Winterthur vs Thun Prediction 16 December 2025

    The upcoming clash between Winterthur and Thun promises to be thrilling. Winterthur find themselves in a tough spot, sitting 12th in the standings with just two wins this season. Their form has been inconsistent, and their defense appears vulnerable. On the other hand, Thun are leading the league, showcasing confident performances both at home and away. They secure victories in most of their matches thanks to a potent attack and well-organized defense. The key question is whether Winterthur can leverage their home advantage to turn things around or if the visitors will continue to dominate. An open game is expected, with potential goals from both sides.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between these teams took place on 28 October 2025 and ended with a 3-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Thun were the home side):

    • possession: 42% vs 58%;
    • corners: 6 vs 4;
    • fouls: 14 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 9 vs 3.

    📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Winterthur and Thun:

    • 10 matches played;
    • home wins - 5, away wins - 3, draws - 2;
    • goal tally - 16 for Winterthur, 12 for Thun;
    • average goals in the first half - 1.4, second half - 1.4;
    • average total goals per match - 2.8.

    Head-to-head statistics Winterthur - Thun

    42%
    5 Wins
    17%
    2 Draws
    42%
    5 Wins
    Total games
    12
    Total Goals Avg
    3
    Both teams scored
    42%
    1.42
    Average total
    1.58
    2.08
    Yellow cards
    2.25
    Last matches
    25.02.26
    Super League
    Winterthur
    Winterthur
    Thun
    Thun
    0.63
    1.68
    5
    7
    7
    10
    1
    0
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0.63
    1.68
    5
    7
    7
    10
    1
    0
    16.12.25
    Super League
    Winterthur
    Winterthur
    1
    Thun
    Thun
    0.5
    2.98
    3
    5
    14
    16
    5
    1
    1
    4
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0.5
    2.98
    3
    5
    14
    16
    5
    1
    28.10.25
    Super League
    Thun
    Thun
    1
    Winterthur
    Winterthur
    2.71
    0.91
    6
    4
    14
    14
    2
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    2.71
    0.91
    6
    4
    14
    14
    2
    1
    05.09.24
    Club Friendly Games
    Winterthur
    Winterthur
    Thun
    Thun
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    06.05.22
    Challenge League
    Winterthur
    Winterthur
    Thun
    Thun
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
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    Winterthur Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on as part of the Super League (with Zurich as the home side and Winterthur as the visitors). The match ended in a 2-2 draw.

    Here are the game statistics (Winterthur vs Zurich):

    • possession percentage: 41% vs 59%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
    • fouls: 14 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 5.

    Winterthur are going through a rough patch, having won just two of their last 17 matches while suffering 11 defeats. Their recent form doesn't inspire confidence either, with one draw and four losses in their last five games, highlighting issues both in attack and defense. Their playing style is marked by a desire to control possession, but defensive errors often prove costly. At home, Winterthur tend to be involved in high-scoring affairs, regularly finding the net and conceding as well. This is backed up by their recent record, with both teams scoring in seven of their last eight home matches.

    Match Results: Winterthur

    Last matches
    30.09.26
    Club Friendlies
    Seuzach
    Seuzach
    Winterthur
    Winterthur
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    W
    18.09.26
    Challenge League
    Winterthur
    Winterthur
    Aarau
    Aarau
    1
    -
    -
    5
    0
    11
    12
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    0
    11
    12
    3
    1
    W
    11.09.26
    Challenge League
    Etoile Carouge
    Etoile Carouge
    Winterthur
    Winterthur
    -
    -
    10
    8
    10
    16
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    10
    8
    10
    16
    1
    2
    W
    04.09.26
    Challenge League
    Winterthur
    Winterthur
    Neuchatel Xamax
    Neuchatel Xamax
    -
    -
    7
    4
    12
    21
    1
    2
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    12
    21
    1
    2
    W
    01.09.26
    Challenge League
    Stade Nyonnais
    Stade Nyonnais
    Winterthur
    Winterthur
    1
    -
    -
    4
    3
    10
    10
    4
    2
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    10
    10
    4
    2
    D
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    Thun Team Overview

    The visitors last played an official match on in the Super League, where Thun hosted St. Gallen. The game concluded with a 0-2 scoreline in favor of the visitors.

    Here are the match stats (Thun vs St. Gallen):

    • possession percentage: 59% vs 41%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
    • fouls: 18 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 3.

    Thun are showcasing excellent form throughout the season: with 11 wins out of 17 matches, they top the standings. In their last five games, they have secured three victories; despite a recent loss, they remain a formidable opponent for any club in the league. A hallmark of their style is their solid defense combined with effective counterattacking, which helps them keep goals conceded to a minimum (averaging less than one per game). It's worth noting their impressive performance against Winterthur a month ago-a commanding 3-0 victory that underscores their significant superiority.

    Match Results: Thun

    Last matches
    20.09.26
    Super League
    Vaduz
    Vaduz
    Thun
    Thun
    2.3
    1.65
    3
    7
    13
    21
    1
    5
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2.3
    1.65
    3
    7
    13
    21
    1
    5
    W
    16.09.26
    Super League
    Thun
    Thun
    Servette Geneva
    Servette Geneva
    2.18
    1.81
    7
    5
    16
    12
    2
    4
    2
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    2.18
    1.81
    7
    5
    16
    12
    2
    4
    L
    12.09.26
    Super League
    Thun
    Thun
    1
    Grasshopper
    Grasshopper
    2.06
    2.64
    10
    5
    15
    17
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    2.06
    2.64
    10
    5
    15
    17
    3
    3
    L
    06.09.26
    Super League
    Sion
    Sion
    1
    Thun
    Thun
    2.64
    2.31
    11
    4
    9
    15
    1
    2
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    2.64
    2.31
    11
    4
    9
    15
    1
    2
    L
    02.09.26
    Super League
    Thun
    Thun
    Lausanne-Sport
    Lausanne-Sport
    1.55
    1.44
    6
    2
    16
    9
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.55
    1.44
    6
    2
    16
    9
    3
    1
    D
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 10;
    • Home team wins - 5, Away team wins - 3, Draws - 2.

    Statistics: Winterthur vs Thun

    • Matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
    • Wins: 2 vs 11;
    • Win percentage: 12% vs 65%;
    • Losses: 11 vs 5;
    • Draws: 4 vs 1.

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Wins: 2 vs 7;
    • Losses: 6 vs 3;
    • Draws: 2 vs 0.
    Trends
    • Winterthur have failed to win in 15 of their last 17 matches (Super League).
    • Winterthur have not secured a home win in 7 of their last 8 matches (Super League).
    👉Prediction: Thun will not lose (odds: 1.2)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Today's home team average goals - 1.6, away team - 1.2;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.8;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 4 times; at the home team's ground - 3 times.

    Statistics: Winterthur vs Thun

    • Average total in the tournament: 4 vs 3;
    • Average goals scored: 1.29 vs 1.82;
    • Average total in the first half: 0.41 vs 0.88;
    • Average total in the second half: 0.88 vs 0.94;
    • Winterthur: average home total in the tournament - 1.63;
    • Thun: average away total in the tournament - 1.88;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.75) vs 1.7 (away - 1.25).
    Trends
    • Total over 2.5 goals occurred in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head matches between these teams.
    • Total over 2.5 goals occurred in 15 of Winterthur's last 17 matches.
    • Total over 2.5 goals occurred in 14 of Winterthur's last 15 matches (Super League).
    • Total over 2.5 goals occurred in 6 of Winterthur's last 7 home matches (Super League).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (2,5) (odds: 1.42)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 10;
    • Both teams scored overall - 4 times;
    • At the home team's ground - 3 times.

    Statistics: Winterthur vs Thun

    • Total matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
    • Total matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 11 vs 11;
    • BTTS for Winterthur at home - 7 (88%);
    • BTTS for Thun away - 5 (63%).

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Total BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
    • BTTS for Winterthur at home - 3 (75%);
    • BTTS for Thun away - 2 (50%).
    Trends
    • Winterthur have both scored and conceded at home in 7 of their last 8 matches (Super League).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (Yes) (odds: 1.47)

    Exact Score Prediction

    Frequent Score Statistics (Current Season):

    • Most common scoreline in the tournament: 1-2 (11/102, 10.8%);
    • Winterthur's most frequent home results: 0-1, 1-1, 1-2, 1-3, 2-2, 2-3, 2-4, 4-2 (1/8, 12.5%);
    • Thun's most frequent away scoreline: 1-2 (3/8, 37.5%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top three outcomes:

    1-1 - 10.09% (odds: 7.4)
    1-2 - 9.82% (odds: 7.6)
    0-2 - 7.7% (odds: 9.6)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1) (odds: 7.4)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Analyzing the current form of the teams and their recent performances, we can anticipate an open game with opportunities for both sides to find the back of the net. While Thun's attack appears more productive due to their well-organized counterattacks, the hosts' weak defense might lead to conceding goals from the visitors-this is crucial to consider given the trend that both teams have consistently scored in recent weeks. Our bet is on both teams to score.

    Both Teams to Score – (Yes)
    Odds-213
    Published: 15/12/2025, 08:25

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    Betting Tips: Winterthur - Thun

    Thun have lost the 2nd half:
    fc-winterthurfc-thunin 6 of last 7 games against Winterthur.
    2nd Half Winterthur to Win
    Everygame
    +310
    Winterthur have not won:
    fc-winterthurin 15 of last 17 games (Super League).
    fc-winterthurin 7 of last 8 home games (Super League).
    Thun will not lose
    Everygame
    -500
    Winterthur have conceded:
    fc-winterthurin 18 of last 19 games.
    fc-winterthurin last 17 games (Super League).
    fc-winterthurin last 8 home games (Super League).
    Thun have scored:
    fc-thunin 12 of last 13 away games.
    fc-thunin last 8 away games (Super League).
    Thun will score goal
    -
    Over 2.5 goals scored:
    fc-winterthurfc-thunin 6 of last 7 Winterthur games against Thun.
    fc-winterthurin 15 of last 17 Winterthur games.
    fc-winterthurin 14 of last 15 Winterthur games (Super League).
    fc-winterthurin 6 of last 7 Winterthur home games (Super League).
    Total goals Over (2,5)
    Everygame
    -222
    View more facts

    Winterthur - Thun Table position

    Championship Group
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Thun
    Thun
    382431180-5275
    2.
    St. Gallen 1879
    St. Gallen 1879
    382010872-4770
    3.
    Lugano
    Lugano
    381910959-4267
    4.
    Sion
    Sion
    381615763-4063
    5.
    Basel 1893
    Basel 1893
    381681455-5856
    6.
    Young Boys
    Young Boys
    3815101380-6955

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    1 - Loss
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 2
    Losses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 22
    Conceded - 9
    +13
    -4
    20 - Scored
    24 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    3
    3
    Draws
    2
    1
    Losses
    5
    Goal difference
    22
    Scored
    20
    9
    Conceded
    24
    3.1
    Average total per match
    4.4
    2.2
    Goals scored per match on average
    2
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2.4
    5
    Both teams scored
    6
    41'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    45'
    View all stats