Heracles vs Excelsior Prediction 20 March 2026
🔊 Which winless streak in the Eredivisie will come to an end - Heracles Almelo's or Excelsior's? Heracles Almelo find themselves at the bottom of the table, struggling to secure points and lacking in scoring prowess. Meanwhile, Excelsior aren't in top form either, but their position in the standings is considerably more stable. Can the hosts from Almelo manage to score for only the second time in six matches? Let's evaluate their chances with an insightful prediction from our editorial team.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 08 November 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Excelsior):
- ball possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 13;
- fouls: 14 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Heracles Almelo and Excelsior:
- played 29 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 14, for the away team - 9, draws - 6;
- number of goals - 56 against 50;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.34, in the 2nd half - 2.31;
- average total goals in the match - 3.66.
Head-to-head statistics Heracles - Excelsior
Heracles Almelo Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - AZ Alkmaar, away team - Heracles Almelo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:0.
Here's the game statistics (Heracles Almelo vs AZ Alkmaar):
- ball possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 19 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 0;
- shots on target: 2 vs 7.
Heracles Almelo are going through a tough spell, currently sitting at the bottom of the league table. The team's form is concerning: they have managed just one draw and suffered five defeats in their last six matches. Their average goal-scoring rate is a mere 1.19 goals per game, while conceding more than two goals per match. The most telling statistic comes from their last five Eredivisie fixtures, where they failed to score in four of those games.
Match Results: Heracles Almelo
Excelsior Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Feyenoord Rotterdam, away - Excelsior). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the match stats (Excelsior vs Feyenoord Rotterdam):
- ball possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 9;
- fouls: 12 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 9.
Excelsior have also been struggling recently, enduring a five-game losing streak. Nevertheless, they currently sit in 15th place and have a better chance of staying out of the relegation zone, holding a two-point cushion above the drop. Excelsior average just over one goal per game while conceding around one and a half. Despite their rough patch, they have managed to score in four of those matches.
Match Results: Excelsior
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 29;
- home team wins - 14, away team wins - 9, draws - 6.
Statistics: Heracles Almelo vs Excelsior
- matches played in the tournament: 27 vs 27;
- wins: 5 vs 7;
- win percentage: 19% vs 26%;
- losses: 19 vs 15;
- draws: 3 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 1 vs 1;
- losses: 8 vs 5;
- draws: 1 vs 4.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.93, the guests - 1.72;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.66;
- both teams scored: overall - 19; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Heracles Almelo vs Excelsior
- average total in the tournament: 3.74 vs 2.74;
- average total goals scored: 1.19 vs 1.04;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.56 vs 0.56;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.63 vs 0.48;
- Heracles Almelo: average total at home in the tournament - 1.62;
- Excelsior: average total away in the tournament - 1.08;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 0.6) vs 1.1 (away - 1).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 12 Heracles Almelo games against Excelsior (Eredivisie).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Heracles Almelo home games against Excelsior (Eredivisie).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 29;
- both teams scored all-time - 19 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Heracles Almelo vs Excelsior
- number of matches played in the tournament: 27 vs 27;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 17;
- number of BTTS matches for Heracles Almelo at home - 7 (54%);
- number of BTTS matches for Excelsior away - 9 (69%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Heracles Almelo at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Excelsior away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (26/243, 10.7%), 2:1 (26/243, 10.7%);
- Heracles Almelo at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:1 , 0:2 , 0:3 , 0:7 , 1:1 , 1:2 , 1:3 , 1:4 , 2:1 , 3:0 , 4:2 , 8:2 (1/13, 7.7%);
- Excelsior away most often play: 2:1 (3/13, 23.1%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.94% (odds 7)
2:1 - 8.31% (odds 9.5)
1:0 - 7.93% (odds 10)
- Excelsior lost 1:2 in 4 of last 5 games (Eredivisie).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In the upcoming clash between Heracles Almelo and Excelsior, don't expect a high-scoring affair. Both teams struggle to find the back of the net consistently, although the visitors might have a slightly better chance of breaking the deadlock in Almelo. However, their average goal tally isn't impressive either, casting doubt on their ability to score more than once. Our prediction: Excelsior total under 1.5.
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Betting Tips: Heracles Almelo - Excelsior
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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