TPS vs Ilves Prediction 20 July 2026
🔥 Matchday 16 of the Finnish championship brings us TPS Turku vs Ilves. TPS host an inconsistent but dangerous side, looking to strengthen their position in the top half of the table. The hosts sit seventh with 22 points, while Ilves are ninth on 16. Both teams need the win - every point matters at this stage of the season.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the sides ended 1-0. Here's how the stats looked in that game (Ilves were the home side):
- possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corners: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
📊 Head-to-head record between TPS Turku and Ilves:
- 16 matches played;
- home wins - 5, away wins - 10, draws - 1;
- goals (home/away) - 16 vs 25;
- average goals per match - 2.56.
Head-to-head statistics TPS - Ilves
TPS Turku Team Overview
The last official match was played in the Veikkausliiga (TPS Turku at home, Oulu away). The match ended 3-0.
Match stats (TPS Turku vs Oulu):
- Possession: 42% vs 58%;
- Corners: 2 vs 9;
- Fouls: 16 vs 9;
- Yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 7 vs 3.
TPS Turku build their game on reliability - especially at home. They've gone unbeaten in 8 of their last 9 home matches, showing defensive solidity and solid discipline throughout. The average goals conceded sits at just 1.07 per game, which backs up how well they've been protecting their end. Two wins from the last five isn't spectacular, but it's decent enough. The priority now is holding their place near the top, and that means staying focused right through to the end of the season.
Match Results: TPS Turku
Tampereen Ilves Team Overview
The visitors' last official match was in the Conference League - Ilves at home, Differdange as the away side. The final score was 3-1.
Match stats (Ilves vs Differdange):
- Possession: 60% vs 40%
- Corners: 0 vs 2
- Fouls: 10 vs 7
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 1
- Shots on target: 4 vs 1
Ilves have had a mixed season, but their attacking intent has been consistent throughout. Over the last ten matches, they've been scoring at a rate of 2.1 goals per game - solid output. The defence, though, has been leaky: 1.8 conceded per match on average, which points to real problems at the back. Their games tend to produce goals - 6 of their last 7 away matches went over 2.5. And on the road specifically, both teams have scored in 7 of their last 8 fixtures.
Match Results: Tampereen Ilves
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: TPS Turku (Home) vs Tampereen Ilves (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- Number of wins: 3 (37.5%) vs 2 (25%);
- Number of losses: 2 (25%) vs 4 (50%);
- Number of draws: 3 (37.5%) vs 2 (25%);
- Average total goals scored: 1.13 vs 2.38;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.38 vs 1.75.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 1 vs 2;
- Number of losses: 5 vs 5;
- Number of draws: 4 vs 3;
- Average first half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.7) vs 2.2 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 1.3).
- Tampereen Ilves conceded in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 away games (Veikkausliiga).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 16;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 10, draws - 1.
Statistics: TPS Turku vs Tampereen Ilves
- matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- wins: 6 vs 4;
- win percentage: 40% vs 27%;
- losses: 5 vs 7;
- draws: 4 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 4;
- losses: 6 vs 4;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1.56;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.56;
- both teams scored: overall - 7; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: TPS Turku vs Tampereen Ilves
- average total in the tournament: 2.33 vs 3.6;
- average total goals scored: 1.27 vs 1.67;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.53 vs 0.8;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.73 vs 0.87;
- TPS Turku: average total at home in the tournament - 1.75;
- Tampereen Ilves: average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 2) vs 2.1 (away - 1).
- TPS Turku have scored under 1.5 goals in last 9 games against Tampereen Ilves.
- TPS Turku have scored under 1.5 goals in last 8 games against Tampereen Ilves (Veikkausliiga).
Prediction on corners
TPS Turku: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.47; at home field - 4.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.9; at home field - 3.
Tampereen Ilves: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.13, away - 4.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; away - 5.4.
- TPS Turku have taken under 4.5 corners in 9 of last 10 games.
- TPS Turku have taken under 4.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games (Veikkausliiga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 16;
- both teams scored all-time - 7 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: TPS Turku vs Tampereen Ilves
- number of matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for TPS Turku at home - 4 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Tampereen Ilves away - 7 (88%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for TPS Turku at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Tampereen Ilves away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (17/90, 18.9%);
- TPS Turku at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (2/8, 25%);
- Tampereen Ilves away most often play: 2:1 , 2:2 (2/8, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.18% (odds 7)
2:1 - 8.53% (odds 9)
1:2 - 7.8% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Given Ilves's attacking numbers and their defensive issues, this match has the makings of a high-scoring game. The visitors have been excellent going forward, averaging over two goals per game, and they almost always score away from home. Ilves's backline isn't exactly solid, which gives TPS Turku a real chance to get on the scoresheet at home. The hosts, for their part, score regularly in home matches - enough to trouble any opponent. All of that points to Both Teams To Score.
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Betting Tips: TPS Turku - Tampereen Ilves
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