Winterthur vs Thun Prediction 25 February 2026
🔊 Winterthur host Thun in a clash with contrasting stakes for the teams. The hosts are at the bottom of the table, struggling throughout the season, which is evident in their inconsistent results in recent rounds. For them, every match is now a chance to close the gap and secure some crucial points. Thun, on the other hand, confidently sit at the top of the league and enter the game on a winning streak, showcasing organized and balanced play. Thus, this match will serve as a test: for the leader, it's about proving their status as favorites, while for the underdog, it's about challenging a stronger opponent.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 16 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:4. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Winterthur):
- ball possession percentage: 41% vs 59%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 14 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 10.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Winterthur and Thun:
- played 11 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 5, for the away team - 4, draws - 2;
- number of goals - 17 against 16;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.64, in the 2nd half - 1.36;
- average total goals in the match - 3.
Head-to-head statistics Winterthur - Thun
Winterthur Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Super League, with Winterthur hosting St. Gallen. The game concluded with a 1-5 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Winterthur vs St. Gallen):
- possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 10;
- fouls: 16 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 11.
Winterthur are facing significant challenges this season, currently sitting 12th in the league. Their form over the last five matches includes three consecutive defeats, a draw, and a win, highlighting the team's struggles. Despite an average of 1.17 goals scored, they suffer considerably in defense, conceding 2.96 goals on average. Crucially, Winterthur often find themselves vulnerable at home, having conceded in nearly all their home games this season.
Match Results: Winterthur
Thun Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Super League, where Thun hosted Sion. The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Thun vs Sion):
- possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corners: 5 vs 6;
- fouls: 8 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 9 vs 1.
Thun are leading the championship thanks to their impressive form, having secured eight consecutive victories in the Super League. Over their last ten games, they have remained unbeaten, reinforcing their status as tournament favorites. The team averages 2.25 goals per match, while their defense remains solid, conceding just 1.13 goals on average. Thun also showcased their dominance over Winterthur in their most recent head-to-head, claiming a 4-1 victory.
Match Results: Thun
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 11;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 4, draws - 2.
Statistics: Winterthur vs Thun
- matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- wins: 3 vs 18;
- win percentage: 13% vs 75%;
- losses: 17 vs 5;
- draws: 4 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 1 vs 9;
- losses: 7 vs 1;
- draws: 2 vs 0.
- Thun have won in last 8 games (Super League).
- Thun have won in 7 of last 8 away games (Super League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.55, the guests - 1.45;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
- both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Winterthur vs Thun
- average total in the tournament: 4.13 vs 3.38;
- average total goals scored: 1.17 vs 2.25;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.38 vs 1;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.79 vs 1.25;
- Winterthur: average total at home in the tournament - 1.55;
- Thun: average total away in the tournament - 2.18;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1.2) vs 3 (away - 3).
- Winterthur have scored in 15 of last 16 home games (Super League).
- Thun have conceded in 11 of last 12 games (Super League).
Prediction on corners
Winterthur: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.29; at home field - 3.64;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3; at home field - 3.8.
Thun: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.67, away - 4.64;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.8; away - 6.5.
- Winterthur have taken under 3.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games (Super League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 11;
- both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: Winterthur vs Thun
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 16 vs 17;
- number of BTTS matches for Winterthur at home - 10 (91%);
- number of BTTS matches for Thun away - 8 (73%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Winterthur at home - 5 (100%);
- BTTS matches for Thun away - 4 (100%).
- Winterthur have scored and conceded in 11 of last 12 home games (Super League).
- Thun have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games (Super League).
- Thun have scored and conceded in last 5 away games (Super League).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (15/143, 10.5%);
- Winterthur at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 1:1 , 1:2 , 1:3 , 1:4 , 1:5 , 2:1 , 2:2 , 2:3 , 2:4 , 4:2 (1/11, 9.1%);
- Thun away most often play: 1:2 (4/11, 36.4%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:2 - 9.44% (odds 7.6)
0:2 - 8.15% (odds 8.6)
1:1 - 8.01% (odds 9)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering Thun's impressive form and their ongoing ten-game winning streak, the visitors appear to be the favorites for the upcoming clash. The team shows consistency, efficient finishing, and reliability in defense. Winterthur can apply pressure in the attacking third, especially on home turf, but their defense remains their Achilles' heel. In contrast, Thun exhibits a balanced approach between attack and defense, which makes their edge in this match well-founded. We predict a victory for the visitors.
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Betting Tips: Winterthur - Thun
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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