AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 8 November 2026
📢 AZ Alkmaar are going through a difficult spell, although they remain fifth in the Eredivisie table. The hosts have won just one of their last five matches and lost three, making their bid for a Champions League place considerably harder. Groningen are eighth and have also struggled for consistency, winning only once over the same period. Both teams are clearly some way off their best form, but AZ Alkmaar remain higher in the table and are keen to return to winning ways as soon as possible.
Head-to-Head
Groningen beat AZ 3-0 in the Eredivisie match on 22 March 2026, although the visitors had more shots on target, 7-5, and took seven corners to two. Groningen also had a slight edge in expected goals, 2.53 to 2.07.
AZ Alkmaar have the edge in 41 competitive meetings, with 20 wins to Groningen's 11, while another 10 matches ended in draws. At home, AZ Alkmaar have won 13 of 21 meetings and lost only three times.
Head-to-head statistics AZ Alkmaar - Groningen
Wins are hard to come by
AZ Alkmaar ended their last match with a 2-1 home defeat to Juventus in the Europa League on 5 November 2026. Trailing 2-0 at half-time, the hosts pulled a goal back but did not equalise, despite leading in shots (18:9) and expected goals (1.82:0.62).
AZ Alkmaar are showing inconsistent form: they have won just one of their last five matches, with three defeats and one draw. Over ten matches, they have recorded three wins, two draws and five defeats, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Despite the dip in form, the hosts sit fifth with 20 points and remain in contention for the top places in the league. Notably, AZ Alkmaar regularly score no more than two goals in home matches, indicating a fairly modest attacking output on their own ground.
Match Results: AZ
The defence is falling apart
Groningen had 20 shots to Sparta’s eight and 10 shots on target to their four in their previous Eredivisie home match, but the game on 1 November 2026 ended in a 3-2 defeat. The score was level at 2-2 at half-time.
Groningen are also going through a difficult spell: they have won once and lost three times in their last five matches. Over their previous ten matches, the visitors have recorded two wins, three draws and five defeats, averaging 2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game. Despite a decent attacking return, their defence remains highly vulnerable, which makes it much harder to pick up points. The visitors are eighth with 15 points and still have a chance of competing for European qualification, although the gap to the leading group is already quite noticeable.
Match Results: Groningen
Corners Prediction
Total Corners - Under 11.5 has landed in AZ's last five matches. In seven of the last eight head-to-head meetings, the teams did not even reach 11 corners. Groningen also took fewer than 5.5 corners in seven of their last eight away league matches. We pick Total Corners - Under 11.5 at odds of 1.53*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Groningen have scored and conceded in nine of their last ten league matches. They have also scored in 11 of their last 12 matches, while AZ Alkmaar have scored at home in nine of their last ten head-to-head meetings. In their last ten away matches, Groningen have averaged 2.25 goals scored and the same number conceded. We’re backing Both Teams to Score - Yes at odds of 1.53*.
Safer Bet
Groningen have scored in 11 of their last 12 matches. In their last ten away matches, they have averaged 2.25 goals, while AZ Alkmaar have conceded an average of 1.2 goals in their last ten home matches. These figures support a bet on Groningen Team Total Goals - Over 0.5 at odds of 1.33*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary between bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm’s calculations, the three most likely scorelines are 2:1 (9.9%), 1:1 (8.77%) and 2:2 (7.33%). Of these, 2:1 is the most likely.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
AZ Alkmaar are considered favourites for this match, but the hosts’ recent results cast doubt on their ability to secure a convincing win. The team have noticeably lost momentum and are struggling to score even at home. In their last five home matches, AZ Alkmaar have not scored more than two goals in any of them. The editors’ main pick is therefore AZ Alkmaar Team Total Goals - Under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: AZ - Groningen
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