Pachuca vs Toluca Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 22 March 2026
💫 The clash between Pachuca and Toluca promises to be a thrilling encounter. Both teams are in decent form: Pachuca are unbeaten in their last ten matches, while Toluca manage to score more than two goals per game. Considering the attacking prowess of both sides and their recent performances, we can anticipate a spectacular showdown with plenty of goals.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended in a 2-2 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (home team - Toluca):
- possession percentage: 59% vs 41%;
- corners: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 8 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Pachuca and Toluca:
- 48 matches played;
- home victories - 16, away victories - 19, draws - 13;
- goals scored - 69 for Pachuca, 72 for Toluca;
- average goals in the first half - 1.29, in the second half - 1.65;
- average total goals per match - 2.94.
Head-to-head statistics Pachuca - Toluca
Pachuca Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place in the Liga MX, with San Luis hosting Pachuca. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Pachuca vs San Luis):
- possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 0;
- fouls: 4 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
Pachuca have been showcasing consistent form in their last five matches, securing three wins and a draw. They currently sit fourth in the table, reflecting their ambitions to climb higher. Over the past ten games, Pachuca have conceded just 0.7 goals per match, establishing one of the most reliable defenses. However, they are also proactive in attack, averaging 1.4 goals scored.
Match Results: Pachuca
Deportivo Toluca Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place in the CONCACAF Champions League, with Toluca hosting San Diego Zest. The match concluded with a 4-0 scoreline.
Here's the game statistics (Toluca vs San Diego Zest):
- possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corners: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 13 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 12 vs 0.
Toluca secure third place thanks to their impressive form-six wins in the last ten matches with just one loss. On average, the team scores two goals per game while conceding only 0.8, highlighting their high-level performance in both attack and defense. Their current leadership in the league motivates Toluca to maintain their high tempo of play.
Match Results: Deportivo Toluca
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 48;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 7; for visitors away - 6; number of draws - 10;
- Average first-half total: 1.29;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.65, while the visitors net 0.65.
First-Half Stats: Pachuca (home) vs Toluca (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 16;
- wins: 6 (40%) vs 3 (18.75%);
- losses: 2 (13.33%) vs 3 (18.75%);
- draws: 7 (46.67%) vs 10 (62.5%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 0.88;
- Average goals conceded: 0.33 vs 0.38.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 3 vs 0;
- draws: 3 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.3) vs 0.9 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.2).
- Toluca have drawn in the 1st half in last 7 away games.
- Toluca have drawn in the 1st half in last 6 away games (Liga MX).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 48;
- home team wins - 16, away team wins - 19, draws - 13.
- Pachuca won with a +1.5 handicap in last 23 home games against Toluca.
- Pachuca won with a +1.5 handicap in last 21 home games against Toluca (Liga MX).
- Pachuca won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 13 games against Toluca (Liga MX).
- Pachuca won with a +1.5 handicap in 20 of last 21 games (Liga MX).
- Pachuca won with a +1.5 handicap in last 10 home games (Liga MX).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.44, the guests - 1.5;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.94;
- both teams scored: overall - 26; at the home team's field - 16.
Statistics: Pachuca vs Toluca
- average total in the tournament: 2.4 vs 2.88;
- average total goals scored: 1.3 vs 2;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.7 vs 0.88;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.6 vs 1.12;
- Pachuca: average total at home in the tournament - 1.4;
- Toluca: average total away in the tournament - 1.56;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.83) vs 2 (away - 2).
- Toluca have scored over 1.5 goals in last 6 games against Pachuca (Liga MX).
- Toluca have scored over 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games.
Prediction on corners
Pachuca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.6; at home field - 5.07;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; at home field - 4.
Toluca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.71, away - 5.94;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.8; away - 9.5.
- Toluca have taken under 5.5 corners in 6 of last 7 away games against Pachuca.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.42 (1.21 for home team and 1.21 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.7 (1 for home team and 1.7 for away team).
Pachuca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.4; at home - 2.6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; at home - 2.67.
Toluca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.29, away - 2.69;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; away - 2.75.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 48;
- both teams scored all-time - 26 times;
- on the home team’s field - 16 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (27/269, 10%);
- Pachuca at home most often finish matches: 2:1 (4/15, 26.7%);
- Toluca away most often play: 0:0 (4/16, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.08% (odds 6.5)
0:1 - 10.43% (odds 8.5)
1:2 - 9.48% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the head-to-head statistics and current team trends, a high-scoring game with both sides having chances to succeed in front of goal is anticipated. Both squads boast strong attacking lines and are prepared to trade blows throughout the entire match. Based on this analysis, betting on both teams to score appears to be the most logical choice for this encounter. A 1-1 scoreline is possible.No comments
Betting Tips: Pachuca - Deportivo Toluca
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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