Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 21 October 2026

    📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Albirex Niigata and Sagan Tosu. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 10:00 21 October. The tournament match will take place at the Tohoku Denryoku Big Swan Stadium stadium in the city of Niigata. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Albirex Niigata and Sagan Tosu:

    • played 21 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 9, draws - 2;
    • number of goals - 25 against 26;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.19, in the 2nd half - 1.24;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.43.

    Head-to-head statistics Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu

    48%
    10 Wins
    10%
    2 Draws
    43%
    9 Wins
    Total games
    21
    Avg. total goals
    2.43
    Both teams scored
    38%
    1.19
    Average total
    1.24
    Last matches
    06.07.24
    J1 League
    Albirex Niigata
    Albirex Niigata
    Sagan Tosu
    Sagan Tosu
    -
    -
    5
    6
    10
    7
    2
    1
    3
    4
    1
    2
    2
    2
    -
    -
    5
    6
    10
    7
    2
    1
    24.02.24
    J1 League
    Sagan Tosu
    Sagan Tosu
    Albirex Niigata
    Albirex Niigata
    -
    -
    5
    6
    12
    6
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    12
    6
    1
    2
    21.10.23
    J1 League
    Albirex Niigata
    Albirex Niigata
    Sagan Tosu
    Sagan Tosu
    -
    -
    4
    3
    4
    10
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    4
    10
    1
    0
    20.05.23
    J1 League
    Sagan Tosu
    Sagan Tosu
    Albirex Niigata
    Albirex Niigata
    -
    -
    4
    9
    13
    5
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    9
    13
    5
    1
    1
    29.10.17
    J.League
    Albirex Niigata
    Albirex Niigata
    Sagan Tosu
    Sagan Tosu
    -
    -
    -
    -
    12
    11
    -
    -
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    12
    11
    -
    -
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Albirex Niigata Team Overview

    🏆Throughout the J2 League season, the team Albirex Niigata has engaged in 11 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 6 wins,
    • 3 losses,
    • 2 draws.

    📈Currently, Albirex Niigata stands at a mid-tier position within the J2 League standings, with a win percentage of 55% and a loss percentage of 27%.

    ⚽️Albirex Niigata has scored a total of 15 goals. On the defensive end, Albirex Niigata has allowed 19 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Albirex Niigata

    Last matches
    17.10.26
    J2 League
    Oita Trinita
    Oita Trinita
    Albirex Niigata
    Albirex Niigata
    -
    -
    7
    6
    12
    6
    0
    0
    5
    1
    2
    1
    3
    0
    -
    -
    7
    6
    12
    6
    0
    0
    L
    11.10.26
    J2 League
    Shonan Bellmare
    Shonan Bellmare
    Albirex Niigata
    Albirex Niigata
    1
    -
    -
    10
    1
    9
    9
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    10
    1
    9
    9
    1
    3
    D
    03.10.26
    J2 League
    Albirex Niigata
    Albirex Niigata
    Tokushima Vortis
    Tokushima Vortis
    -
    -
    3
    4
    17
    12
    0
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    17
    12
    0
    1
    W
    29.09.26
    J. League Cup
    Matsumoto Yamaga
    Matsumoto Yamaga
    Albirex Niigata
    Albirex Niigata
    -
    -
    5
    3
    12
    7
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    3
    12
    7
    1
    1
    L
    26.09.26
    J2 League
    Blaublitz Akita
    Blaublitz Akita
    Albirex Niigata
    Albirex Niigata
    -
    -
    5
    5
    11
    8
    3
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    5
    11
    8
    3
    1
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Sagan Tosu Team Overview

    🏆Throughout the J2 League season, the team Sagan Tosu has engaged in 11 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 4 wins,
    • 5 losses,
    • 2 draws.

    📈Currently, Sagan Tosu stands at a mid-tier position within the J2 League standings, with a win percentage of 36% and a loss percentage of 45%.

    ⚽Sagan Tosu has scored a total of 11 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 13 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Sagan Tosu

    Last matches
    17.10.26
    J2 League
    Sagan Tosu
    Sagan Tosu
    Omiya Ardija
    Omiya Ardija
    -
    -
    8
    7
    10
    11
    0
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    8
    7
    10
    11
    0
    2
    W
    14.10.26
    J. League Cup
    Sagan Tosu
    Sagan Tosu
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    -
    -
    7
    2
    9
    6
    2
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    2
    9
    6
    2
    0
    W
    10.10.26
    J2 League
    Sagan Tosu
    Sagan Tosu
    Fujieda
    Fujieda
    -
    -
    11
    4
    4
    9
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    11
    4
    4
    9
    0
    0
    W
    04.10.26
    J2 League
    Blaublitz Akita
    Blaublitz Akita
    Sagan Tosu
    Sagan Tosu
    -
    -
    2
    10
    8
    12
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    10
    8
    12
    1
    2
    L
    29.09.26
    J. League Cup
    Sagan Tosu
    Sagan Tosu
    Tokyo Verdy
    Tokyo Verdy
    -
    -
    4
    4
    13
    7
    1
    3
    2
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    4
    13
    7
    1
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 21;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 3; for visitors away - 3; number of draws - 5;
    • Average first-half total: 1.19;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.57, while the visitors net 0.62.

    First-Half Stats: Albirex Niigata (home) vs Sagan Tosu (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 5;
    • wins: 2 (40%) vs 0 (0%);
    • losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (20%);
    • draws: 3 (60%) vs 4 (80%);
    • Average goals scored: 1.2 vs 0.8;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.4 vs 0.6.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 2 vs 1;
    • losses: 3 vs 1;
    • draws: 5 vs 8;
    • Average first-half total: 1.5 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.8) vs 0.5 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.3).
    Trends
    • Sagan Tosu have drawn in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 away games.
    • Sagan Tosu have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (J2 League).
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw (odds: 2.02)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 21;
    • home team wins - 10, away team wins - 9, draws - 2.

    Statistics: Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu

    • matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
    • wins: 6 vs 4;
    • win percentage: 55% vs 36%;
    • losses: 3 vs 5;
    • draws: 2 vs 2.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 5 vs 5;
    • losses: 3 vs 5;
    • draws: 2 vs 0.
    Trends
    • Albirex Niigata have not lost in 8 of last 9 home games against Sagan Tosu.
    • Sagan Tosu have not won in last 8 away games (J2 League).
    • Sagan Tosu have not won in 7 of last 8 away games.
    👉Prediction: Albirex Niigata will not lose (odds: 1.58)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.19, the guests - 1.24;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.43;
    • both teams scored: overall - 8; at the home team's field - 4.

    Statistics: Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu

    • average total in the tournament: 3.09 vs 2.18;
    • average total goals scored: 1.36 vs 1;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.64 vs 0.36;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.73 vs 0.64;
    • Albirex Niigata: average total at home in the tournament -  1.6;
    • Sagan Tosu: average total away in the tournament - 0.4;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.67) vs 1 (away - 0).
    Trends
    • Under 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Albirex Niigata home games against Sagan Tosu.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (2,5) (odds: 1.65)

    Prediction on corners

    Albirex Niigata: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.64; at home field - 3.6;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.1; at home field - 3.

    Sagan Tosu: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.91, away - 6;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.4; away - 5.5.
    👉Prediction: Corners 1x2 Sagan Tosu to Win (odds: 1.8)

    Yellow Cards Bet

    Albirex Niigata: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 0.73; at home - 0.4;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 0.8; at home - 0.33.

    Sagan Tosu: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 0.73, away - 1.2;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.2; away - 1.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Over (1,5)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 21;
    • both teams scored all-time - 8 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 4 times.

    Statistics: Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 4;
    • number of BTTS matches for Albirex Niigata at home - 3 (60%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Sagan Tosu away - 1 (20%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 4;
    • BTTS matches for Albirex Niigata at home - 2 (67%);
    • BTTS matches for Sagan Tosu away - 0 (0%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (No) (odds: 1.82)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (15/110, 13.6%);
    • Albirex Niigata at home most often finish matches: 2:1 (3/5, 60%);
    • Sagan Tosu away most often play: 1:0 (2/5, 40%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:0 - 13.04% (odds 8.25)
    1:1 - 12.52% (odds 6.05)
    0:0 - 11.64% (odds 7.95)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Under 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Albirex Niigata home games against Sagan Tosu.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet-145
    Published: 19/10/2026, 11:20
    Scores24 Editorial
    Scores24 Editorial
    Football Expert
    1133
    0
    915
    2048 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu

    Sagan Tosu have drawn in the 1st half:
    sagan-tosuin 7 of last 8 away games.
    sagan-tosuin 6 of last 7 games (J2 League).
    1st Half Draw
    +105
    Albirex Niigata have won:
    niigata-albirexin last 5 home games (J2 League).
    Albirex Niigata to Win
    +245
    Albirex Niigata have not lost:
    niigata-albirexsagan-tosuin 8 of last 9 home games against Sagan Tosu.
    Sagan Tosu have not won:
    sagan-tosuin last 8 away games (J2 League).
    sagan-tosuin 7 of last 8 away games.
    Albirex Niigata will not lose
    -161
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    niigata-albirexsagan-tosuin 13 of last 15 Albirex Niigata games against Sagan Tosu.
    niigata-albirexin 14 of last 15 Albirex Niigata home games.
    niigata-albirexin last 5 Albirex Niigata home games (J2 League).
    sagan-tosuin last 7 Sagan Tosu games.
    sagan-tosuin last 5 Sagan Tosu away games.
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    -400
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    3 - Losses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 0
    Losses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 19
    -5
    -1
    10 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    5
    2
    Draws
    0
    3
    Losses
    5
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    10
    19
    Conceded
    11
    3.3
    Average total per match
    2.1
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1
    1.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    7
    Both teams scored
    4
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    93'
    View all stats