Winterthur vs Thun Prediction 16 December 2025
The upcoming clash between Winterthur and Thun promises to be thrilling. Winterthur find themselves in a tough spot, sitting 12th in the standings with just two wins this season. Their form has been inconsistent, and their defense appears vulnerable. On the other hand, Thun are leading the league, showcasing confident performances both at home and away. They secure victories in most of their matches thanks to a potent attack and well-organized defense. The key question is whether Winterthur can leverage their home advantage to turn things around or if the visitors will continue to dominate. An open game is expected, with potential goals from both sides.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between these teams took place on 28 October 2025 and ended with a 3-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Thun were the home side):
- possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corners: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 14 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 9 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Winterthur and Thun:
- 10 matches played;
- home wins - 5, away wins - 3, draws - 2;
- goal tally - 16 for Winterthur, 12 for Thun;
- average goals in the first half - 1.4, second half - 1.4;
- average total goals per match - 2.8.
Head-to-head statistics Winterthur - Thun

Winterthur Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on as part of the Super League (with Zurich as the home side and Winterthur as the visitors). The match ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here are the game statistics (Winterthur vs Zurich):
- possession percentage: 41% vs 59%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 14 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 5.
Winterthur are going through a rough patch, having won just two of their last 17 matches while suffering 11 defeats. Their recent form doesn't inspire confidence either, with one draw and four losses in their last five games, highlighting issues both in attack and defense. Their playing style is marked by a desire to control possession, but defensive errors often prove costly. At home, Winterthur tend to be involved in high-scoring affairs, regularly finding the net and conceding as well. This is backed up by their recent record, with both teams scoring in seven of their last eight home matches.
Match Results: Winterthur

Thun Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Super League, where Thun hosted St. Gallen. The game concluded with a 0-2 scoreline in favor of the visitors.
Here are the match stats (Thun vs St. Gallen):
- possession percentage: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 18 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
- shots on target: 1 vs 3.
Thun are showcasing excellent form throughout the season: with 11 wins out of 17 matches, they top the standings. In their last five games, they have secured three victories; despite a recent loss, they remain a formidable opponent for any club in the league. A hallmark of their style is their solid defense combined with effective counterattacking, which helps them keep goals conceded to a minimum (averaging less than one per game). It's worth noting their impressive performance against Winterthur a month ago-a commanding 3-0 victory that underscores their significant superiority.
Match Results: Thun
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 10;
- Home team wins - 5, Away team wins - 3, Draws - 2.
Statistics: Winterthur vs Thun
- Matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- Wins: 2 vs 11;
- Win percentage: 12% vs 65%;
- Losses: 11 vs 5;
- Draws: 4 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 2 vs 7;
- Losses: 6 vs 3;
- Draws: 2 vs 0.
- Winterthur have failed to win in 15 of their last 17 matches (Super League).
- Winterthur have not secured a home win in 7 of their last 8 matches (Super League).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's home team average goals - 1.6, away team - 1.2;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.8;
- Both teams scored: overall - 4 times; at the home team's ground - 3 times.
Statistics: Winterthur vs Thun
- Average total in the tournament: 4 vs 3;
- Average goals scored: 1.29 vs 1.82;
- Average total in the first half: 0.41 vs 0.88;
- Average total in the second half: 0.88 vs 0.94;
- Winterthur: average home total in the tournament - 1.63;
- Thun: average away total in the tournament - 1.88;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.75) vs 1.7 (away - 1.25).
- Total over 2.5 goals occurred in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head matches between these teams.
- Total over 2.5 goals occurred in 15 of Winterthur's last 17 matches.
- Total over 2.5 goals occurred in 14 of Winterthur's last 15 matches (Super League).
- Total over 2.5 goals occurred in 6 of Winterthur's last 7 home matches (Super League).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 10;
- Both teams scored overall - 4 times;
- At the home team's ground - 3 times.
Statistics: Winterthur vs Thun
- Total matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- Total matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 11 vs 11;
- BTTS for Winterthur at home - 7 (88%);
- BTTS for Thun away - 5 (63%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS for Winterthur at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS for Thun away - 2 (50%).
- Winterthur have both scored and conceded at home in 7 of their last 8 matches (Super League).
Exact Score Prediction
Frequent Score Statistics (Current Season):
- Most common scoreline in the tournament: 1-2 (11/102, 10.8%);
- Winterthur's most frequent home results: 0-1, 1-1, 1-2, 1-3, 2-2, 2-3, 2-4, 4-2 (1/8, 12.5%);
- Thun's most frequent away scoreline: 1-2 (3/8, 37.5%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top three outcomes:
1-1 - 10.09% (odds: 7.4)
1-2 - 9.82% (odds: 7.6)
0-2 - 7.7% (odds: 9.6)