Flamengo vs Cruzeiro Prediction 20 August 2026
📢 Brazilian clubs have long been the main attraction of the Copa Libertadores - it is representatives of this country who have won the last seven editions of the tournament. Flamengo and Cruzeiro are clearly hoping to compete for the trophy this year too, but one of them will have to end their journey at the round of 16 stage. The first match ended 1:1, and that result suited Flamengo more, as they will play the second leg with the support of their home crowd. But home advantage alone is not enough: the hosts will still have to prove their superiority on the pitch itself.
Head-to-Head
The first leg of this match-up between the Brazilian giants took place on 13 August 2026 and ended 1-1. Here is the comparative statistics from that match (home side - Cruzeiro):
- possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corners: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 5.
📊 Flamengo and Cruzeiro have a rich head-to-head history - they do represent the same country, after all. Setting aside the first leg of the playoff, they have already met once in the current Brazilian championship season. That match took place back in mid-March and ended in a win for Flamengo (2:0).
Head-to-head statistics Flamengo - Cruzeiro
Flamengo Team Overview
Flamengo's last official match was played in the Brazilian Série A, where they thrashed Mirassol away from home (5:1).
The match stats were as follows (Flamengo vs Mirassol):
- possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 4 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 8 vs 5.
Flamengo are in excellent form and have gone 12 matches unbeaten across all competitions. Last weekend the team confirmed their condition once again, thrashing Mirassol away from home and moving closer to the top of the table in the Brazilian championship.
In the first match against Cruzeiro, Flamengo also looked slightly better than their opponents and could have counted on a win. The team threatened the opposition goal more often (15 shots to 11), and had a fivefold advantage in shots on target (5 to 1). However, they had to come from behind after conceding, so a draw away from home remains a decent result either way.
Match Results: Flamengo
Cruzeiro Team Overview
Cruzeiro beat Corinthians (2:1) away in Série A at the weekend. Match stats (Cruzeiro vs Corinthians):
- possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corners: 8 vs 3;
- fouls: 14 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 6.
Cruzeiro have also been doing well recently. The team have gone six matches without a defeat, and last weekend managed to beat a formidable Corinthians away from home. However, the result of the first leg against Flamengo clearly could not have satisfied the coaching staff, the players, or the fans.
If the team were counting on going through, they needed to win the home match in a tie like this. However, Cruzeiro not only failed to get the result they needed, but also looked the weaker side on the pitch. The away match will be even harder, so the team will need to go above and beyond.
Match Results: Cruzeiro
Latest news
Flamengo
🚫 Flamengo have plenty of injury concerns ahead of the match: Bruno Henrique and Everton are doubts, while Nicolas de la Cruz, Alex Sandro and Vitão will miss out through injury.
Cruzeiro
❌ Cruzeiro's injury list is shorter, but still significant enough: Luís Sinisterra, Gabriel Pec and Cássio will all miss the match through injury.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.25, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.25;
- both teams scored: overall - 19; at the home team's field - 12.
Statistics: Flamengo vs Cruzeiro
- average total in the tournament: 2.57 vs 1.86;
- average total goals scored: 2.14 vs 1.29;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.43 vs 0.14;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.71 vs 1.14;
- Flamengo: average total at home in the tournament - 2.67;
- Cruzeiro: average total away in the tournament - 0.67;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.1 (home - 1.67) vs 1.6 (away - 1.25).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 16 of last 17 Flamengo home games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 9 Flamengo games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Flamengo games (Copa Libertadores).
Prediction on corners
- Flamengo have taken under 5.5 corners in last 9 games against Cruzeiro.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 40;
- both teams scored all-time - 19 times;
- on the home team’s field - 12 times.
Statistics: Flamengo vs Cruzeiro
- number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 3;
- number of BTTS matches for Flamengo at home - 1 (33%);
- number of BTTS matches for Cruzeiro away - 1 (33%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Flamengo at home - 1 (17%);
- BTTS matches for Cruzeiro away - 2 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (22/133, 16.5%);
- Flamengo at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 3:0 , 4:1 (1/3, 33.3%);
- Cruzeiro away most often play: 0:0 , 0:1 , 1:1 (1/3, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 18.09% (odds 6)
2:0 - 11.88% (odds 7)
1:1 - 10.36% (odds 6.5)
⭐ Editor's Pick
According to the bookmakers, Flamengo are considered clear favourites for the second leg, and it is hard to argue with that assessment. The team have a stronger squad, are in excellent form, and play with confidence in front of their home crowd. If Cruzeiro looked weaker than their opponents even on their own ground, showing decent football away from home will be even harder. That is why our main bet is Flamengo to win in regular time. The expected score is 2:0.
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Betting Tips: Flamengo - Cruzeiro
in 15 of last 16 games.in last 11 away games.
in 15 of last 16 home games against Cruzeiro.in 12 of last 13 games against Cruzeiro.in 12 of last 13 home games.in last 8 games (Copa Libertadores).in 29 of last 30 Flamengo games against Cruzeiro.in 14 of last 15 Flamengo home games against Cruzeiro.in 12 of last 14 Flamengo games.in last 6 Flamengo home games.in last 5 Flamengo games (Copa Libertadores).in last 9 Cruzeiro away games.in 8 of last 9 Cruzeiro games.in 6 of last 7 Cruzeiro games (Copa Libertadores).
in last 5 Gustavo Tejera games (in the Copa Libertadores).in 21 of last 22 games against Cruzeiro.in 10 of last 11 home games against Cruzeiro.
Comparison of Teams Stats
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