TPS vs Ilves Prediction 19 September 2026
🔊 TPS and Ilves both ended up in the 7th-to-12th-place group after the regular season. In that group, TPS are second, with Ilves one point behind. However, TPS have lost to Ilves three times this season - twice in the league and once in the Finnish Cup.
Head-to-Head
TPS Turku and Ilves have met 17 times. The hosts have won five of those meetings, while the visitors have won eleven, with one draw. Ilves also have the edge in goals scored, having netted 28 to TPS Turku's 17.
Head-to-head statistics TPS - Ilves
TPS Turku Team Overview
TPS are a Veikkausliiga newcomer, and Ivan Piñol - the man who led them up - remains in charge. They missed out on a top-six finish only on the final matchday: on 31 August in Helsinki they came away with just a point against Gnistan. That same evening, though, their top-flight status was secured. At home, the newly promoted side have been difficult to beat: across 12 Veikkausliiga matches they have dropped points on only two occasions. The second phase has started poorly, however - they drew 0-0 with SJK and then lost 0-1 to Mariehamn last time out.
Match Results: TPS Turku
Tampereen Ilves Team Overview
Ilves began the season with Joni Lehtonen, but the club dismissed him in early July and handed the team to Camilo Speranza. Under the Uruguayan, Ilves reached the third qualifying round of the Conference League, while in the regular season they finished ninth and went without a point in their last three rounds. In the Championship Round they started with two home wins - against Jaro and Lahti. The first of those secured their top-flight status, and the following day the club extended Speranza's contract until 2027. Away from home is a different matter, though: Ilves have failed to win in 11 of their last 12 away matches in the Veikkausliiga.
Match Results: Tampereen Ilves
Match Result Prediction
TPS have not beaten Ilves in ten consecutive head-to-head matches. Ilves are also solid away from home, going unbeaten in 11 of their last 12 league matches on the road. TPS have not managed even a draw in this fixture for some time. The pick is Ilves not to lose.
Risky Bet
Ilves have gone ten consecutive head-to-head matches without conceding a point to TPS - a telling run for this fixture. That said, away from home this season Ilves have won just once. They concede an average of 2.36 goals per away game, so the margin for error is slim. Even so, the head-to-head record tips the balance. The pick is an Ilves win.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely scorelines are 1:0 (11.97%), 1:1 (11.57%) and 0:1 (11.07%). All three have similar probabilities, which points to an expected tight contest and a low-scoring game.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Ilves rarely have a quiet away day: in 6 of their last 7 away league matches, at least three goals have been scored. Ilves have reason to be confident: TPS have conceded against them in 13 of their last 14 Veikkausliiga head-to-head meetings. The hosts will have their say too: Ilves have conceded in each of their last 16 away league matches. We don't expect this one to stay at two goals. The bet is Total Goals - Over 2.5. Predicted score - 1:2.
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Betting Tips: TPS Turku - Tampereen Ilves
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