20.12.25

08:35

Ended

Melbourne vs Melbourne Victory Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 20 December 2025

⚡️ This weekend, Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory are set to clash in the latest round of the Australian A-League. Both teams hail from the same city but occupy different positions on the league table. This promises to be a thrilling encounter. How will their showdown conclude? Find out in the prediction below!

Head-to-Head

The last official clash between the teams ended in a 0-2 scoreline. Here's the comparative statistics from that encounter (Melbourne Victory were the home side):

possession: 58% vs 42%;
corners: 6 vs 1;
fouls: 6 vs 14;
yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
shots on target: 5 vs 6.

📊Analytical review of past official matches between Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory:

49 matches played;
home wins - 16, away wins - 18, draws - 15;
goals scored (home/away) - 74 to 67;
average total goals per match - 2.88.

Head-to-head statistics Melbourne - Melbourne Victory

31%

16 Wins

29%

15 Draws

39%

20 Wins

Total games

Avg. total goals

2.86

Both teams scored

63%

1.47

Average total

1.39

2.53

Yellow cards

2.22

Last matches

21.02.26

A-League

Melbourne City

Melbourne Victory

1.16

1.89

1.16

1.89

20.12.25

A-League

Melbourne City

Melbourne Victory

1.48

1.44

1.48

1.44

08.11.25

A-League

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne City

1.78

0.83

1.78

0.83

31.05.25

A-League

Melbourne City

Melbourne Victory

1.47

0.98

1.47

0.98

22.02.25

A-League

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne City FC

1.5

2.29

1.5

2.29

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Melbourne City Team Overview

The team's most recent official match took place in the AFC Champions League, with Seoul hosting Melbourne City. The game concluded in a 1-1 draw.

Here are the match statistics (Melbourne City vs Seoul):

possession: 49% vs 51%;
corner kicks: 3 vs 2;
fouls: 18 vs 11;
yellow cards: 1 vs 5;
shots on target: 3 vs 3.

Melbourne City currently sit in fourth place in the league, thanks to their consistent form and confident performances. The team have secured victory in three of their last five matches (with two draws), showcasing an excellent balance between attack and defense. They average 1.29 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.71, making them one of the league's most reliable defensive sides. Their last encounter with this opponent ended in a 0-2 defeat, providing extra motivation for a home-ground revenge.

Match Results: Melbourne City

Last matches

17.10.26

A-League

Auckland FC

Melbourne City

0.91

0.95

0.91

0.95

25.09.26

Club Friendlies

Oakleigh Cannons

Melbourne City

11.08.26

FFA Cup

Queensland Lions

Melbourne City

07.08.26

Club Friendly Games

Melbourne City

Palermo

26.07.26

FFA Cup

Weston Workers

Melbourne City

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Melbourne Victory Team Overview

The last official match for the current visitors took place in the A-League, with Melbourne Victory as the home team and Adelaide United as the visitors. The match ended with a scoreline of 2-1.

Here are the match statistics (Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United):

possession: 42% vs 58%;
corner kicks: 5 vs 5;
fouls: 11 vs 9;
yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
shots on target: 10 vs 2.

Melbourne Victory are going through a rough patch this season, currently sitting in twelfth place in the standings. Their form has been inconsistent, with two wins, one draw, and three losses in their last six matches. On average, they score less than one goal per game (0.75) and concede over one and a half (1.5), highlighting issues in both attack and defense.

Match Results: Melbourne Victory

Last matches

18.10.26

A-League

Wellington Phoenix

Melbourne Victory

0.83

0.65

0.83

0.65

14.10.26

AFC Cup

Melbourne Victory

Seoul

10.10.26

FFA Cup

South Melbourne

Melbourne Victory

16.09.26

AFC Cup

CLB Viettel

Melbourne Victory

09.09.26

FFA Cup

Sydney

Melbourne Victory

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Prediction for the 1st half

First Half Statistics: Melbourne City (Home) vs Melbourne Victory (Away)

Number of matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 5;
Number of wins: 1 (100%) vs 1 (20%);
Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 2 (40%);
Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 2 (40%);
Average total goals scored: 2 vs 1.2;
Average total goals conceded: 0 vs 0.8.

Last 10 Matches (Overall):

Number of wins: 4 vs 3;
Number of losses: 2 vs 4;
Number of draws: 4 vs 3;
Average first half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.7).

Trends

Melbourne City scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games against Melbourne Victory (A-League).

👉Prediction: 1st half, Melbourne City to score goal(odds: 1.84)

Prediction on the outcome

H2H:

number of encounters - 49;
home team wins - 16, away team wins - 18, draws - 15.

Statistics: Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory

matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 8;
wins: 3 vs 2;
win percentage: 43% vs 25%;
losses: 1 vs 4;
draws: 3 vs 2.

Last 10 matches:

wins: 6 vs 2;
losses: 1 vs 6;
draws: 3 vs 2.

Trends

Melbourne City have not lost in 8 of last 9 home games against Melbourne Victory (A-League).
Melbourne City have not lost in 15 of last 16 games (A-League).
Melbourne City have not lost in 13 of last 14 home games (A-League).
Melbourne City have not lost in 10 of last 11 games.
Melbourne City have not lost in 9 of last 10 home games.

👉Prediction: Melbourne City will not lose(odds: 1.37)

Prediction on the over/under

H2H

today's home team scores on average - 1.51, the guests - 1.37;
average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.88;
both teams scored: overall - 31; at the home team's field - 15.

Statistics: Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory

average total in the tournament: 2 vs 2.25;
average total goals scored: 1.29 vs 0.75;
average total in the 1st half: 0.86 vs 0.38;
average total in the 2nd half: 0.43 vs 0.38;
Melbourne City: average total at home in the tournament - 4;
Melbourne Victory: average total away in the tournament - 0.8;
last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 2.67) vs 0.9 (away - 1).

Trends

Melbourne City have scored in last 7 games against Melbourne Victory (A-League).

👉Prediction: Melbourne Victory will not score(odds: 1.21)

Prediction on corners

Melbourne City: Statistics

season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5; at home field - 8;
last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.5; at home field - 5.67.

Melbourne Victory: Statistics

season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5, away - 5.8;
last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; away - 6.43.

Trends

Melbourne Victory have taken over 3.5 corners in 9 of last 10 games against Melbourne City (A-League).
Melbourne Victory have taken over 3.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games (A-League).

👉Prediction: Corners - Melbourne Victory Total Over (3,5)(odds: 1.41)

Prediction on cards

H2H

average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 5.18 (2.59 for home team and 2.59 for away team);
average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.78 (2.65 for home team and 2.13 for away team).

Melbourne City: Statistics

season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.71; at home - 2;
last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.6; at home - 2.33.

Melbourne Victory: Statistics

season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.38, away - 1.6;
last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.8; away - 2.14.

Trends

Under 4.5 yellow cards in last 7 Melbourne City games (A-League).
Under 4.5 yellow cards in last 5 Melbourne Victory games (A-League).

👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (4,5)(odds: 1.45)

Prediction on BTTS

H2H:

number of encounters - 49;
both teams scored all-time - 31 times;
on the home team’s field - 15 times.

Statistics: Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory

number of matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 8;
number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 2;
number of BTTS matches for Melbourne City at home - 0 (0%);
number of BTTS matches for Melbourne Victory away - 1 (20%).

Last 10 matches:

number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 3;
BTTS matches for Melbourne City at home - 1 (33%);
BTTS matches for Melbourne Victory away - 2 (29%).

👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (No)(odds: 2.08)

Correct score prediction

Statistics of frequent results (current season):

most common score in the tournament: 2:1 (6/47, 12.8%);
Melbourne City at home most often finish matches: 4:0 (1/1, 100%);
Melbourne Victory away most often play: 0:0 , 0:2 , 1:0 , 3:0 , 5:2 (1/5, 20%).

Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

2:0 - 13.08% (odds 10)
1:0 - 11.84% (odds 8)
3:0 - 9.63% (odds 17)

👉Prediction: Correct Score (2:0)(odds: 10)

⭐ Editorial Prediction

Melbourne City often showcase high initial intensity and a desire to set the pace against Melbourne Victory right from the first whistle. Given their attacking prowess and eagerness to dominate the derby, there's a strong chance that Melbourne City will find the net in the first half. Especially considering the visitors' struggles this season. A 2-0 scoreline is possible.

1st half, Melbourne City to score goal

Odds-123

Published: 18/12/2025, 09:24