Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 21 October 2026
📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Albirex Niigata and Sagan Tosu. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 10:00 21 October. The tournament match will take place at the Tohoku Denryoku Big Swan Stadium stadium in the city of Niigata. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Albirex Niigata and Sagan Tosu:
- played 21 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 9, draws - 2;
- number of goals - 25 against 26;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.19, in the 2nd half - 1.24;
- average total goals in the match - 2.43.
Head-to-head statistics Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu

Albirex Niigata Team Overview
- 6 wins,
- 3 losses,
- 2 draws.
📈Currently, Albirex Niigata stands at a mid-tier position within the J2 League standings, with a win percentage of 55% and a loss percentage of 27%.
⚽️Albirex Niigata has scored a total of 15 goals. On the defensive end, Albirex Niigata has allowed 19 goals over the season.
Match Results: Albirex Niigata

Sagan Tosu Team Overview
- 4 wins,
- 5 losses,
- 2 draws.
📈Currently, Sagan Tosu stands at a mid-tier position within the J2 League standings, with a win percentage of 36% and a loss percentage of 45%.
⚽Sagan Tosu has scored a total of 11 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 13 goals over the season.
Match Results: Sagan Tosu
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 21;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 3; for visitors away - 3; number of draws - 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.19;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.57, while the visitors net 0.62.
First-Half Stats: Albirex Niigata (home) vs Sagan Tosu (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 5;
- wins: 2 (40%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (20%);
- draws: 3 (60%) vs 4 (80%);
- Average goals scored: 1.2 vs 0.8;
- Average goals conceded: 0.4 vs 0.6.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 1;
- losses: 3 vs 1;
- draws: 5 vs 8;
- Average first-half total: 1.5 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.8) vs 0.5 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.3).
- Sagan Tosu have drawn in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 away games.
- Sagan Tosu have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (J2 League).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 21;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 9, draws - 2.
Statistics: Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu
- matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- wins: 6 vs 4;
- win percentage: 55% vs 36%;
- losses: 3 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 5;
- losses: 3 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 0.
- Albirex Niigata have not lost in 8 of last 9 home games against Sagan Tosu.
- Sagan Tosu have not won in last 8 away games (J2 League).
- Sagan Tosu have not won in 7 of last 8 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.19, the guests - 1.24;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.43;
- both teams scored: overall - 8; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu
- average total in the tournament: 3.09 vs 2.18;
- average total goals scored: 1.36 vs 1;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.64 vs 0.36;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.73 vs 0.64;
- Albirex Niigata: average total at home in the tournament - 1.6;
- Sagan Tosu: average total away in the tournament - 0.4;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.67) vs 1 (away - 0).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Albirex Niigata home games against Sagan Tosu.
Prediction on corners
Albirex Niigata: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.64; at home field - 3.6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.1; at home field - 3.
Sagan Tosu: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.91, away - 6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.4; away - 5.5.
Yellow Cards Bet
Albirex Niigata: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 0.73; at home - 0.4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 0.8; at home - 0.33.
Sagan Tosu: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 0.73, away - 1.2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.2; away - 1.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 21;
- both teams scored all-time - 8 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu
- number of matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 4;
- number of BTTS matches for Albirex Niigata at home - 3 (60%);
- number of BTTS matches for Sagan Tosu away - 1 (20%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Albirex Niigata at home - 2 (67%);
- BTTS matches for Sagan Tosu away - 0 (0%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (15/110, 13.6%);
- Albirex Niigata at home most often finish matches: 2:1 (3/5, 60%);
- Sagan Tosu away most often play: 1:0 (2/5, 40%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 13.04% (odds 8.25)
1:1 - 12.52% (odds 6.05)
0:0 - 11.64% (odds 7.95)
Editorial Prediction
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Albirex Niigata home games against Sagan Tosu.
