maracana, the teams ended in a draw (1-1). We anticipate a cautious game with few goals, where the hosts will aim to secure some points. Our prediction: total under 2.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Vitoria - Fluminense
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