Montevideo City vs Danubio Prediction 24 July 2026
🔅 Matchday 6 of the Uruguayan Torneo Intermedio brings a group B clash at home ground of Montevideo City, who are set to host Danubio. The hosts are pushing for a top-three finish, so three points matter here. Danubio, meanwhile, are struggling - they're deep in the bottom of the table and need a result badly.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between these two sides ended 1-1. Here's the key stats from that game (Danubio were the home side):
- Possession: 51% vs 49%;
- Corners: 9 vs 2;
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 2.
📊 Head-to-head stats from official meetings between Montevideo City and Danubio:
- 12 matches played;
- home wins - 2, away wins - 6, draws - 4;
- goals - 14 vs 18;
- average first-half total - 1, second-half - 1.67;
- average total goals per match - 2.67.
Head-to-head statistics Montevideo City - Danubio
Montevideo City Torque Team Overview
The last official match was played in the Primera tournament (Juventud de las Piedras at home, Montevideo City away). The match ended 1-3.
Match stats (Montevideo City vs Juventud de las Piedras):
- possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corners: 7 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
Montevideo City have had a solid run in the current stage of the championship and sit fourth in their group. Nine points on the board - enough to keep them in contention for a higher finish. The goals have been flowing too: ten scored already. The defensive side is a different story, though. Nine conceded tells you there are problems at the back. At home, they push forward and look to play at pace.
Match Results: Montevideo City Torque
Danubio Team Overview
The visitors' most recent official match was in the Primera tournament (Danubio at home, Nacional Montevideo away). It ended 0-0.
Match stats (Danubio vs Nacional Montevideo):
- Possession: 43% vs 57%;
- Corners: 6 vs 7;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 2.
Danubio are going through a rough patch and sit seventh in the table. Five games, three points - their fans aren't happy. The attack has been the main problem: just three goals scored in that stretch. Defensively it's not much better either, with six conceded and too many mistakes around their own box. They arrive as underdogs, and the coaching staff have their work cut out getting the players ready to compete.
Match Results: Danubio
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 12;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 2;
- Average first-half total: 1;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.17, while the visitors net 0.83.
First-Half Stats: Montevideo City Torque (home) vs Danubio (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 9;
- wins: 4 (50%) vs 2 (22.22%);
- losses: 4 (50%) vs 3 (33.33%);
- draws: 0 (0%) vs 4 (44.44%);
- Average goals scored: 2 vs 0.67;
- Average goals conceded: 1 vs 0.44.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 5 vs 3;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.8 (scored - 1.1, conceded - 0.7) vs 0.8 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.4).
- Montevideo City Torque scored in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 12;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 6, draws - 4.
Statistics: Montevideo City Torque vs Danubio
- matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- wins: 8 vs 4;
- win percentage: 42% vs 21%;
- losses: 6 vs 6;
- draws: 5 vs 9.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 1;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 5.
- Danubio have not won in 13 of last 14 games (Primera Division).
- Danubio have not won in 8 of last 9 away games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.17, the guests - 1.5;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.67;
- both teams scored: overall - 7; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Montevideo City Torque vs Danubio
- average total in the tournament: 2.84 vs 2.32;
- average total goals scored: 1.58 vs 1;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.74 vs 0.47;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.84 vs 0.53;
- Montevideo City Torque: average total at home in the tournament - 1.75;
- Danubio: average total away in the tournament - 0.78;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2 (home - 2) vs 0.8 (away - 1).
- Montevideo City Torque have conceded in last 14 games (Primera Division).
- Montevideo City Torque have conceded in 12 of last 13 games.
- Montevideo City Torque have conceded in last 7 home games (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 9.75 (4.58 - for home team and 5.17 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 6 (3 - for home team and 3 - for away team).
Montevideo City Torque: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.58; at home field - 5.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.5; at home field - 4.2.
Danubio: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.05, away - 2.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.2; away - 3.6.
- Montevideo City Torque have taken over 4.5 corners in last 6 games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 12;
- both teams scored all-time - 7 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Montevideo City Torque vs Danubio
- number of matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 13 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Montevideo City Torque at home - 6 (75%);
- number of BTTS matches for Danubio away - 4 (44%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 9 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Montevideo City Torque at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Danubio away - 3 (60%).
- Montevideo City Torque have scored and conceded in 12 of last 13 games.
- Montevideo City Torque have scored and conceded in last 9 games (Primera Division).
- Montevideo City Torque have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games (Primera Division).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (22/153, 14.4%);
- Montevideo City Torque at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 1:0 , 1:2 , 2:1 , 2:2 , 2:3 , 2:4 , 4:1 (1/8, 12.5%);
- Danubio away most often play: 0:0 , 0:1 , 1:1 , 1:2 , 2:0 , 2:2 , 3:0 , 3:1 , 4:0 (1/9, 11.1%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.78% (odds 5.5)
1:0 - 10.36% (odds 5)
2:1 - 9.86% (odds 7)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Montevideo City looks like the obvious favourite here - better form, better balance, no real argument. Their attack is a level above what Danubio's defence can handle, and the visitors tend to fall apart under pressure. At home, City will push for an early goal to take control straight away. Danubio simply don't score enough to keep up with a motivated side playing this well. Home crowd, good momentum, three points. We're backing a home win. Possible scoreline: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Montevideo City Torque - Danubio
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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