Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 22 March 2026
🔊 The upcoming Eredivisie Round 28 clash between Groningen and AZ Alkmaar promises to be a spectacle, given both teams' attacking styles. Recently, the hosts from Groningen have shown inconsistency, while the visitors are confidently riding a winning streak, bolstered by their performances in the Conference League. Can AZ's European success bring them closer to breaking into the league's top four? Let's evaluate the odds in our editorial prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 10 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 4:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - AZ Alkmaar):
- ball possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 1;
- fouls: 11 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 7.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Groningen and AZ Alkmaar:
- played 40 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 20, draws - 10;
- number of goals - 39 against 65;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.05, in the 2nd half - 1.55;
- average total goals in the match - 2.6.
Head-to-head statistics Groningen - AZ Alkmaar
Groningen Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - PEC Zwolle, away team - Groningen). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here's the game statistics (Groningen vs PEC Zwolle):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 7;
- fouls: 10 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 0;
- shots on target: 6 vs 6.
Groningen sit 10th in the Eredivisie table and have faced challenging times. Over their last five matches, the team has secured only two victories but have managed to break their losing streak, remaining unbeaten in the last two rounds. Their average scoring during this period is 1.2 goals per game, yet their defense concedes even more-around 1.5 goals. Defensive issues could prove costly against a more attacking opponent.
Match Results: Groningen
AZ Alkmaar Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the UEFA Europa Conference League tournament (home team - Sparta Prague, away - AZ Alkmaar). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:4.
Here are the match stats (AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Prague):
- ball possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 1.
AZ Alkmaar sit above Groningen in the standings and have been in impressive form, securing four victories in their last five matches. It's worth noting, however, that three of these wins came in the Conference League and the KNVB Cup. Nevertheless, the team is renowned for their potent attack, averaging 2.2 goals over the last 10 games, while also maintaining solid defensive control. This balance between offense and defense underscores their well-rounded capability.
Match Results: AZ Alkmaar
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 40;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 20, draws - 10.
Statistics: Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar
- matches played in the tournament: 27 vs 27;
- wins: 10 vs 12;
- win percentage: 37% vs 44%;
- losses: 12 vs 9;
- draws: 5 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 7;
- losses: 6 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 0.
- Groningen have not won in last 7 games against AZ Alkmaar.
- Groningen have not won in last 6 games against AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie).
- Groningen have not won in 7 of last 8 games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.98, the guests - 1.63;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.6;
- both teams scored: overall - 18; at the home team's field - 8.
Statistics: Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar
- average total in the tournament: 2.74 vs 3.3;
- average total goals scored: 1.37 vs 1.74;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.59 vs 0.89;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.78 vs 0.85;
- Groningen: average total at home in the tournament - 1.54;
- AZ Alkmaar: average total away in the tournament - 1.29;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.2) vs 2.2 (away - 1.4).
- Groningen have scored under 1.5 goals in last 7 games against AZ Alkmaar.
- Groningen have scored under 1.5 goals in last 6 games against AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
Groningen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.41; at home field - 7.46;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.5; at home field - 6.6.
AZ Alkmaar: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.52, away - 5.43;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; away - 5.6.
- AZ Alkmaar have taken over 4.5 corners in last 5 games against Groningen.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 40;
- both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
Statistics: Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar
- number of matches played in the tournament: 27 vs 27;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 19;
- number of BTTS matches for Groningen at home - 7 (54%);
- number of BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar away - 8 (57%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Groningen at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar away - 2 (40%).
- Groningen have scored and conceded in last 6 games (Eredivisie).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (27/244, 11.1%);
- Groningen at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (3/13, 23.1%);
- AZ Alkmaar away most often play: 0:1 (3/14, 21.4%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.84% (odds 6.75)
1:2 - 8.42% (odds 9.2)
2:1 - 8.36% (odds 9.3)
- Groningen lost 1:2 in 3 of last 4 home games (Eredivisie).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In the upcoming match, both teams are likely to showcase their best attacking prowess. Groningen recently ended a streak of poor results and are ready to dismantle opponents' defenses at home. However, their defense is prone to errors, increasing the likelihood of both teams finding the net. AZ Alkmaar sit higher in the standings but are expending energy in the Conference League, which should boost their confidence despite raising concerns about their physical condition. Therefore, the less heralded hosts could well be in contention for points. A result where both teams score (yes) could yield a positive outcome for Groningen.No comments
Betting Tips: Groningen - AZ Alkmaar
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