Lecce vs Cagliari Prediction 19 September 2025

Details
The main thing

    📢 What can we expect from the clash between Lecce and Cagliari, kicking off the fourth round of Serie A? The match will take place at the Via del Mare Stadium on Friday and is set to set the tone for the entire round. The hosts, after a sluggish start, are in desperate need of points to avoid becoming the main underdogs of the league at this early stage. Cagliari, on the other hand, have started the season brightly and will look to cement their spot in the upper part of the table, adding extra intrigue to this encounter.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The head-to-head record between Lecce and Cagliari over the past decade is quite balanced: out of 6 matches, each team has claimed one victory, while the remaining 4 encounters ended in draws. Last season, the rivals traded home triumphs-first, the Salentini secured a 1-0 win, then the Islanders responded with a commanding 4-1 victory on their home turf.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    25%
    2 Wins
    50%
    4 Draws
    25%
    2 Wins
    Total games
    8
    Total Goals Avg
    2.38
    Both teams scored
    63%
    1.13
    Total average
    1.25
    6.13
    Corner
    6
    1.38
    Yellow cards
    1.75
    12.38
    Fouls
    13.5
    Last matches
    16.02.26
    Serie A
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    Lecce
    Lecce
    1.31
    1.64
    8
    2
    16
    14
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.31
    1.64
    8
    2
    16
    14
    0
    0
    19.09.25
    Serie A
    Lecce
    Lecce
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    1.14
    2.21
    4
    7
    10
    19
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1.14
    2.21
    4
    7
    10
    19
    2
    3
    19.01.25
    Serie A
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    Lecce
    Lecce
    3.36
    0.39
    6
    1
    11
    10
    3
    1
    4
    1
    0
    1
    4
    0
    3.36
    0.39
    6
    1
    11
    10
    3
    1
    31.08.24
    Serie A
    Lecce
    Lecce
    1
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    -
    -
    7
    10
    10
    13
    1
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    10
    10
    13
    1
    3
    05.05.24
    Serie A
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    1
    Lecce
    Lecce
    -
    -
    3
    10
    9
    15
    4
    4
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    10
    9
    15
    4
    4
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    Lecce Team Overview

    🟡 Last season was a real test for Lecce as they teetered on the edge of relegation until the very end. Crucial victories over Torino (1-0) and Lazio (1-0) helped them secure the 17th spot and retain their place in Serie A. In the new season, the objectives for the "Salentini" remain unchanged-once again, the club will be fighting for survival.

    ❌ However, the start to the campaign has been decidedly poor. After three rounds, Lecce sit at the bottom of the table with just one point. Last weekend, they played a supporting role against an inconsistent Atalanta (1-4), and at one point, they trailed by an uncomfortable 0-4. Only a precise strike from midfielder Konan N'Dri spared them a complete rout.

    Match Results: Lecce

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    Serie A
    Lecce
    Lecce
    Genoa
    Genoa
    1.28
    0.91
    1
    6
    11
    6
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.28
    0.91
    1
    6
    11
    6
    2
    0
    W
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Sassuolo Calcio
    Sassuolo Calcio
    Lecce
    Lecce
    2.27
    0.81
    3
    8
    7
    13
    1
    4
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    2.27
    0.81
    3
    8
    7
    13
    1
    4
    W
    09.05.26
    Serie A
    Lecce
    Lecce
    Juventus Turin
    Juventus Turin
    1.11
    2.12
    1
    8
    7
    18
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.11
    2.12
    1
    8
    7
    18
    1
    1
    L
    01.05.26
    Serie A
    Pisa
    Pisa
    Lecce
    Lecce
    2.22
    1.17
    6
    1
    15
    13
    4
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    2.22
    1.17
    6
    1
    15
    13
    4
    2
    W
    25.04.26
    Serie A
    Hellas Verona
    Hellas Verona
    Lecce
    Lecce
    0.38
    1.16
    2
    4
    15
    19
    2
    5
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.38
    1.16
    2
    4
    15
    19
    2
    5
    D
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    Cagliari Calcio Team Overview

    🔴 Last season was challenging for Cagliari as they battled for survival until the very end, finishing in 15th place with 36 points. They were just two points clear of Lecce, highlighting how intense the relegation battle was.

    ✅ In the new campaign, the "Islanders" have had a much more confident start. After three rounds, they sit in the upper half of the table with four points. Notably, they secured a home victory against Parma (2-0) on September 13. Even against more prestigious opponents, the team put up a commendable fight: against Napoli (0-1), Cagliari posed a serious challenge, and they managed to earn a point against Fiorentina (1-1).

    Match Results: Cagliari Calcio

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    Serie A
    Milan
    Milan
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    1.76
    2.64
    5
    5
    8
    9
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1.76
    2.64
    5
    5
    8
    9
    2
    2
    W
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    Torino
    Torino
    1.28
    1.19
    5
    1
    8
    13
    1
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    1.28
    1.19
    5
    1
    8
    13
    1
    1
    W
    09.05.26
    Serie A
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    Udinese Calcio
    Udinese Calcio
    1.5
    1.85
    8
    4
    10
    13
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.5
    1.85
    8
    4
    10
    13
    1
    2
    L
    03.05.26
    Serie A
    Bologna
    Bologna
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    0.8
    0.82
    7
    2
    13
    12
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.8
    0.82
    7
    2
    13
    12
    2
    1
    D
    27.04.26
    Serie A
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    1.38
    1.23
    4
    6
    8
    11
    0
    0
    3
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1.38
    1.23
    4
    6
    8
    11
    0
    0
    W
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    Latest news

    Lecce

    📣 After the match against Atalanta (1-4), Lecce's coach Eusebio Di Francesco acknowledged that the team did not perform at their best: "We conceded from the opponent's first attack. In the first half, there were moments where we handled the ball well, but we lacked sharpness in the final 15-20 meters... In the second half, we really dropped off, and this should serve as a lesson for us. Defeats happen, but it's important to play until the end and maintain our level against any opponent." Di Francesco also emphasized that the team must remain united even after losses: "We need to continue growing and not let one result break us. We need more precision because it was the opponent's quick attacks that proved fatal for us."

    🚫 Lecce are facing significant squad issues. Balthazar Pierre is dealing with a gastrointestinal problem and might miss the upcoming match. More serious losses concern Filip Marchinski and Gabi Jean, both of whom suffered cruciate ligament injuries: Jean is expected back only by early October, while Marchinski will return by mid-next month.

    Cagliari Calcio

    📣 Fabio Pisacane, the coach of Cagliari, couldn't hide his joy following their crucial 2-0 victory over Parma: "I'm very happy. I must thank the guys; everyone in this team sacrifices for the result. We understood that we couldn't afford to slip up in this match." However, he also pointed out some mistakes: "We gifted the opponent two chances, and I didn't like that. If we didn't concede, it's only thanks to Elia Caprile, who saved us."

    🚫 Cagliari are also dealing with minor squad issues. Backup goalkeeper Boris Radunovic is doubtful due to a shin injury. Additionally, the club have lost Zito Luvumbo to a muscle injury, with his return expected only by late September.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Both Lecce and Cagliari have shown a similar style in recent years: these teams prefer to play defensively, often opting for a counter-attacking approach rather than an open game. It's no surprise that Lecce have seen under 2.5 total goals in 8 of their last 9 official matches, while Cagliari are on a similar streak with 5 consecutive games. This cautious approach often leads to low-scoring encounters, and their head-to-head clash is likely to follow the same pattern with few goals expected.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Recent matches involving Lecce have seldom been corner-heavy: in 6 of their last 7 Serie A games, the total corner count has stayed below 11. This is largely due to the Salentians' style of play-favoring a cautious game without excessive pressure on the opponent's goal, and their opponents also struggle to create numerous chances. Consequently, matches with Lecce often unfold at a measured pace, resulting in modest corner statistics. Therefore, we're betting on under 10.5 total corners.

    Editorial Prediction

    Bookmakers are struggling to pick a favorite for the upcoming clash: the odds for either team to win or for a draw are nearly identical, even though Lecce have home advantage. This balance is understandable, as the "Salentini" have had a weak start to the season, conceding six goals in three matches-the worst in Serie A-while scoring only once themselves. Their attack has faltered significantly since Nikola Krstovic's departure, with few chances created. Cagliari, on the other hand, are showing a more cohesive performance: they held their own against Fiorentina (1-1) and Napoli (0-1), and secured a convincing win over a weaker Parma side (2-0). The "Islanders" are in better form and are well-positioned to take points from Lecce. Therefore, a bet on Cagliari not to lose seems like a solid choice. As for the final score, we anticipate a 0-1 result on the scoreboard.

    Our choice
    Cagliari Calcio will not lose at odds of -233*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (17 September 2025, 21:45)

    Betting Tips: Lecce - Cagliari Calcio

    Cagliari Calcio have not won
    cagliari-calcioin 10 of last 11 away games (Serie A).
    Lecce will not lose
    Everygame
    -222
    Lecce have not won
    us-leccein 16 of last 18 games (Serie A).
    us-leccein 11 of last 12 home games (Serie A).
    Cagliari Calcio will not lose
    Everygame
    -238
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    cagliari-calcioin 10 of last 11 Cagliari Calcio games.
    cagliari-calcioin 9 of last 10 Cagliari Calcio games (Serie A).
    in 19 of last 21 Luca Zufferli games (in the Serie A).
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -200
    Lecce have scored under 1.5 goals
    us-leccecagliari-calcioin last 5 games against Cagliari Calcio (Serie A).
    us-leccein 13 of last 14 games.
    us-leccein 11 of last 12 home games (Serie A).
    us-leccein 6 of last 7 home games.
    Lecce Total goals Under (1.5)
    -286
    View more facts

    Lecce - Cagliari Table position

    Serie A 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    13.
    Parma
    Parma
    3811121528-4645
    14.
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    3811101740-5343
    15.
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    389151441-5042
    16.
    Genoa
    Genoa
    3810111741-5141
    17.
    Lecce
    Lecce
    381082028-5038
    18.
    Cremonese
    Cremonese
    388102032-5734

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 8
    Conceded - 13
    -5
    -5
    10 - Scored
    15 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    1
    5
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    8
    Scored
    10
    13
    Conceded
    15
    2.1
    Match goals average
    2.5
    0.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    1
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.5
    4
    Both teams scored
    5
    113'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    90'
    View all stats